Fresno State fan here. Texas is going to beat Michigan by 20. Michigan has a great defense, but no offense. If Fresno State can hold Michigan to a six point lead in the 4th quarter, Texas is going to demolish Michigan. And six of their points came when Fresno was in the red zone and got pick-sixed. (which gave Michigan the lead of 23-10.) In other words, the game was much closer than 20 points. Michigans points came mostly from 2 defensive plays, and the rest from field goals.
Texas will coast to a win while putting your backup players in at the end of the game.