LECHorns
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OTF Premium Portaltails & Dreams
LECHorns replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Eh, Siani has two years. There's a lot of value in knowing 2027 has its starting OTs as well, not to mention depth for 2026. -
One slight* difference -- you guys are playing for a national championship on Monday, and your success over the last two seasons is unmatched in your program's history. We know that if we don't win a national championship next year, we'll have wasted the college career of Arch Manning. There's a lot more angst and urgency to be expected from our fanbase vis a vis yours, which is one reason for "sky is falling" around every recruit. We're also the hunted no matter how good or bad we are. Like it or not, we're Texas, and we have a massive target on our back. Right now, we feel the increased pressure of competing with Texas Tech and Cody Campbell, A&M made the playoffs, OU made the playoffs, etc. I'm not saying Indiana won't be the hunted next season, but if you went 0-12, no one burns down your campus. You're living a dream right now. We are also reluctant to entertain Texas losing any recruit for any rational reason. My guess is this board has significantly more participants than yours...and not all are informed, rational, sober, etc. The more participants you have in an online forum, the more extreme the takes will be. I can't imagine Alabama's board being more reserved than ours. But to answer your question, no, we haven't recruited, retained or developed OL very well under Coach Flood. We lost 4 guys to NFL in 2024, and all of sudden we saw the cupboard was bare. We didn't address it in the portal last year, even though there were plenty of signs to tell us we needed to, and as such, we lost an early October game in Florida that kept us out of the playoffs - mainly because we had a revolving door of pitiful play on the iOL that afternoon. Indiana and Miami look incredible right now, but Texas was a very talented team starting to peak, and I think we could have made things interesting. Alas, we left LG to chance.
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See, @Gerry Hamilton I think I agree with your premise, but I disagree with some of the specifics. I think guys like C. Jones (724th kid in nation), Sweat (605), Ford (1200), Helm (666), and Sorrell (683) are exactly who you're going to see most of your class made up of. I don't mean those specific players -- so nothing about size, scheme, fit, etc. -- just general profile of prospect. I might agree with you on Barron (343) and Murphy (393). Cummings (603), Walker (746), Scherer (1160) and Jilek (1502) were all last minute adds once we embraced this new model. I think HS classes for the elite programs will be 8-12 Atkinson, Wesley, Bishop -- top 100 -- and then a lot more of the guys ranked 400+. I think you could still see classes of 25-30 bodies, they're just filled with these longer development types. To be clear, those guys will have to be willing to accept ~$0 of NIL. So, Barron who flipped from Baylor (did Murphy, too?), probably isn't eligible. The vast majority of these kids will know they aren't playing in Year 1. After Year 1, some will leave. But it will have cost you $0. After Year 1, the coaches may be able to better assess the talent level, so some may get paid a bit (this is the old school way of giving a walk-on a scholarship), but most will continue being scholarship-only players. The purpose of this group is a) to find a Christian Jones, Michael Taaffe, Gunner Helm, etc., but also b) give you bodies to hit in practice and establish your foundation and culture. I think it's the Broughton, Livingstone, Cruz, Dubose -- guys ranked ~150-400 -- that never get brought in. They'll want to get paid, then they'll want raises regardless of production - and that's what can't happen. I totally agree with your second category -- those guys are allowed to walk today. I think you'll still carry 80-90 players, but you'll only be paying 50 studs and maybe another 15 depth guys. Recruit ~10 elite HS kids a year, you'll churn some and there's an average tenure of ~3 years -- you'll carry 30-35 of these at any given time. Go get ~10 portal studs (big money) that expect to start immediately -- you'll carry ~10 of these at a time. Bolster your depth through the portal with 5-10 a year, so carry ~10 at a time. And then fill the rest with $0 HS kids (incl specialists) at ~12 a year, so carry ~30 at any given time. All said, you'll carry ~80-85, maybe 90 scholarships. I think we're at 90 today if you assume we add 8 more through the portal. By my count (currently) 37 HS Studs (but this will decline as we evolve to new model) 15 Portal Studs (assuming we add LB, 2 OL, DB, DE) -- this will decline over time as the new model evolves, but you'll have years of spikes based on exPorts/NFL 10 Portal Depth/Specialists (assuming we add RB, QB, OL) -- this will increase over time as the new model evolves 28 HS Hopefuls =90 PS - Cig got a great head start on everyone. I think the term "Moneyball" is thrown around too loosely as a term for "good general management," but I do think Indiana replicated Moneyball -- they put focus and value on metrics (i.e., production and experience) where other programs prioritized other more common metrics. But now the cat is out of the bag and others will copy. The market for 23 year old players will be more competitive and efficient. Can Indiana/Cig repeat what they've done? Was Mendoza a product of Cig's system, or did Cig buy the Heisman trophy winner for free? I'm not knocking what they've done this year - it's incredible. But the book is written and now there are other, e.g., DePodestas, out there.
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Seaton to Texas is >0%. A few of the sites have been leaving little breadcrumbs. Just buckle up and trust this staff. And don’t jump if he goes elsewhere.
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Roberson is a player. I know this is just a sign of the times, and I'm sure our staff has a plan, etc., but Roberson was another one I was really hoping to keep. Btw, Underwood fumbled that ball at the goal line.
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HOOK ‘EM! Former Pitt LB Rasheem Biles Commits to Texas
LECHorns replied to CJ Vogel's topic in On Texas Football Forum
You have to worry about “overpaying” for other guys so you can blow it all on guys like this. -
OTF Premium Portalfront Property in Arizona
LECHorns replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Yep. Once guys visit other places they never return to their original home. -
OTF Premium Portalfront Property in Arizona
LECHorns replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
@Bobby Burton You mentioned in the live chat yesterday (?) that you think this portal madness extends throughout the spring - or at least beyond the Jan 16 end that we're all looking forward to. Are there any [archaic] deadlines - e.g., classes start, etc. - that could change the calculus on certain players/decisions? -
They absolutely have, and I'm not doubting them entirely. I would point out that they haven't been perfect, and we're watching the playoffs from our couches this year because they whiffed a year ago at a few spots. But...it's just a little jarring when you're told that we have three targets ranked higher than a proven SEC LB who the pundits seemingly all love, the names can't be disclosed, and the staff is all-in. Then when one of those three is unveiled, he's ranked ~500-600 best player in the portal. I'm all for hidden gems, I'm all for doubting the rankings. I guess I was just expecting something a bit more exciting. I hope this is more Kanu and less Levon.
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Oh thank God. I had no idea this existed.
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OTF Premium Zion Williams (1:50pm CT)
LECHorns replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Awesome, thanks. That’s what I was hoping GH was saying, but by the wording I couldn’t tell whether or not it was that or if he was hinting that Sharma was on exPort watch. -
OTF Premium Zion Williams (1:50pm CT)
LECHorns replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Sorry, would not affect the pursuit of Sharma, or just Sharma’s role? Should we be waiting on an announcement of Sharma’s retention? -
I haven’t seen this mentioned yet, but what’s the upside of playing the big OOC games? Aggies went on the road and beat ND…and yet they fell below TT, Oregon and Ole Miss with the same record. It’s really hard for me to see why Aggies should be any lower than #4. Miami obviously is seeing no upside. Is the rationale for OU being so far ahead of us their win over Michigan? Seems dumb, but they’re the only school seeing any benefit from scheduling these games.
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Arch Not Seeing Field in Picture Format
LECHorns replied to Hashtag's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Aaron Murray’s was an ok watch, except the TD. He lucked into the TD? Aaron can tell that based on where his helmet is pointed? How do we know Arch isn’t looking off the other deep safety? These still frames are cool, but check downs are tough to get to under immediate, constant duress. It’s one thing to hold it too long and not check down, but I didn’t have that complaint too often on Saturday. He didn’t even have time to let the initial read mature. -
I thought Arch was pretty good vs SJSt. But this is about as poor of a performance as I’ve ever seen. I can’t believe I’m asking this, but with the defense that we have, at what point do you consider moving to Caldwell? The threat of a completed forward pass may win 10 games this year, but we don’t have that threat right now.
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Investment Banking Question for UT IB Alumni
LECHorns replied to TexasFanatic's topic in On Texas Football Forum
This probably isn’t what you want to hear on a football message board, but post-MBA to IB will be a tough route to buyside. You won’t have the buyside experience to fill a VP role in PE, and you’re likely too experienced to start as an Associate (which is usually a 2/3 year role that ends in an MBA). Your best bet is probably energy - some of the energy PE groups can be a little less “traditional” than non-energy. There are still terrific career opportunities available, but the “fairway” buyside gigs will be tough. You could also consider some of the less traditional type shops like family offices, independent sponsors launching, etc. Maybe head of corp dev at a PE backed portco that is a serial acquirer? The few folks I know that did IB post-MBA are all either still bankers or in a corp finance role (eg, CFO). Just my two cents. What did you do pre-MBA? -
So who is our next basketball coach?
LECHorns replied to georgethepunter's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Quinn Snyder, Sean Miller, Royal Ivey Those would be my betting favorites. This opinion is fairly informed by someone very close to the epicenter of Texas Hoops. -
So who is our next basketball coach?
LECHorns replied to georgethepunter's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Pretty coincidental that Worthy is arrested and immediately exonerated for charges almost identical to those of Beard on the exact day Beard’s replacement was effectively fired. -
Hoops: Texas vs. Oklahoma Game Thread
LECHorns replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Quinn Snyder. -
I bet the respondent's age is going to have a perfect correlation to the respondent's answer here. When I was on campus, we waxed A&M every year and OU was really all that stood between us and a national championship bid. There is nothing like the second Saturday in October. To me, OU is absolutely our biggest football rivalry. I never even "hated" A&M until recently. I obviously never want(ed) to lose to them, but they were really like my little brother -- I wanted to beat them at all cost, but I didn't necessarily want others to beat them. That changed recently, however. Every sport outside of football, I care more about beating A&M than OU. I also bet that younger Longhorns (i.e., on campus today) will grow up thinking of A&M as the bigger rival. We may boat race OU for the next few years, and there are all kinds of storylines beneath the Aggie hate right now. Tickets for Schloss's first series against A&M will probably break NCAA baseball records, just like the game at Kyle Field a few months ago broke football records. I don't even know when we play OU in baseball.
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OTF Premium Texas Will Smack ASU If...
LECHorns replied to CJ Vogel's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Flags. How they officiate this game, and any game really, could play a meaningful role. “Playoff football” will greatly benefit the larger, deeper, more physical team (ie, Horns).