Most Likely Scenario for Atlanta (IMO)

[Tande11]

Texas A&M (7-1)

1. LSU - W
2. SC - W
3. Auburn - W
4. Texas - L

LSU (6-2)

1. A&M - L
2. Alabama - L
3. Florida - W
4. Vandy - W
5. OU - W

Georgia (7-1)

1. Florida - W
2. Ole Miss - W
3. Tennessee - W

Tennessee (6-2)

1. Kentucky - W
2. Miss St - W
3. Georgia - L
4. Vandy - W

Mizzou (6-2)

1. Alabama - L
2. OU - W
3. SC - W
4. Miss St - W
5. Arkansas - W

Texas (7-1)

1. Vandy - W
2. Florida - W
3. Arkansas - W
4. Kentucky - W
5. A&M - W

This would leave three 7-1 teams, and we hold the tiebreaker over one of them (A&M) so that would mean in Georgia rematch in Atlanta.

[nolabeer]

The most troubling scenario is LSU ending with only 1 loss to Alabama.  Georgia is in the top spot but Texas vying with LSU for the other spot in the SEC championship.   Also, IF Texas was to get into the SEC championship and lose again to Georgia, Texas may get left out of the CFP.  In the case that LSU leapfrogs Texas to get into the SEC championship game, Texas may be in a better position to get into the CFP.  

[JMarquette]

If Texas won out, they will make CFP regardless - it's SEC championship they would miss if LSU won out. 

[Tande11]

26 minutes ago, nolabeer said:

The most troubling scenario is LSU ending with only 1 loss to Alabama.  Georgia is in the top spot but Texas vying with LSU for the other spot in the SEC championship.   Also, IF Texas was to get into the SEC championship and lose again to Georgia, Texas may get left out of the CFP.  In the case that LSU leapfrogs Texas to get into the SEC championship game, Texas may be in a better position to get into the CFP.  

I am confident LSU will lose the next two and I think we will have a better shot against Georgia a second time around

[qaertyisthatdude]

6 minutes ago, Tande11 said:

I am confident LSU will lose the next two and I think we will have a better shot against Georgia a second time around

Bama is not good.

[pskjace]

Whoever is left out of the SEC title game out of Texas, Georgia, and LSU may actually be in a much better position to make a playoff run than the two that play in the SEC championship.  Of course you want to make it to Atlanta, but the team with all of that rest and preparation could be set up best.  

[Cujonation83]

8 minutes ago, pskjace said:

Whoever is left out of the SEC title game out of Texas, Georgia, and LSU may actually be in a much better position to make a playoff run than the two that play in the SEC championship.  Of course you want to make it to Atlanta, but the team with all of that rest and preparation could be set up best.  

Now there's merit to this statement. Believe it or not, Texas would have an easier path as the 5th seed 🤔 if by hosting the G5 team and facing the Big 12 champ in the Fiesta Bowl. 

[Alex Butler]

Good stuff, I think the Ags might find LSU a little more troubling than they expect this weekend. It’s like basketball now, we’re still in the drivers seat. If we win out we control our destiny. If we do face UGA again in ATL it’s an opportunity to show how we’ve grown and improved against the gold standard right now. Even if we lose I think we still get in. Let’s get focused and mean for the rest of the season. All that matters is who is still standing at the end of the playoff. We can be that team, it’s up to each man to know it, want it, mean it, and go PROVE IT!

[Glass Joe]

2 hours ago, nolabeer said:

The most troubling scenario is LSU ending with only 1 loss to Alabama.  Georgia is in the top spot but Texas vying with LSU for the other spot in the SEC championship.   Also, IF Texas was to get into the SEC championship and lose again to Georgia, Texas may get left out of the CFP.  In the case that LSU leapfrogs Texas to get into the SEC championship game, Texas may be in a better position to get into the CFP.  

If Texas finishes the regular season as the #2 team in the SEC, but then loses in the SEC Championship game to UGA again, I highly doubt Texas would get jumped by LSU (as the #3 regular season finisher in the SEC).

I really don’t think the Playoff committee will penalize a team for a loss in a conference championship game.  The Committee is not obligated to use the team’s overall record as the decision making criteria, particularly when one team has earned the extra game by making the conference championship game (13 games played versus only 12).

The challenge for LSU when it comes Playoff time is that they may be 10-2 with a neutral site loss to a bad USC team and a road loss to 10-2 aggy, while their best wins would be over 3-loss teams at home (Ole Miss, Bama).  That would put LSU behind Texas, UGA, and likely Aggy in the SEC pecking order…competing with a 10-2 Tennessee for a 4th spot for the SEC in the playoffs.

[cmk4pres]

I don't mean this because of my hate towards the cult but they are more likely to go 0-2 vs lsu and south car than 2-0. 1-1 most likely.