The key here is the word roster…as in the talent across the entire 85-man roster.
LSU may have the highest scoring offense in college football this year, but their defense is well below LSU standards.
Similarly, Clemson has some elite guys at key positions across the starting line-up, but what is behind any of those guys, and can the top end guys cover for the less-than-elite other starters?
Oregon historically is a very barbelled roster, with some elite talent at various positions, but replacement level at other position groups. I tend to think with the NIL era beginning a few years ago, they now have more talent across their entire roster (even in the two-deep) than they’ve ever had before. That said, we saw what Ohio State’s talent did to Oregon in the Rose Bowl, so there’s still a gap there.
I think for 2025, you can put Texas, Penn State, UGA, Ohio State, and Bama 85-man rosters at the top of the list, with LSU, Clemson, and Oregon having enough key talented players (if not depth of talent) to win an NC if the chips fall right for them.
Notre Dame and Florida need 1-2 more recruiting classes at the level they’re currently recruiting to make this list.