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OTF Premium 2025-26 Portal Tracker Thread
Rocky P replied to CJ Vogel's topic in On Texas Football Forum
This past season -
Most of this stuff is deliberately structured around legislatures, not through them. The conference cuts the deal, creates a separate commercial entity, and schools are just “licensing” rights or adjusting future distributions. On paper, the university isn’t selling the family silver — it’s just refinancing expected revenue. That distinction is doing a lot of legal work. And yes, when it does brush up against state oversight, the political incentive is basically nonexistent to stop it. Nobody wants to be the lawmaker who gets tagged as “the reason our school fell behind in NIL.” Fiscal restraint loses every time to booster pressure and talk radio outrage. So you end up with the worst combo: Complex financial engineering most voters don’t understand Short political time horizons Long-term obligations that won’t come due until everyone involved has moved on It’s not that legislators are voting “yes” after careful analysis — it’s that the deals are designed so they never have to vote at all. And when the bill comes due in 8–10 years, it’ll be someone else’s problem. Which, honestly, might be the most college-football thing of all.
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OTF Premium 2025-26 Portal Tracker Thread
Joe Zura replied to CJ Vogel's topic in On Texas Football Forum
https://x.com/chris_hummer/status/2001396021662822793?s=46 -
OTF Premium Mini update on Hero Kanu (12:35pm CT)
antcan95 replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
because every game the announcers would mention how elite they were and I remember so many 3rd and 4th down stops. I don’t recall hearing and seeing those things this year -
OTF Premium 2025-26 Portal Tracker Thread
NothinButDaHorns34 replied to CJ Vogel's topic in On Texas Football Forum
13.5 sacks this past season or in his career? Sounds like a trey moore starter pack -
OTF Premium 2025-26 Portal Tracker Thread
Joe Zura replied to CJ Vogel's topic in On Texas Football Forum
My thoughts exactly 👀 -
OTF Premium 2025-26 Portal Tracker Thread
CJ Vogel replied to CJ Vogel's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Committed to Orphey at Rutgers. Could be someone to watch. -
OTF Premium Mini update on Hero Kanu (12:35pm CT)
Tim Longoria replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
How would you know what those lines looked like if you don't pay attention? -
Jaylon Guilbeau Declares for NFL Draft
ArizonaLonghorn replied to CJ Vogel's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Here's his current ranking in the NFL Mock Draft Consensus - answer is 'not likely', though these mocks get more accurate the closer one gets to the draft -
Jaylon Guilbeau Declares for NFL Draft
TheNightKing replied to CJ Vogel's topic in On Texas Football Forum
hate to be that guy on a fellow 409 kid but thank God -
Big 12 Discovers Payday Loans (Private Equity)
jhookem91 replied to Steamboat Willie's topic in On Texas Football Forum
You would think so, but unfortunately the vast majority of the politicians will go along with it due to political pressure from voters. Most politicians (especially in the last 20 years) are the most financially irresponsible people around. They don't make pragmatic, financially sound decisions anymore because those decisions are unpopular. -
There’s a New Starting QB in Miami!
Sundancekid replied to CJ Vogel's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Miami seems yo gravitate to concussion prone qbs. I hope Ewers finds a way to have better pocket awareness. -
OTF Premium 2025-26 Portal Tracker Thread
_everyoneshere replied to CJ Vogel's topic in On Texas Football Forum
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OTF Premium Mini update on Hero Kanu (12:35pm CT)
Keelaannn replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
You mean 4 guys that all went on or before day 2 ? Yeah we didn't match that this year but still had a good DL -
Jaylon Guilbeau Declares for NFL Draft
FaxMachine replied to CJ Vogel's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Why? It’s common practice and no reason to risk any injury in a completely meaningless game. -
PE isn’t buying the school. They’re buying future revenue streams, usually at the conference or affiliate-entity level, not carving up public universities like a private company. No PE firm wants oversight committees. These deals are structured specifically to avoid statehouse headaches. The moment a legislature can rewrite the terms, PE loses interest. That’s how this sneaks past the “how is this legal?” alarm bells. Think of it less as privatization and more as: “We mortgaged next decade’s TV checks because the portal is on fire today.”
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Big 12 Discovers Payday Loans (Private Equity)
Rocky P replied to Steamboat Willie's topic in On Texas Football Forum
I'm still not sure how these PE firms are able to get involved with these public institutions. Wouldn't the state legislature have to approve them and the terms? State of Texas isn't going to just let UT start selling off pieces of itself. -
OTF Premium 2025-26 Portal Tracker Thread
Joe Zura replied to CJ Vogel's topic in On Texas Football Forum
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Jaylon Guilbeau Declares for NFL Draft
Atticus replied to CJ Vogel's topic in On Texas Football Forum
I hope he balls out at the pro day and in private workouts. Not sure he gets a combine invite unless he has a great agent. Would love for him to make it in the league as a special teams ace. -
Jaylon Guilbeau Declares for NFL Draft
GetHooked replied to CJ Vogel's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Best wishes but I'm thinking UDFA. -
Big 12 Discovers Payday Loans (Private Equity)
Tuco Ramirez replied to Steamboat Willie's topic in On Texas Football Forum
If this results in Arkansas waiving the white flag, then count me in. -
That take is probably closer to the truth than most people want to admit. What we’re watching isn’t some abstract NIL growing pain — it’s a capital structure problem finally colliding with reality. A bunch of schools are operating like pro franchises without pro revenue certainty, and now they’re layering leverage on top of volatility. That works right up until it doesn’t. The timing you’re pointing to is key. TV deals rolling over, ACC exit fees collapsing, private equity sniffing around future distributions — all of that converges around the same window. When that happens, the sport won’t politely rebalance. It’ll bifurcate.
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Jaylon Guilbeau Declares for NFL Draft
Burnt Orange Horn replied to CJ Vogel's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Best wishes to Mr. Gilbeau!!! 🏈🤘🏻🏈🤘🏼🏈🤘🏈🤘🏽🏈🤘🏾🏈🤘🏿🏈