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Hold the Mayo Week 11: why is Texas an underdog at LSU?

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Last week I asked: is the line wrong, or the committee? The committee won that one, 2 to 1. #5 Alabama didn't need the 5.5 at LSU, they won by 18. #2 Georgia didn't just cover 3.5 at Ole Miss, they won 42-7. The line got Kentucky right: Tennessee won by 28.

The board's big miss was Oklahoma. 81% of you took Florida -6.5, and Oklahoma won outright, 23-7.

76% of you rode Kentucky and the points too. But 76% had Vanderbilt +3.5, and Vandy won outright at Mississippi State. And 86% took South Carolina -7.5, who won 17-9 and covered by half a point. Three underdogs won outright last week.

Congrats to @WRNC , who went 6-2 and Holds the Mayo this week. @SueVide also went 6-2, but WRNC locked in first.

Week 11 is open. Eight SEC games against the spread, best record Holds the Mayo, ties go to whoever picked first:

  • Auburn (-3.5) at Mississippi State, 11:00 AM CT

  • #3 Alabama (-17.5) at Vanderbilt, 11:45 AM CT

  • #8 Tennessee (-2.5) at Texas A&M, 2:00 PM CT

  • #22 Missouri at #1 Georgia (-14.5), 2:30 PM CT

  • #19 Ole Miss (-2.5) at Oklahoma, 3:15 PM CT

  • Florida at #11 Kentucky (-3.5), 5:15 PM CT

  • #6 Texas at #21 LSU (-3.5), 6:30 PM CT

  • #17 South Carolina (-8.5) at Arkansas, 6:45 PM CT

The pick for each game locks at its own kickoff, and you can change your picks any time before then without losing your place in line.

So here's my question: LSU just lost at home to Alabama by 18. Texas just won at Missouri by 14. Texas is #6, LSU is #21. And Texas is the one getting 3.5 points? Night game in Baton Rouge, sure, but that's a lot of respect for a team coming off that loss. Will Kiffin risk turning the ball over on downs 4x on Saturday like he did last week? I have a feeling Leavitt will have a little extra motivation to win on Saturday to avenge his loss in the playoffs from 2 years ago, but at the end of the day I trust this D to get the job done.

stance.fm/mayo

Hook 'em! 🤘

  1. Miss State +3.5

  2. Vanderbilt +17.5

  3. Texas A&M +2.5

  4. Missouri +14.5

  5. Ole Miss -2.5

  6. Florida +3.5

  7. Texas +4.5 (just moved)

  8. South Carolina -8.5

It is not a lot of respect for LSU, it is a lot of doubt about Sark, specifically.

41 minutes ago, maje12 said:

It is not a lot of respect for LSU, it is a lot of doubt about Sark, specifically.

This is our concern, dude

LSU is very very good team on paper. Their stats are also pretty good. They struggle in the red zone against quality defenses though.

We have an uphill battle with our well below average OL vs their elite DL, our inconsistent passing game vs their high level secondary, and being on the road for a night game in DEATH VALLEY.

We lost the benefit of the doubt, and now our guys have to prove it.

I think we can do it, but that's why we're the underdog.

Edited by Atticus

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