Hey everyone, Payton here, intern with On Texas Football, back with another By the Numbers.

Arch Manning has made six starts past Nov. 1 in his career, and the numbers in those games look like a completely different quarterback.

In those six starts he has 18 total touchdowns and one interception. That is 14 passing and four rushing, with 1,864 total yards, a 64.3% completion rate and 311 yards per game. Texas is 5-1 in those games.

The gap from early season Arch is huge. In 16 starts before Nov. 1 over the last two years, his average QBR is 57.0. From Nov. 1 on, it is 86.3. He has topped a 90 QBR once in those 16 early starts and four times in the six late ones. He also has 13 interceptions before Nov. 1 and one after.

It is not just good by his own standards. Per ESPN, Arch has the No. 1 QBR in all of FBS over that late season span.

Here is how it breaks down game by game. Three touchdowns against Vanderbilt. One at Georgia. Five against Arkansas. Two against Texas A&M. Four against Michigan in the Citrus Bowl. Three last week at Missouri.

The one interception came at Georgia, which is also the only loss. In the five wins he has 17 touchdowns and has not thrown a pick.

That brings us to Saturday. LSU comes in with 36 sacks, third most in the country, so this is the toughest pass rush he has seen in one of these late season starts.

Does Arch keep the late season run going in Baton Rouge? And is this stretch enough to call him the best finisher in college football?

@Gerry Hamilton is in hell seeing this

9 minutes ago, Joe Z said:

@Gerry Hamilton is in hell seeing this

I’m in hell knowing how much we are jinxing Arch by pushing all this Mr. November stuff. We’ve got Bianco and multiple outlets on this. We’re setting him up for failure this weekend. It’s all Kyle Flood’s fault too

Edited 9 hours ago9 hr by Alex Butler

@Gerry Hamilton reading this 😭

Rat poison

But good article, thanks

Great article. Is LSU pass rush better than the Georgia pass rush Texas struggled with?

10 minutes ago, DanielOnorato said:

Great article. Is LSU pass rush better than the Georgia pass rush Texas struggled with?

Very Comparable.

5 hours ago, Alex Butler said:

I’m in hell knowing how much we are jinxing Arch by pushing all this Mr. November stuff. We’ve got Bianco and multiple outlets on this. We’re setting him up for failure this weekend. It’s all Kyle Flood’s fault too

You’re quickly catching up to Joe Z and Jmarquette as the most miserable posters on OTF. Not everything is doom and gloom dude. Go outside and get some sun, touch some grass and take a deep breath of fresh air and realize, “Hey, I’m alive and today is a good day!” Try that instead of always posting, “he sucks, we suck, fire him, fire them, etc.”

9 minutes ago, Aspann85 said:

You’re quickly catching up to Joe Z and Jmarquette as the most miserable posters on OTF. Not everything is doom and gloom dude. Go outside and get some sun, touch some grass and take a deep breath of fresh air and realize, “Hey, I’m alive and today is a good day!” Try that instead of always posting, “he sucks, we suck, fire him, fire them, etc.”

Fair enough

14 minutes ago, Aspann85 said:

You’re quickly catching up to Joe Z and Jmarquette as the most miserable posters on OTF. Not everything is doom and gloom dude. Go outside and get some sun, touch some grass and take a deep breath of fresh air and realize, “Hey, I’m alive and today is a good day!” Try that instead of always posting, “he sucks, we suck, fire him, fire them, etc.”

I think people are perfectly capable of balancing a productive life with criticizing the Texas Longhorns football team without the input of a self-righteous bozo.

Great article Payton. Following up on the original thought process, it would be interesting to compare the offensive play calling approach in November to the approach earlier in the year in a year over year comparison. Without seeing the data, one would assume the game plan / play calling gets simplified or fine tuned in November each year.

After 1 season I think it’s a stretch to claim Arch is Mr. November. I will agree he seems to improve as the year goes on.

1 hour ago, FforFake said:

I think people are perfectly capable of balancing a productive life with criticizing the Texas Longhorns football team without the input of a self-righteous bozo.

Thank you!

3 hours ago, CJ Vogel said:

Very Comparable.

Thank you, CJ!

Nice article. I hope it continues this Saturday. Recommend you update your big board to start the stats on Oct 31, pulling in Miss St.

3 more TDs. 0 ain’t, 220 yds passing, 80% passing efficiency.

21 Total TDs and 1 INT.

Hook em!! 👊🏼🧡🤘🏼🐂

3 hours ago, FforFake said:

I think people are perfectly capable of balancing a productive life with criticizing the Texas Longhorns football team without the input of a self-righteous bozo.

Not a single thing I said intimidated anything about his productivity levels you clown shoe. Guess reading comprehension wasn’t something you Zoomers learned in school.

No doubt the best athletes get better as the season goes on. They're able to reach down deep and bring out their best. I suspect in THIS case, though, that Arch may be getting better because as each day progresses, he's that much further from that springtime surgery we were led to believe was no big deal.