bierce Posted December 1 Share Posted December 1 All SEC teams will play ACC teams Dec 3-4. SEC teams favored in 12 of the 16 games by Pomeroy. Texas is one of four teams favored to win on the road. We play NC State Wednesday. NC State had profiled as a team that forces a lot of turnovers and makes it tough to shoot from the arc before it lost consecutive games by double digits to Purdue and BYU in San Diego over the holidays. BYU rained and made a lot of threes. Purdue didn't despite being a good 3pt shooting team, but it plays at a slower pace and played nearly turnover free. Texas has played pretty fast on offense this year, hits a pretty high percentage bta, but doesn't attempt many 3s. It also has played turnover free ball most games. Of course, the opponents have been pretty poor, and that is a factor in our leading the country in 2pt% defense, but we were good against tOSU and great against St. Joe's in that regard. Syracuse torched us inside. We would have lost that game were it not for Syracuse playing so much Swiss cheese zone in the first half. No ACC team is favored by more than 4 points. Tennessee is favored by 20 against Syracuse and Florida by 15 against Virginia. So far this year SEC teams are 12-1 against ACC teams. The sole win for the ACC was Duke beating Kentucky in Atlanta. 4 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bierce Posted December 3 Author Share Posted December 3 Ten games tonight, so I won't detail them all, but 4 tip off at 7, 1 at 7:30, 4 at 9:00, and 1 at 9:30, and all on ESPN, ESPN2, ESPNU, SEC, or ACC Networks. Pomeroy judges the 9:30 Kentucky at Clemson game to have the highest thrill score due to best combination of talent and competitive nature of game. Kentucky given a 44% chance to win on the road. Only game rated closer competition is South Carolina with a 55% chance of winning at BC, but neither team looks like a conference contender there. I'm interested in what Mississippi will do at Louisville in a match of two teams that have played a bit better than expected so far. OU has also played better than expected to be undefeated so far and win the .Battle 4 Atlantis, but GT isn't a big threat to win an upset in Norman. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bierce Posted December 3 Author Share Posted December 3 I tried to edit my previous post but couldn't for some reason. Correct game times are 6, 6:30, 8, and 8:30. I was looking at Pomeroy and forget to adjust for central time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bierce Posted December 4 Author Share Posted December 4 3-0 SEC with Tennessee leading Syracuse by 20 with 5 minutes to go and Missouri leading Cal by 6 with 37.8 left and with the ball. South Carolina blasted BC and Georgia blasted ND by larger margins than expected. Arkansas really struggled against Miami, but the Arky offense was way better than it looked against Illinios. Much more passing and movement away from the ball. Miami jacked a lot of bad threes down the stretch, and Arky went on a run to win by 3. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkInAustin Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 I watched Bama lose to Oregon the other day. Bama plays VERY fast. Oregon stayed with them and shot just a tiny bit better. That game was played in Las Vegas. Oregon has a 7' Center, a white guy who is a solid scorer and rebounder and a pretty good athlete. Nate Bittle. He has led the way for the Ducks who are currently undefeated. Apparently the road to all B1G men's revenue sport titles runs through Eugene. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bierce Posted December 4 Author Share Posted December 4 Kentucky was sole loser last night, falling 70-66. Mississippi won in a rout. OU had a big run to start the second half to win by 15. The only SEC schools to not outscore their opponents by 10+ in the second half were SC and Georgia, and they both won by20+. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BobInHouston Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 Turned out that the Challenge was no challenge at all. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bierce Posted December 4 Author Share Posted December 4 Well, the real challenge is tonight. Texas goes to NC State in a game that Pomeroy gives Texas a 54% chance of winning, making it the most closely contested game. I've said before in other places that NC State profiles to force a lot of turnovers and make it hard to make threes, even though Purdue avoided the first and BYU made a bunch of the second in the two games in San Diego. I like our chances here, even without Kent. NC State is poor at rebounding on both ends. It doesn't take a lot of threes or make a high percentage of them, and we have been the best in the country at opponents' 2pt%. We don't turn the ball over much. As a result, some of our strengths offset some of their strengths, and others meet with their weaknesses. Auburn and Alabama are given a 43% chance of winning at Duke and at UNC respectively. Mississippi State has a 56% of beating Pitt, which had the only win over an SEC team (LSU) coming into this challenge. (My comment in the OP about Duke-Kentucky was in error). Vandy is slightly favored at Va Tech in a battle of cellar dwellers. Florida is expected to feast at home on Virginia. Florida/Virginia and Alabama/UNC tip off at 6:15. Rest, including Texas, tip off at 8:15. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BobInHouston Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 KenPom had 9-1 in favor the SEC last night and today looks like 3-3 or so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bierce Posted December 4 Author Share Posted December 4 3 minutes ago, BobInHouston said: KenPom had 9-1 in favor the SEC last night and today looks like 3-3 or so. Close, but not quite. Kentucky was a single point underdog at Clemson, and Mississippi was a four point underdog at Louisville according to Pomeroy. Today Auburn and Alabama are both 2 point underdogs. Texas, Florida, Mississippi State, and Vandy are favored, Texas being the only road favorite of the night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bierce Posted December 4 Author Share Posted December 4 BTW, Karaban suffered a mild concussion late in the game against Dayton. He didn't play against Maryland Eastern Shore and has been ruled out of UConn's game against Baylor tonight. We'll see if he'll be ready to go against us on Sunday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jordan91 Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 3 hours ago, bierce said: Well, the real challenge is tonight. Texas goes to NC State in a game that Pomeroy gives Texas a 54% chance of winning, making it the most closely contested game. I've said before in other places that NC State profiles to force a lot of turnovers and make it hard to make threes, even though Purdue avoided the first and BYU made a bunch of the second in the two games in San Diego. I like our chances here, even without Kent. NC State is poor at rebounding on both ends. It doesn't take a lot of threes or make a high percentage of them, and we have been the best in the country at opponents' 2pt%. We don't turn the ball over much. As a result, some of our strengths offset some of their strengths, and others meet with their weaknesses. Auburn and Alabama are given a 43% chance of winning at Duke and at UNC respectively. Mississippi State has a 56% of beating Pitt, which had the only win over an SEC team (LSU) coming into this challenge. (My comment in the OP about Duke-Kentucky was in error). Vandy is slightly favored at Va Tech in a battle of cellar dwellers. Florida is expected to feast at home on Virginia. Florida/Virginia and Alabama/UNC tip off at 6:15. Rest, including Texas, tip off at 8:15. Sadly Texas has struggled at times with poor rebounding teams. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkInAustin Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Have you been watching MD against tOSU? I just turned it on after dinner and found that MD is up 33 at half time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bierce Posted December 5 Author Share Posted December 5 21 minutes ago, Jordan91 said: Sadly Texas has struggled at times with poor rebounding teams. Did poorly on the boards against a weal rebounding St. Joe's. Did quite well on the boards against a good rebounding Syracuse team. Won both games. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jordan91 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 1 hour ago, MarkInAustin said: Have you been watching MD against tOSU? I just turned it on after dinner and found that MD is up 33 at half time. I watched it. Texas just came out with lazy perimeter defense. Ohio State got hot and that was it. RT is still upset with his defense. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bierce Posted December 5 Author Share Posted December 5 Florida fans chanting S-E-C and not Tigh-Tul-Nine. Go figure. Maybe the best part of this SEC-ACC challenge is that we aren't having to follow a Big East game, so our tip-off isn't delayed or our broadcast shunted to a different channel. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bierce Posted December 5 Author Share Posted December 5 Mark starting 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neil Leininger Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 UConn beat Baylor tonight and Karaban did not play. Baylor called for 25 fouls on the road. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bierce Posted December 5 Author Share Posted December 5 Nice anticipation by Kaluma for the steal and aggressiveness by Johnson on the drive for the jam. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neil Leininger Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 This is a great start. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bierce Posted December 5 Author Share Posted December 5 Mark's first play on offense is a length of the court drive for an and one. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jordan91 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 @bierce change in the starting lineup. Thoughts? No profanity please. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neil Leininger Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Just now, bierce said: Mark's first play on offense is a length of the court drive for an and one. That's his game. Not a great shot selection on the long step back two, but Johnson swisses it for 9-0 lead and NC State TO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkInAustin Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Just now, Jordan91 said: @bierce change in the starting lineup. Thoughts? No profanity please. Working so far Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neil Leininger Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 This switching on the PnR is not ideal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.