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March Madness Report: Huge opportunity in Waco (Monday 11:30 a.m. CST)


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March Madness Report: Huge opportunity in Waco 

Let's begin the Big Monday showdown in Waco with a chance to end a bad streak. The Texas Longhorns have the opportunity to do something tonight the program hasn't accomplished since February 1, 2016 - win at Baylor. That's right, it's been eight years since Texas walked out of the Ferrell Center with a victory. Of course that would be nice, but there are much more important and bigger things on the table tonight. 

With last weeks wins at Texas Tech and Oklahoma State in Austin, the Longhorns are back inside the top 30 of the NCAA NET rankings. Texas begins the week at No. 27. That means Texas is right there on the No. 7 seed line, and in position to avoid the dreaded 8/9 seed game winner against a No. 1 seed in the Round of 32.

A win tonight would unequivocally change the trajectory of Texas' potential seeding in the NCAA Tournament. If Texas pulled the upset (Baylor a 6.5 point favorite), the Horns would have a real shot to move to the 6/7 seed line headed into the regular season finale against arch-rival Oklahoma Saturday. 

OnTexasFootball takes a look at the various rankings and scenarios headed into tonights game. 

Texas NCAA Tournament seeding scenarios

Win at No. 15 Baylor: Texas moves to the 6/7 seed line. Would be a big mover/trajectory win. Would give Texas 6 Quad wins, and five Big 12 road wins. Would give Texas a fourth win over a ranked opponent this season. Would set up a very strong finish to the regular season with shot at 10-8 in Big 12 play. 

Loss at No. 15 Baylor: No pain, unless it's a really bad showing. Baylor is favored by 6.5 for good reason. Texas strength of schedule ascends tonight no matter the outcome. 

Loss at Baylor, and win Saturday against Oklahoma: Would keep Texas on that 7/8 seed line making a win in the Big 12 Tournament paramount. Would be a third Quad 2 win. And get Texas to 20 wins, and a 9-9 Big 12 record. 

Loss at Baylor and to Oklahoma: Texas would be on the 9/10 seed line, and limp into the Big 12 Tournament in need of a win. Would mean 19-12, and 8-10 in Big 12 play. 

Texas’ Remaining Regular Season Schedule
3/4 @ No. 15 Baylor 
3/9 Oklahoma 

NCAA Men’s Basketball NET Rankings (March 1)
Texas is No. 27 in NCAA NET headed into the game tonight. The Horns moved up 13 spots last week from No. 40 with wins at Texas Tech and Oklahoma State in Austin.

The Longhorns are 5-7 in Quad 1 games, 2-2 vs. Quad 2, 3-1 vs. Quad 3 and 8-0 vs. Quad 4. 

Quad 1 games remaining for the Longhorns:
No. 13 @ Baylor 

Quad 2 game remaining:
No. 41 Oklahoma 

T-Rank 
Texas is No. 23 in Bart Torvik’s rankings headed into Monday games.

2024 Ken Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings
Texas checks in at No. 26 headed into this week. Texas began last week at No. 28 prior to the two victories. 


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In the last meeting Hunter had one of his best games.  Against their guards, this has to happen again.  Also, in the last game their 7 footer didn't do much.  He has really come on recently.  Shedrick has to be able to help out against that guy.  If neither of these two things happen, we will get blown out.

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From UT …

Weaver named Big 12 Men’s Basketball Newcomer of the Week

Sophomore guard averaged 15.5 points and 6.0 rebounds in UT’s two victories last week.

 

IRVING, Texas — University of Texas sophomore guard Chendall Weaver has been named the Big 12 Conference Newcomer of the Week, the league office announced Monday. This marks Weaver’s first career weekly league honor.

 

In UT’s two wins last week, Weaver averaged 15.5 points and 6.0 rebounds in 26.4 minutes per game. He converted 52.6-percent (10-19) from the floor and 10-of-13 (.769) free throws during the two contests. Weaver also was a huge part of the Texas defensive effort that helped limit its two opponents to a combined 38.2-percent (42-110) shooting from the floor, including a 29.3-percent mark (12-41) from three-point range, and post a plus-12.5 rebound margin (41.5-29.0).

 

In Tuesday’s 81-69 win at Texas Tech (Feb. 27), Weaver tied his then-season high with 15 points while hitting a collegiate career-best 9-of-11 free throws and grabbed a season-high eight rebounds to go along with two assists, one block and one steal in 31 minutes. During Saturday’s 81-65 home victory over Oklahoma State (March 2), Weaver set his season high in scoring with 16 points while converting a collegiate career-best 7-of-12 field goals to go along with four rebounds, one assist and one steal in 22 minutes.

 

Texas (19-10, 8-8 Big 12) returns to action when it travels to face No. 11/11 Baylor later tonight. Tip is scheduled for 8 p.m. Central at Foster Pavilion, and the contest will be televised nationally by ESPN.

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Whether this team is seen as a success or not in RT's first season will all come down to this next month. 

A very inconsistent regular season has put them in a bad spot for a low at large seed so they'll need to pull an upset or two to make a deep run. 

With virtually unchecked NIL and portal there's now zero excuses for the wealthiest athletics program in the country to not be competing with the top of the sport in the 2 big money sports. All the pressure is on RT to show he's the guy because CDC's stellar track record shows he won't enjoy sitting on a mistake for long. 

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1 hour ago, Hermanator said:

Whether this team is seen as a success or not in RT's first season will all come down to this next month. 

A very inconsistent regular season has put them in a bad spot for a low at large seed so they'll need to pull an upset or two to make a deep run. 

With virtually unchecked NIL and portal there's now zero excuses for the wealthiest athletics program in the country to not be competing with the top of the sport in the 2 big money sports. All the pressure is on RT to show he's the guy because CDC's stellar track record shows he won't enjoy sitting on a mistake for long. 

Only issue with that is Texas isn’t trying to be that level in basketball. The University doesn’t act/do all the things necessary to reach that type status consistently

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3 hours ago, Gerry Hamilton said:

Only issue with that is Texas isn’t trying to be that level in basketball. The University doesn’t act/do all the things necessary to reach that type status consistently

I'm curious why would this be the case? Football and men's basketball are by far the two highest visibility sports in the country, and our athletic department has the resources to go all in on both of them. If you dominate those two sports you are the preeminent athletic department in the country to 99% of college sports fans and media. Why not put the effort and resources to really dominate those two?

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