Week Two: Charting The Passes (SJSU) - Manning/Caldwell

[Blake Munroe]

Arch Manning:
19/30, 295 yards, 4 TD, 1 INT

 

Matthew Caldwell:
2/3, 22 yards, 0 TD/INT

 

Key:

Combined Target Percentage Heat Map:

 

Yard Percentage Heat Map:

[Thanos72]

Hi Blake. Am I reading this right? Arch could have been 23/30 without drops/wr error? 63% vs 76% seems encouraging.  Do they define drops?

[Thanos72]

Guess not

[Blake Munroe]

On 9/8/2025 at 8:49 AM, Thanos72 said:

Hi Blake. Am I reading this right? Arch could have been 23/30 without drops/wr error? 63% vs 76% seems encouraging.  Do they define drops?

My apologies. I responded and never pressed submit. 😞 

 

You are correct! 1 WR error, 3 drops.... so at least 22/30 if those drops were hauled in.

[Thanos72]

All good. I thought you’d get a chuck. Data helps the eye test for sure. 

[Dread-headed Texan]

 

This graph explains who Arch is as a passer right now. The intermediate passing in the middle of the feild was an area of concern going into the season. Arch works best according to the chart and eye test outside the numbers and when in the RZ on waggles, flood concepts, and boots. Good thing is if teams want to play middle of the feild closed defenses they're playing to his strengths.