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    Jeff Howe
    If No. 19 Texas is going to avoid losing a third consecutive game when No. 7 Ole Miss rolls into DKR on Saturday (6:30 p.m., ABC), these five matchups must go the Longhorns' way.
    1. Texas’ Third-Down Offense vs. Ole Miss’ Third-Down Defense
    With the Longhorns going three-and-out on 46.2 percent of their offensive possessions against Tennessee (six of 12 drives), Oklahoma (seven of 15 drives) and Florida (five of 12 drives), it shouldn't come as a shock that Texas has the worst third-down offense in SEC play. The Longhorns moved the chains at an 8-for-36 clip in their first three conference games, including a 2-for-10 showing in their loss to the Gators last Saturday.
    The Rebels, however, have struggled to get off the field on third down. Pete Golding’s defense allowed its first four SEC opponents to go 30-for-61 (49.2 percent conversion rate) on third down, with Florida posting a 6-for-10 effort in its 52-28 rout of Ole Miss at the Swamp on Sept. 26.
    Unlike when it failed to take advantage of the Gators’ porous pass defense last week, Texas must take advantage of a perceived weakness and be at its best on third down to keep the Rebels’ potent offense off the field and to regain some much-needed confidence on offense.
    2. Texas’ Defensive Line vs. Ole Miss’ Offensive Line
    We’ll see how the availability report looks closer to kickoff, but Wednesday’s report included three starting offensive linemen for the Rebels: left tackle Terez Davis (questionable), right guard Patrick Kutas (probable) and center Brycen Sanders (questionable).
    Kutas, who was named SEC Co-Offensive Lineman of the Week for his performance in Ole Miss’ 31-3 win over Missouri last Saturday, slid from guard to center in place of Sanders. Even though the Rebels had to move pieces around and didn’t have a 100-percent healthy Kewan Lacy in the backfield, they still rushed for a season-high 257 yards (6.8 yards per attempt) against the Tigers, led by Lacy’s season-high 122 yards on 16 carries.
    If Colin Simmons is out, it’ll be up to the interior of the Longhorn defensive line (Ian Geffrard, Alex January, Hero Kanu and Maraad Watson) to set the tone, while an EDGE group that’ll be without Richard Wesley adjusts to life without Simmons.
    According to Pro Football Focus, 448 of the 990 rushing yards Ole Miss has gained this season have come on A- and B-gap runs. Another 293 yards have come on D-gap runs, making setting the edge and keeping contain the top priorities for Lance Jackson, Zina Umelozulu and the Texas edge defenders.
    Additionally, the Rebels are No. 2 nationally in pass blocking efficiency according to PFF, allowing just 22 total pressures on 235 pass attempts. When opponents pressure Chambliss, it’s hard to get home and get him on the ground, with Chambliss’ 12.2 percent pressure-to-sack rate ranking third among SEC quarterbacks who’ve been pressured on at least 15 dropbacks this season.
    While the Ole Miss front might be banged up, it’ll take the best effort of the season from Kenny Baker and LaAllan Clark’s groups to keep the Longhorns in the game. Texas will have to earn its opportunities to rush the passer on Saturday.
    3. Texas Wide Receivers vs. Ole Miss Defensive Backs
    Whether Arch Manning or KJ Lacey is behind center for the Longhorns, the game plan is likely to call for a lot of screen passes and quick throws to the perimeter. Against a secondary missing nickelback Edwin Joseph (the Florida State transfer suffered an ankle injury in Ole Miss’ 52-17 road win over Vanderbilt on Oct. 10), the Texas wideouts can control the game if they can maximize their opportunities in space.
    Based on PFF’s missed tackle data, 47.2 percent (34 of 72) of the Rebels’ missed tackles have come when defending the pass, the second-highest percentage of any defense in the SEC (Kentucky has missed 53.5 percent of its tackles in the passing game).
    Even though Jermaine Bishop Jr. only has 10 receptions on the season, no Longhorn has forced more missed tackles on receptions (four) than the true freshman, according to PFF. Forcing Ole Miss players to make plays in space is one of the few things Steve Sarkisian should feel his offense does well enough to make it a significant part of how he attacks Golding's defense.
    4. Texas Linebackers vs. Trinidad Chambliss
    No SEC quarterback is better in the intermediate passing game than Chambliss. According to Pro Football Focus, which has Chambliss graded at an SEC-leading 91.2 on throws 10-19 yards downfield, he's completing 60.9 percent of his intermediate throws for 647 yards, with six touchdowns against three interceptions.
    Intermediate throws are Chambliss’ second-favorite passing depth, according to PFF, with 30.5 percent of his attempts attacking the area 10-19 yards beyond the line of scrimmage. Furthermore, 19.5 percent of his attempts have been intermediate throws in the middle of the field, where he’s 25-for-41 on the season, with 464 yards and five touchdowns (two interceptions).
    It’s a big week for the Longhorn defense against one of the nation’s top quarterbacks. On top of handling their responsibilities of containing Chambliss’ playmaking ability when things break down, Rasheem Biles, Justin Cryer and any other Texas linebacker on the field need to be especially ready to answer the challenge when Chambliss targets them in coverage.
    5. Ryan Niblett vs. Oscar Bird
    Bird, who came to Oxford in 2025 by way of Australia, is already Ole Miss’ all-time leader in career punting average (46.5 yards per punt). Bird is averaging 48.6 yards per punt this season; six of his 18 punts have been downed inside the opponent’s 20-yard line (only one touchback) and seven of his punts have traveled 50 or more yards, including a season-best 60-yarder against Florida.
    The Longhorns can’t afford to give up field position. Niblett proved last week that he can still make things happen when he makes the first would-be tackler miss, but catching the football cleanly and helping the offense avoid situations where it has to start a possession near its goal line are of the utmost importance against the Rebels.
    Jeff Howe
    Steve Sarkisian faces the toughest on-field decision of his six-season tenure as No. 19 Texas welcomes No. 7 Ole Miss to DKR on Saturday (6:30 p.m., ABC).
    Will he continue to ride with Arch Manning as the Longhorns’ starting quarterback, hoping Manning can reverse course and stop his precipitous slide?
    Or will Sarkisian pull the plug and give KJ Lacey an opportunity to spark the offense?
    Other than resolving the quarterback conundrum, there are things Sarkisian and the Texas (4-2, 1-2 SEC) coaches can do to avoid the program’s first three-game losing streak since the Longhorns dropped five in a row late in Sarkisian’s 2021 debut.
    Here’s the checklist Texas must complete to stop the bleeding and get a much-needed win over the Rebels.
    — Pick an offensive identity and ride with it
    Sarkisian wants to be creative while being true to who the Longhorns are as an offense. That sounds good, in theory, but the offense needs consistency to be consistent.
    Between the quarterback situation, the offensive line coming off a forgettable performance in last Saturday’s 27-24 loss to Florida and Hollywood Smothers dealing with an apparent shoulder injury, Sarkisian’s hand could be forced when deciding how to attack Pete Golding’s defense.
    While there are times when the running game clicks, specifically when Sarkisian relies on duo and inside zone calls to get the job done, it’s not consistent enough to count on it when it matters. If Smothers and/or Derrek Cooper can’t go against Ole Miss (5-1, 3-1), Sarkisian might not have a choice but to lean into being an offense that operates almost exclusively out of 10 and 11 personnel.
    Especially if Raleek Brown is the only reliable runner available, getting the ball to Jermaine Bishop Jr. and Ryan Wingo in space with schemed-up deep shots for Cam Coleman and Emmett Mosley V sprinkled in might be the most effective means of moving the chains and setting up scoring opportunities.
    Whether it’s that or something else, Sarkisian can’t afford to waste possessions trying to figure out what might work. Be aggressive by focusing on the few things the offense has shown it can execute and, if the results are good, don’t pivot until Golding adjusts.
    — Have a plan to deal with Will Echoles
    According to Pro Football Focus, the 6-foot-3-inch, 315-pound future NFL draft pick has logged 199 of his 275 snaps in the B gap. That means Brandon Baker and Dylan Sikorski will have their hands full.
    Echoles’ 14 total pressures (according to PFF) are tied for the fourth-most among SEC interior defensive linemen. He leads the Ole Miss defensive line with eight stops (a solo tackle that constitutes a failure for the offense) and his 81.6 season-long PFF grade against the run is the 11th-best among SEC defensive linemen.
    Echoles is a game-wrecker. Considering the damage David Stone and Jayden Jackson did two weeks ago in Texas’ loss to Oklahoma in the Red River Shootout, the offense’s fate could hinge on how the interior of the Longhorn offensive line handles Echoles.
    — Prioritize communication and execution in coverage
    If Colin Simmons can’t go, Will Muschamp will have to take risks to put pressure on Trinidad Chambliss. When he turns up the heat, the Texas secondary will be vulnerable, meaning one-on-one battles must be won on the back end to give the Longhorns a chance.
    Only three of Chambliss’ 11 scrambles this season (according to PFF) have come from a clean pocket. Instead of bailing early and trying to make something happen when he feels the rush, Chambliss is executing at a high level against pressure, especially when he’s been blitzed.
    According to PFF, Chambliss has been blitzed on 36.4 percent of his dropbacks this season. Against the blitz, Chambliss is completing 62.7 percent of his passes (47-for-75) for 608 yards with six touchdowns and one interception.
    Chambliss has only been sacked twice on blitzes this season, resulting in an exceptional 8.7 percent pressure-to-sack rate (Manning, by contrast, has a 29.7 percent pressure-to-sack rate against the blitz this season, according to PFF).
    This week, coverage busts will lead to catastrophic mistakes. Whether Muschamp has his secondary playing man or zone coverage, communication and execution must be the best they’ve been all season to avoid getting burned by one of the nation’s top playmaking quarterbacks.
    — Prepare to maximize the “Middle 8”
    Losing the last four minutes of the first half and the first four minutes of the second half cost the Longhorns dearly against Oklahoma and Florida.
    Settling for a field goal on their last drive of the first half against the Sooners was bad enough, but the offense went three-and-out to open the third quarter and Oklahoma used a 42-yard run by Lloyd Avant to set up a 53-yard field goal by Tate Sandell, making it a one-score game.
    Sarkisian’s fourth-and-1 gamble backfired against the Gators, putting the Texas defense on a short field with 2:44 remaining until halftime. Florida converted a fourth-and-12 on its ensuing 9-play, 49-yard drive, cutting the Longhorns’ lead to a touchdown (17-10) with 18 seconds remaining in the half. The Gators got the ball to start the third quarter and went 3-for-3 on third down, covering 69 yards in 15 plays and milking more than eight minutes off the clock to tie the game.
    Texas has been outscored 37-14 in the second half of each of its last two games. The momentum in both losses started mounting for the opponent when the Longhorns failed to end the first half or start the second half on the right foot, a trend that must be reversed to give themselves a shot at knocking off the Rebels.
    Jeff Howe
    It’s time to revisit On Texas Football's “One Burning Question,” where we ask a question about the Texas Longhorns heading into a game.
    Entering Saturday’s 27-24 loss to Florida, the burning question was:
    Can Steve Sarkisian and Arch Manning get on the same page?
    They didn’t. It was bad enough that Sarkisian must at least entertain a quarterback change.
    Sarkisian is ultimately to blame for the Texas (4-2, 1-2 SEC) offense woefully underperforming.
    He assembled a roster he believed could execute his offense at a championship level. After Saturday’s loss to the Gators, the Longhorns rank among the worst offenses in the country in total offense (93rd), yards per play (tied for 104th), rushing offense (102nd), 10-yard plays from scrimmage (tied for 81st) and 20-yard plays from scrimmage (tied for 126th).
    Nevertheless, things came to a head in Sarkisian’s 19th consecutive game with Manning as his starting quarterback. Another week of blown opportunities, missed assignments, poor decision-making and Manning’s catastrophic mistakes overshadowing his positive plays might force Sarkisian to make a move that seemed unfathomable a few weeks ago.
    Sarkisian had hot routes to help Manning handle blitzes. He simplified his quarterback’s reads. There were run-pass options where Manning could've used his legs to jumpstart the offense.
    Manning, however, didn’t execute enough of those things to keep the offense from another feast-or-famine outing. Whether Manning isn’t confident enough to pull the trigger, can’t process what’s unfolding in front of him or is locked onto a predetermined read at all times, Sarkisian can no longer field an offense in which the starting quarterback needs training wheels.
    Manning’s inability to get rid of the football on time cost the offense time and again against Florida, most notably on Myles Graham’s strip-sack that ended Texas’ comeback bid. Manning appeared to have Emmett Mosley V open on an out route, but he held the ball too long and succumbed to pressure, for the fifth and final time (the Longhorns have allowed 17 sacks in three games and are tied for 117th in FBS by allowing 2.83 sacks per game), resulting in a game-clinching turnover.
    On second-and-3 from the Gators’ 16-yard line in the second quarter, Manning appeared to miss a pull read on a run-pass option. Had he pulled the ball instead of handing it off to Hollywood Smothers for a 4-yard loss, Manning could’ve either run for the first down or flipped the ball to Nick Townsend, who was open after leaking into the flat and had a chance to score.
    Instead of taking a two-touchdown lead, Texas settled for a field goal.
    Manning doesn’t appear capable of getting the offense out of a bad play (multiple rushing attempts into an outnumbered box and waves of unblocked defenders coming free on blitzes) or changing protection with a pre-snap check at the line of scrimmage. He’s incapable of making those decisions or doesn’t have Sarkisian’s trust to do so, either of which would be a serious indictment of Manning’s development (or lack thereof).
    There’s no question now that Manning has regressed. Attributes that were his strengths (pocket awareness chief among them) have become weaknesses that are holding the offense back.
    Whether Manning’s confidence has eroded to the point that he can’t regain or rebuild it is a legitimate concern.
    Is he broken?
    Can he fix what’s ailing him?
    If he does, will it happen before the house of cards collapses?
    The Sarkisian-Manning era was on a championship trajectory after last month’s comeback win over Ohio State.
    Five weeks later, Sarkisian might be closer to pulling the plug and starting anew than he is to riding it out, waiting for Manning to get back on track.
    Jeff Howe
    If you can’t win your get-right game, then you’re the get-right game.
    That’s what No. 7 Texas was for Florida in Saturday’s 27-24 loss, a defeat that drove home a few realities about where the Longhorns are halfway through the 2026 season:
    — The offense is broken and I don’t think Steve Sarkisian can fix it.
    It’s beyond sticking with the running game or dialing up high-percentage throws to get Arch Manning into a rhythm. Outside of the opening script and a late touchdown drive highlighted by Manning’s desperation fourth-and-7 heave to Emmett Mosley V, Texas (4-2, 1-2 SEC) was abysmal offensively against one of the worst defenses in the SEC.
    There’s no identity. There’s no flow or rhythm.
    The only thing the Longhorns do consistently is fail to execute in critical situations and put the defense in bad spots.
    The whole operation is a disaster and was every bit of one on Saturday.
    Almost half of the 272 yards the offense gained were on the first two drives. After that, nothing went right.
    When Sarkisian made calls that could've worked, Manning either missed open receivers, missed reads, misdiagnosed blitzes or put the offense behind the chains.
    — Sarkisian’s game management has regressed.
    Saturday’s loss looked a lot like the losses the Longhorns suffered in 2021 (which, by the way, is the last time Texas lost back-to-back regular-season games). According to Chris Hummer of CBS Sports, the Longhorns are the top-10 team in the Associated Press Top 25 since 2003 to blow a double-digit lead in back-to-back games.
    When Texas got up 17-3, the Longhorns put it in neutral. The offense lacked urgency until the Gators took a 10-point lead in the fourth quarter and the defense (a unit that's not without blame) was gassed
    The game flipped when Sarkisian went for it on fourth-and-1 from midfield with 3:23 left in the first half. A defense that had held its own finally cracked when asked to defend a short field (two of Florida’s three touchdown drives started in Longhorn territory).
    Florida (5-2, 2-2) ran 81 plays against Will Muschamp’s defense. Buster Faulkner followed the same plan that worked for Oklahoma, with Tramell Jones Jr. making his first career start: short, high-percentage passes to set up manageable third downs, which activated the play-action passing game thanks to Jadan Baugh being a threat in short-yardage situations (all eight of the Gators’ third-down conversions came with a to-go distance of seven or less).
    Jon Sumrall’s team kept chopping wood, just like Sooners did in the Red River Shootout last Saturday. The tougher team found a way to win, and for the second week in a row, it wasn't Sarkisian's squad.
    — It’s seriously time to look at moving on from Manning.
    I’ve been hesitant to buy into the Longhorns changing quarterbacks. But Manning isn’t making enough plays to offset catastrophic mistakes.
    Either Manning doesn’t have a feel for when to make a pull read on RPOs or read options or Sarkisian doesn’t trust him to make the read and the pull read isn’t a part of the play. Beyond that, Manning looked gun-shy, held onto the ball too long and for the second week in a row, turned the ball over on the offense’s last possession of regulation.
    The main question regarding Manning isn’t whether he’s regressed. It’s whether Manning can get to a point where he can be trusted to manage the game. If that can’t happen, Sarkisian has to look long and hard about what's best for the Longhorns.
    — The defense will have issues if Colin Simmons, who was carted back to the locker room in the fourth quarter with an apparent lower leg injury, is out for an extended period of time.
    Right now, Muschamp doesn’t have another defender who can take over a game like Simmons can. Whether Simmons was on the field or not, it’s hard to know how much of the defense’s issues are because of the lopsided play differential or Faulkner out-scheming Muschamp with an inexperienced quarterback and an offense that won the line-of-scrimmage battle.
    — We can stop talking about the College Football Playoff. We need to start talking about whether this team can pull the nose up offensively to qualify for a bowl game.
    Yes, it’s that bad right now.
    Saturday was a chance to get right. Instead, the loss reinforced everything that’s wrong with Texas.
    That there are too many questions and concerns to count at the halfway point is disturbing, especially since Sarkisian doesn’t have any obvious answers.
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