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Miller has 50% success in Sweet 16. Painter has 25% win rate in Sweet 16, losing multiple times as heavy favorite. It’s Miller Time!! Hook em!! 🧡🤘🏼🐂🏀

Here’s a clear side-by-side comparison of Sean Miller (Texas) and Matt Painter (Purdue) based on their full March Madness coaching histories (updated through the 2026 tournament run so far). Data draws from official records on Sports-Reference, Wikipedia tournament summaries, and program histories. Overall NCAA Tournament Records • Sean Miller: 25-13 (.658 win %) across 14–15 appearances (Xavier 5, Arizona ~7–8, Xavier return 2, Texas 1). No Final Fours. • Matt Painter: 25-17 (.595 win %) across 18 appearances (1 at Southern Illinois + 17 at Purdue). 1 Final Four (2024 runner-up). Miller has the edge in winning percentage despite fewer trips; Painter has more volume and the lone deep Final Four run. History in Sweet 16 Games (Record in the Round of 16 Matchup Itself) This is how they’ve performed once they reach the Sweet 16—wins advance them to the Elite Eight. • Sean Miller: 4-4 in Sweet 16 games (4 advances to Elite Eight out of 8 prior appearances). • Advances (wins): Xavier 2008; Arizona 2011 (upset #1 Duke), 2014, 2015. • Exits (losses): Xavier 2009 & 2023; Arizona 2013 & 2017. • He’s now in his 9th Sweet 16 (including this year’s Texas run). 50% advance rate once there. • Matt Painter: 2-6 (or 2-5 depending on exact count) in Sweet 16 games (2 advances to Elite Eight out of 8 appearances). • Advances (wins): Purdue 2019 (then to E8), 2024 (then to Final Four + title game). • Exits (losses): Purdue 2009, 2010, 2017, 2018, 2022 (notable: lost to 15-seed Saint Peter’s—the first 15-seed ever to win a Sweet 16 game). • He’s now in his 8th–9th Sweet 16 (Purdue’s recent streak is elite). ~25% advance rate once there. Edge: Miller has been markedly better at winning the Sweet 16 game and advancing (4x vs. Painter’s 2x). Painter’s teams get there often but stall more frequently. Sean Miller’s History Coaching as an Underdog in March Madness There isn’t one single “official” aggregated stat for “record strictly as underdog” (betting line or seed-based), but Miller has a well-documented track record of thriving when his team is the lower seed or not favored—exactly the spot Texas is in Thursday. Key examples of Miller pulling upsets or deep runs as underdog: • 2011 Arizona (5-seed): Upset defending champion #1 Duke 93-77 in the Sweet 16 (explicitly noted as an underdog win), then reached Elite Eight. • 2008 Xavier: Mid-major program to the Elite Eight (won their Sweet 16 game). • Multiple Round of 32 wins: Miller is a perfect 9-0 all-time in the second round across schools—often as the lower seed or against higher expectations. • 2023 Xavier (lower seed in bracket): Sweet 16 run. • 2026 Texas (11-seed): Already three upsets in five days (First Four + wins over higher seeds including #3 Gonzaga) to reach this Sweet 16—his latest underdog masterpiece. Miller has never reached a Final Four, but his underdog success rate in big spots (upsets of 1-seeds, deep runs from 4/5/11 seeds) is notable and gives hope in mismatch games. He simply has more experience winning when the pressure and seeding are against him. Painter, by contrast, has almost always been the favorite or high seed (1–4 seed in most deep Purdue runs). His notable moments as “underdog” are rare; instead, his history includes a few shocking losses to underdogs while favored (e.g., 16-seed Fairleigh Dickinson in 2023, 15-seed in Sweet 16 2022). Bottom line for Thursday: Miller enters as the clear underdog (11-seed vs. 2-seed Purdue), but this is the exact scenario where his history shines—4-4 in Sweet 16 games overall and proven upset wins when not favored. Painter has the Final Four pedigree and more Sweet 16 trips, but lower success rate advancing from there. Texas has a real shot if they play to Miller’s underdog strengths (physicality, rebounding, momentum from the Gonzaga win). Hook ’em Horns—history says Miller knows how to make these moments count! Enjoy the game.

Either Becerra or Mendoza.

Yea curious why he still in there , who is the back up short stop ?

These swing attempts don't look anything close to a full swing from A-Rod.

Yay! We get to see a lot of the bullpen today.

This 3rd baseman and Utermark last weekend have made some outstanding plays.

It'd be nice if we could have Rob Wright for the Purdue game. AI still has work to do.

End of 2: Texas 2, Auburn 0

That's 58 pitches through two innings for Volantis.

Apparently, the most pain he has is when he swings and misses.

I think this ump needs some glasses

GerHam>>>KenPom

I wonder if his had will ever be right

At this point, I think you just hope Volantis can get you through the 5th inning with how many pitches he is throwing.

Any chance we keep him and Dylan to come back?

Texas can be an elite basketball school, and Sean Miller is taking us there on the court. In the stands, let’s start acting like the fans of other elite basketball schools! Texas is the #30 fan base in terms of # of subscribers to KenPom. Let’s climb those rankings and get everyone more educated about college basketball. It’s a great website, I’ve learned so much on it. An account only costs $24 per year (cheaper than OTF 😜). I encourage all Longhorn fans to make one!

Shout out to the media team. The UT promotion video is the best in college athletics.

M2: Texas 2, Auburn 0

Casey Borba’s one-out, two-run home run puts Texas on top in the top of the second, 2-0.

Borbomb!

Boom

Score your walks!!!