Both predictions leave Texas at the semifinals, with Texas getting a bye, followed by games against either BYU/Miami (quarterfinals) and Georgia/Indiana (semifinals)

Full predictions from ESPN:

First-round games (at campus sites)

Friday, Dec. 18
8 p.m., ESPN

Saturday, Dec. 19
Noon, ABC/ESPN
3:30 p.m., TNT
7:30 p.m., TNT

Bonagura: No. 12 Boise State at No. 5 Ohio State
Schlabach: No. 12 North Dakota State at No. 5 Indiana

Bonagura: No. 11 LSU at No. 6 Miami
Schlabach: No. 11 Penn State at No. 6 Miami

Bonagura: No. 10 Penn State at No. 7 Ole Miss
Schlabach: No. 10 LSU at No. 7 Ohio State

Bonagura: No. 9 BYU at No. 8 Alabama
Schlabach: No. 9 Alabama at No. 8 BYU

CFP quarterfinals

Wednesday, Dec. 30

Vrbo Fiesta Bowl
State Farm Stadium (Glendale, Arizona)
7:30 p.m., TNT
Bonagura: No. 5 Ohio State vs. No. 4 Georgia
Schlabach: No. 5 Indiana vs. No. 4 Georgia

Friday, Jan. 1

Time slots for quarterfinals at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic, Rose Bowl Game presented by Prudential and Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl to be determined on Selection Day (Dec. 6)

Quarterfinals Game 2
Noon, TNT
Bonagura: No. 7 Ole Miss vs. No. 2 Indiana
Schlabach: No. 7 Ohio State vs. No. 2 Ole Miss

Quarterfinals Game 3
4 p.m., ABC/ESPN
Bonagura: No. 8 Alabama vs. No. 1 Notre Dame
Schlabach: No. 8 BYU vs. No. 1 Texas

Quarterfinals Game 4
8 p.m., ESPN
Bonagura: No. 6 Miami vs. No. 3 Texas
Schlabach: No. 6 Miami vs. No. 3 Notre Dame

CFP semifinals, national championship game

 

Thursday, Jan. 14

Capital One Orange Bowl
Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, Florida)
7:30 p.m., TNT
Bonagura: No. 3 Texas vs. No. 2 Indiana
Schlabach: No. 4 Georgia vs. No. 1 Texas

Friday, Jan. 15

Allstate Sugar Bowl
Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
7:30 p.m., ABC/ESPN
Bonagura: No. 4 Georgia vs. No. 1 Notre Dame
Schlabach: No. 7 Ohio State vs. No. 6 Miami

Monday, Jan. 25

CFP National Championship
Allegiant Stadium (Las Vegas)
7:30 p.m., ABC/ESPN
Bonagura: No. 2 Indiana vs. No. 1 Notre Dame
Schlabach: No. 7 Ohio State vs. No. 4 Georgia

 

https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/49974671/2026-27-week-3-college-football-playoff-cfp-bowl-projections

 

BYU would be a fantastic draw in the Quarterfinals for Texas if they can survive this schedule and possibly the SEC Championship Game.

Would love to not have to play Georgia twice. My model currently slightly favors Georgia on a neutral field. 

I would like to avoid Georgia please. Just because. We beat them in 2018…but I’d rather not ride that ride again seeing the way it’s gone lately.