Putting the Boom on the Sooners (aka it's the defense, Stoop-id)

[HookedOnTF]

Since 2005, the teams have played 22 times (including the 2018 Big 12 title game). Oklahoma leads 12-10, even though Texas has outscored OU 694-655.

Close games are why:

One-score games: OU 9, Texas 3. Double-digit games: Texas 7, OU 3.

But the answer isn't simply to go All Gas.

From 2014 to 2023 Texas lost 8 of 11 and averaged 33.4 points in those eight losses. Seven were by one score.

Texas is only 5-3 when scoring 35+, and 4-3 at 40+.

The race to 23:

OU is 12-2 when scoring 23 or more.

Texas has won only once when scoring fewer than 23.

But getting there doesn't save Texas: 9-8 when scoring 23+.

It's the defense:

OU has not beaten Texas with fewer than 28 and is 0-8 when held to 20 or under. OU hasn't landed between 21 and 27 once.

Texas's last three wins: 49-0, 34-3, 23-6.

It sure is hard to get to 23 pts without TDs, so let Boom cook!!!

My golden hat score: Texas 24 OU 9

[AusMOJO]

OU took advantage of a down Texas to beat up on us. 

[Parker]

4 hours ago, HookedOnTF said:

Since 2005, the teams have played 22 times (including the 2018 Big 12 title game). Oklahoma leads 12-10, even though Texas has outscored OU 694-655.

Close games are why:

One-score games: OU 9, Texas 3. Double-digit games: Texas 7, OU 3.

But the answer isn't simply to go All Gas.

From 2014 to 2023 Texas lost 8 of 11 and averaged 33.4 points in those eight losses. Seven were by one score.

Texas is only 5-3 when scoring 35+, and 4-3 at 40+.

The race to 23:

OU is 12-2 when scoring 23 or more.

Texas has won only once when scoring fewer than 23.

But getting there doesn't save Texas: 9-8 when scoring 23+.

It's the defense:

OU has not beaten Texas with fewer than 28 and is 0-8 when held to 20 or under. OU hasn't landed between 21 and 27 once.

Texas's last three wins: 49-0, 34-3, 23-6.

It sure is hard to get to 23 pts without TDs, so let Boom cook!!!

My golden hat score: Texas 24 OU 9 https://www.notion.so/

Awesome deep dive on the numbers. Red River almost always comes down to defense settling the chaos, not just chasing stats. Holding them under 20 is the ultimate formula—24-9 feels like a very realistic prediction!

[HookedOnTF]

7 hours ago, AusMOJO said:

OU took advantage of a down Texas to beat up on us. 

Also true, along with very different coaches on both sides.

But holding them under 20 is still probably necessary and achievable...

[Alex Butler]

9 hours ago, HookedOnTF said:

Since 2005, the teams have played 22 times (including the 2018 Big 12 title game). Oklahoma leads 12-10, even though Texas has outscored OU 694-655.

Close games are why:

One-score games: OU 9, Texas 3. Double-digit games: Texas 7, OU 3.

But the answer isn't simply to go All Gas.

From 2014 to 2023 Texas lost 8 of 11 and averaged 33.4 points in those eight losses. Seven were by one score.

Texas is only 5-3 when scoring 35+, and 4-3 at 40+.

The race to 23:

OU is 12-2 when scoring 23 or more.

Texas has won only once when scoring fewer than 23.

But getting there doesn't save Texas: 9-8 when scoring 23+.

It's the defense:

OU has not beaten Texas with fewer than 28 and is 0-8 when held to 20 or under. OU hasn't landed between 21 and 27 once.

Texas's last three wins: 49-0, 34-3, 23-6.

It sure is hard to get to 23 pts without TDs, so let Boom cook!!!

My golden hat score: Texas 24 OU 9

Good stuff!! Let’s don’t give ‘em a single yard!!!!!