Texas No. 5, Ohio State No. 1 in final 2025 preseason SP+ rankings

[Blake Munroe]

 SP+ is a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency. It is a predictive measure of the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football, not a résumé ranking, and, along those same lines, these projections aren't intended to be a guess at what the AP Top 25 will look like at the end of the year. These are simply early offseason power rankings based on the information we have been able to gather to date.

 

https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/45966848/college-football-2025-preseason-sp+-rankings

 

 

[HookedOnTF]

Separating this from the 10-2 bargain thread was savvy!  I'm personally all in for an undefeated season.  SP+ at 9 wins feels bearish! 10-2 is what to take to Vegas.

I like that the FPI table also includes chances of going undefeated to calibrate exuberance. A 9% chance is pretty reassuring to me! SP+ would curb that enthusiasm a bit but then we can explain away preseason data 😎

 

 

 

[alrightalrightalright]

Here’s where I disagree with Connelly’s holes on the lines and receiving core “logic”…

Lance Gunn said it best this morning, “Colin Simmons wasn’t a starter but he can play. Burke wasn’t a starter but he can play.” Sark added Power 4 DTs Cole Brevard, Travis Shaw, Maraad Watson, Lavon Johnson to go with Alex January and Melvin Hills who have been in the program. Experience all along the line. Josiah Sharma, Lance Jackson, Justus Terry, Myron Charles as added depth in recruiting on the DL.

Brooks Austin says it about Georgia all the time, “you don’t have to fill holes if you’re consistently recruiting and bringing in talent.” That’s what Texas is doing, doesn’t feel like we get the benefit of the doubt so let’s continue proving people wrong.

On the receiving core end, DeAndre Moore and Ryan Wingo return. Arch got all his snaps with Wingo on 2nd team last year. We added proven talent in Jack Endries and Emmett Mosley. There shouldn’t be any question here after Sark’s proven it with Adonai Mitchell, Matthew Golden, Silas Bolden, Isiah Bond.

Proven talent development in recruiting high school and transfer players via the draft.

The spin I can put on Connelly’s SP+ ranking is that 5 feels like the floor for Texas given his assessment.

Edit: didn’t even touch on the fact that the OL has all been in the program 2-3 years. Campbell returns, Goosby has experience by fire, Cole Hutson’s had his share of snaps, and Arch has worked with these guys on 2nd team. I had to get back to work 😂

Edited 47 minutes ago by alrightalrightalright
OL