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Saturday: A New World Order

ESPN reported yesterday that the SEC and Big Ten are joining to form an exploratory advisory committee to determine the future of college sports.

That’s big. Like as big as it gets in college sports.

The two heavyweights of college sports are officially prepping to leave the NCAA.

So where do we go from here?

I truly don’t know. Like everyone else, I can pontificate what it should be - 48 teams? 64? - but I don’t know the exact answer.

The key question I have is this:

What is the financial model between player, team and league going to be?

Does college football follow the NFL model of financial parity? That’s unlikely because the Big Ten and SEC have already struck their own media deals. But there could be some abbreviated form of it that makes sense.

Or do we see more of a Major League Baseball model where there’s a salary cap but teams can go over it if they want. That’s a move that would allow there to be a Yankees and Dodgers of college football, which frankly seems kind of on point. There’s not a ton of parity in college football today and that’s part of what makes it interesting.

I don’t know which way this will go. But the model they construct will be the biggest question of all because it will determine what CFB looks like for generations to come.

***

If you’re interested in this topic further, I highly recommend reading the report of Yahoo!’s Ross Dellenger. The report yesterday included interviews with the commissioners of both leagues on this very topic.

I have linked that report below for those who want to read.

https://sports.yahoo.com/sec-big-ten-uniting-to-tackle-pervasive-issues-in-college-athletics--pressures-are-mounting-172832810.html

 

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3 minutes ago, Realist Horn said:

As long as they don’t call it an Alliance. I’d be curious to see what Fox and ESPN offer to split the games. Fox gets Big10 home games, SEC gets ACC home games with numerous cross conference games a year. 

I’m still mad about the fact we won’t get to see a Texas game in that 3:00 slot for CBS🤦🏼‍♂️

uthorn1374

Supporters

Add

SEC

1. Clemson

2. FSU

3. Miami

4.  UNC

5.  NCST

6.  Duke

7.  Georgia Tech

8.  Louisville

Big 10

1. Notre Dame

2.  Virginia Tech

3.  Virginia

4. Pitt

5.  West Virginia 

6.  Kansas

7. Kansas St

8. Iowa St

9. SMU?

10. Utah?

 

dentonhorn

Members

Depressing. Wonder how many years until they don’t have to attend class. Players aren’t limited to eligibility years and can play as long as they want, or, as early as they want, leaving HS as a junior to sign with the highest bidder. There’s a reason I never watched the NFL much and only college and HS. HS is next. 

2 minutes ago, dentonhorn said:

Depressing. Wonder how many years until they don’t have to attend class. Players aren’t limited to eligibility years and can play as long as they want, or, as early as they want, leaving HS as a junior to sign with the highest bidder. There’s a reason I never watched the NFL much and only college and HS. HS is next. 

They’ve already passed a law here in Georgia that lets high school players benefit off their likeness. It’s wild.

cmk4pres

Supporters

They already don't really attend class. A lot players do online classes. 
 

Sankey is so far ahead of the NCAA it's crazy. 

Longhornmd

Members

Does this help FSU get out of the ACC? With possible replacement of NCAA that could lead to conference mergers to make up a 48 or 64 model.  Does this also force Notre Dame to join a conference and do away with independents?

Glass Joe

Supporters

The Longhorns football franchise, sponsored by the University of Texas.  

In addition to the foundational business model, I’m anxious to see what the new talent acquisition model will be for the new league.

Will we still have recruiting, or will it be replaced by a draft?

Assuming we go to a model of revenue sharing between the big two leagues, and collectively bargained revenue sharing between players and schools, the next question is how do the schools distribute the football talent (players) to achieve an equitable / parity approach to the new competitive balance?

TV partners aren’t paying billions of dollars to have certain schools in key TV markets completely tune-out because their favorite college franchise can’t attract the talent necessary to win any football games.  There’s no point in TV partners investing billions in this new model if certain franchises (Minnesota, Iowa, et al) don’t have an opportunity to stay within 50 points of the opponent (Bama, UGa, LSU, Texas) every Saturday.  

The TV partners will want all TV markets to have some competitive balance, which means the talent (players) will need to be distributed in some equitable way across the franchises.  The lack of equitable resource distribution is a major reason we have the problems in college football that we have today.  

The current reality is that maybe 10-15 schools can win a championship, and particularly so as we move toward a 12-team playoff (there won’t be any TCUs making the championship game going forward in the 12-team landscape).  And without some sort of mechanism to more equitably distribute the resources (players), you’ll simply have the same small handful of teams winning the championships every year - and they’ll all be concentrated in a small number of states across the country (Texas, Florida, Georgia, Bama, Louisiana, Ohio, and occasionally Michigan).  That’s a very small number of TV viewers relative to the entire country, so if the goal is growing the sport of college football a la the NFL, you need a talent model that fosters a competitive balance across all 48 or 64 schools.  A draft?

SpaceCityWrangler

Supporters

You’re going to need a governing body that has way, way more power than the NCAA.  For example, at a minimum, they need to have the power to subpoena.

-a new subdivision (how many teams?)

-a governing party with real power. Tampering is a HUGE problem as I type. 

-complete transparency with NIL

-universal set of rules… example: one portal transfer; 30 day portal window when a head coach leaves (could potentially give a player two moves).  We have that now.  But, many more are needed. 

-NIL salary cap? That’s a tough one.  I do think schools should be able to use funds from organizations like the LHF.  Maybe a hard cap that only a few schools could reach, but they can’t exceed it.

Chinadoll10

Supporters

Whatever happens, it sure feels good to be in the SEC. We get to sit back watch everything unfold and influence how we see fit. The BBs being in the box feels good man. 

Jerry K

Supporters

Going to be interesting how it unfolds. Just thinking about football is only part of the solution. Throw in all other collegiate athletics and that complicates things a lot. 

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