Brian Carter

Tre Johnson tonight…

After watching our 1st half fall apart, I figured some thought and analysis on "prevent" defense was warranted. Most of us probably felt this is the case, but nice to know when they line up like this, we aren't crazy for feeling anxious: The "prevent" defense is a widely debated strategy in football, particularly in late-game or end-of-half situations where the primary goal is to prevent big plays rather than aggressively stop shorter gains. While it has its uses, statistics and analysis often criticize it for several reasons: 1. Yards Allowed Increase Statistics: Teams utilizing the prevent defense tend to allow more yards per play compared to their standard defensive formations. NFL and college football data show that prevent schemes can allow an increase of 20-30% more yards per play than base defenses. Analysis: By playing softer coverage and rushing fewer defenders, offenses exploit underneath routes and intermediate gains to move down the field quickly. 2. Scoring Efficiency by Opponents Statistics: Opposing offenses have a higher scoring efficiency when facing prevent defenses. Studies have indicated that teams score on around 50-60% of drives when prevent defenses are used, compared to a lower percentage against traditional schemes. Analysis: The cushion provided allows quarterbacks to make easier completions, often leading to field goal range or late-game touchdowns. 3. Time of Possession Impact Statistics: Despite limiting deep plays, prevent defenses often fail to consume enough time, as teams can complete quick sideline passes and preserve clock while advancing the ball. Analysis: A team in a two-minute drill can effectively move 40-50 yards in just 30 seconds without much resistance, as the defense focuses on deeper coverage rather than contesting short routes. 4. Conversion Rates Statistics: Third and fourth-down conversion rates significantly increase against prevent defenses, with some studies suggesting conversion rates over 70%, as compared to 40-50% against standard defensive looks. Analysis: The softer zones give offenses manageable distances to convert, leading to sustained drives and scoring opportunities. 5. Win Probability Models Statistics: Advanced analytics and win probability models show that teams switching to prevent defenses in close games see a 4-10% decrease in win probability, depending on the time remaining and field position. Analysis: Prevent defenses often lead to complacency, allowing opponents to gain momentum and pressure the defense in critical moments. 6. Red Zone Effectiveness Statistics: Once an offense enters the red zone against a prevent defense, scoring percentages rise to over 75%, due to the reduced field space negating the deep-zone advantage. Analysis: The prevent defense fails to adjust efficiently to red-zone spacing, making it easier for offenses to exploit matchups.

RT is a great human as was Charlie Strong, but was an emotional hire. His only good season has and will be Beard's team and system. Beard commanded his team and had the energy to lead and had RT in the background to be the glue, calm voice opposing his brash and direct style. Hoping we find something moving forward but this feels like the Penders years all over again. He was a good coach but not great. Given the athletic department's current place in the world - UT should have a great coach!

This is so bad...we aren't a good team whatsoever. Some good players and a lot terrible execution, system, and coaching. Tough sell to come to UT for anyone with this product on the floor. We look lost, without purpose and that 100% is coaching, especially when you recruit YOUR team as a coach. Can't blame anyone else...lots of mid-majors are competitive in the tourney because of development and coaching. We seem to have neither...

If it's snowing in Texas (or has recently) ...it will be impacted.

I was curious if the tipped ball changes the designation from being "defenseless". Any good explanation on the two no calls? It has been an odd thing to watch.