HookedOnTF

<1 pt per drive Factoring in TO, negative ppd Superbad

Lol ok Brooks sorry I discouraged people from watching! AI (not ML btw) is helpful for people without free time 😉

Here's another more specific question. The top 20 p4 offenses in points per drive score at least 3 points. Texas is under 2.4 pts/drive, which is #42 and not in the the top 10 of any of the 4 power conferences. How do we find an extra .5 pts/drive, or an extra 2 drives per game, to have championship caliber offense if you agree that this metric matters? Source: OFEI

This is fair, because if he did, I'd ask: since we passed on Keelon Russell, then we must have other great options in our QB room to try, right?

If he replies, well OU is 137th in rushing average and A&M is 129th in yds/play then I would just say, ok hookem

@CJ Vogel following up on Sark deflecting your good questions, maybe ask something like this: what stats are you most focused on improving, statistically, on offense - as specific examples, out of 138 D1 teams here is how Joel Klatt framed our offense this week:

Is the hiring priority teaching/installing, or game day playcalling and adjustments? The first would be more of a teacher, the latter could be a NFL guy. But the crux on the first is finding a guy thats great at teaching college athletes who can Grok Sark's NFL playbook and system, while an NFL guy might only know how to work with pros - possibly very transactionally too.

P.s.s. I'm rooting for Arch and Sark. I hope Sark wins multiple championships in the next decade and hope Arch builds on his Texas degree to succeed in whatever he wants to do in life. Both are worthy of Lifetime Longhorn Legend status just based on success to date. But the football business decision is simply win or fix it fast.

P.s. Analogy from Gemini: Whether a potter fixes a flaw depends entirely on when the flaw is discovered and how severe it is. Because clay goes through different structural stages, the rule of thumb is: the wetter the clay, the easier it is to fix; the drier the clay, the more likely you are to scrap it and start over.

Here's a Gemini summary of the video. I could only watch 9 minutes but that was enough for me to wonder why an OC couldn't make 3rd quarter adjustments to routes and or joysticking the QB. Also makes me wonder why - forget making right progression reads - neither QB developer nor uncles can get through on mechanics and throwing it away. --- Based on this detailed film study of the Texas offense, the blame for the problems is shared across Arch Manning, head coach Steve Sarkisian, and the offensive line (10:54). The video breaks down how each component contributed to the struggles against Oklahoma's defense (2:39). The issues can be attributed to the following key factors: 1. Arch Manning's Inconsistencies & Conceptual Grasp The analyst expresses significant frustration with Arch Manning, noting that while he shows elite flashes and throws "dots," his overall performance is a massive roller coaster (0:54). Lack of Progress & Internal Clock: Manning is heavily criticized for having "garbage" internal clock management (13:53). He frequently refuses to check the ball down when a primary route is covered, opting to stand with dead feet in a collapsing pocket (15:50). Misreading Concepts: On multiple plays, Manning seems to struggle with full conceptual grasp of the offense (14:01). For example, after moving off a covered route to his right, his eyes and shoulders inexplicably dart back to the left side where no receivers or routes even exist (16:16). Mechanics and RPO Execution: He misreads RPO pull/give triggers early in the game (4:16), struggles with "arm talent" (touch and finding alternate slot angles) versus pure raw arm strength (21:30), and displays erratic ball placement—such as missing open "YAC" (yards after catch) opportunities (33:21) or airmailing a desperate throw across his body for an easy pick-six (34:20). 2. Steve Sarkisian's Play-Calling Constraints While the film guy praises Sarkisian for dialing up some beautiful, open concepts that Manning simply missed or couldn't get to, he also points out a degree of "hard-headedness" from the head coach (10:54). Failing to Build in "Hots": Oklahoma consistently brought "seven-up" pre-snap pressure configurations (26:47). Despite knowing Oklahoma's tendency to create free hitters, Sarkisian's scheme failed to build in immediate "hot" routes or adjustments to give Manning a quick place to go with the football, forcing a throwaway or an interception (27:59). Relying on Uncomfortable Concepts: Sarkisian is criticized for repeatedly calling concepts—like fake swing-back tunnel screens—that Manning has historically struggled to execute, rather than tailoring the package strictly to what his young quarterback is comfortable with (21:09). 3. The Offensive Line's Slow Eyes and Feet The offensive line is certainly a major part of the problem, though the analyst clarifies they are often blamed for sacks that were actually caused by Manning drifting into pressure (17:45). However, their technical performance was poor: The Center Position: The center is singled out for having both "slow eyes" and "slow feet" (9:51). When defensive lines executed basic stunts or nose tackles shifted away, the center failed to snap his eyes back to locate the looping defender, setting his feet terribly and completely falling out of pass protection (10:15). Losing the Physical Battle: On short-yardage downs, the line simply lacked the edge. The analyst points out specific blockers getting completely "tossed like a ragdoll," summarizing that Oklahoma simply "brought the fight" and physically out-leveraged the unit (7:58). Ultimately, the video concludes that Texas lost because it was an entirely "up and down" offensive display where a struggling line, an uncompromising game plan, and a young quarterback with zero pocket presence compound each other's mistakes (9:51).

The answer for better or worse takes the burden off of the QB, and puts it on the OC. Arch did what he was asked and it didnt work on 3 and outs so..... But thats why I'd put some analytics data to him where we are, indisputably, statistically way below standards, and ask what can be done about it. Specific. And anticipating and ruling out the coachspeak, e.g. why do we suck on third down will just elicit got to be better running the ball on early downs.

Hey @Rod Babers! Unfortunately I cant watch all of the weekly video content. Have you recently analyzed or commented on how we're doing this year on using motion? If so, which episode should I check out? If not - would love your insights!

How are the tigahs handling the royal flip? Just completes the weekend for them too I bet. But while we are ok to be done with it i bet they are salty.

I wonder which team lost the best today in his eyes!

Don't think that's what the evidence says.