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The past few years I've been tracking the accuracy of the Mock Composite draft site, which aggregates mock draft data from 180 big boards and over 1,300 first round mock drafts. Typically the first round has been pretty accurate - the past two drafts they hit on 27 of the 32 first rounders for example, with most of the misses getting drafted in the 2nd round, with the major exceptions of Shedeur Sanders last year and Jermond McCoy this year. Below is this year's data in table form (I had to wait until McCoy was picked - he was mocked at 17 but ended up 101 or fourth round). A yellow background in the 'Mock' column means those five players were drafted in round one but mocked lower (Banks mocked 44 or round 3 but drafted 18 for example). A blue background in the 'NFL draft' column is for the five guys mocked round 1 but drafted later. Three were picked early in round 2, a fourth late in round 2 and McCoy (coming back from injury) slipped into round 4, similar to what happened with Sanders last year (minus the injury excuse). So most of the mock's misses were still reasonably close. 'Delta' column shows the difference between mock and actual slot, with red indicating the mock was too optimistic. The red 59 at the bottom is the sum of these. Minus 59 means the average error for 37 players was less than 2 spots, which is impressive. 'abs delta' column adds the absolute errors, so plus seven and minus 7 would be zero in the 'Delta' column, but 14 here. If you divide the number (345) by the number of players (37) the average error was 9.3 or less than 1/3 a round. Scanning that column there is only one number higher than 32, meaning 36 or the 37 players were mocked within one round of where they were taken. I also added the 247 Composite ranking for the 32 first rounders (average 447) and the star rankings 3.72 or 3++ in the Hamilton Metric. Basically this idea of doing a composite seems to give pretty accurate results for round one. I also am tracking where the Texas players are taken ... will have more on that later once the draft is done.

Kiffin’s absolutely one of the best offensive minds in the game, no doubt. But if we’re talking better, the list is basically Sark and that’s it. They’re the only two guys consistently operating at that level - elite scheme, QB development, adaptability, the whole package. Everyone else is a tier down.

Bears got a steal! Go be great malik!!

Let’s go

Having to rely on Freshmen while our upperclassmen are regressing is probably why our bullpen isn’t as good as originally thought

Congratulations to Malik ! 🤘🏻

Manny to the Bears! Great pick.

Texas cornerback Malik Muhammad is off the board on Saturday, as the Chicago Bears picked the Longhorns cornerback with the 124th overall pick in the fourth round of the 2026 NFL Draft. Muhammad, a three-year contributor for Texas, played in 39 career games, starting two games a freshman, all 16 as a sophomore, and nine as a junior. The Dallas (Texas) South Oak Cliff product compiled 97 tackles, including 3.5 tackles for a loss, a sack, 19 pass breakups, and three interceptions over the course of career in Burnt Orange. “Texas has prepared me very well, like overly prepared,” Muhammad said after his Texas Pro Day workout. “The program that Sark runs is like a pro program when it comes to time management, the structure of our day, the way we practice, the way we lift weights, the way we run. And then he just preaches to us about being a great person and a great man, whether you’re a husband, a father, a brother, a teammates, anyway possible he just preaches about being a great man. Texas has definitely prepared us for these moments.” The former four-star recruit is the fourth defensive back to get drafted from Texas over the last three drafts, joining Jahdae Barron and Andrew Mukuba in 2025 and Ryan Watts in 2024. View full news story

Good for Malik Muhammad. Chicago is a great city.

Manny should be off the board by now

Love the perspective! Needed that Hook 'em

Does Notre Dame have any picks yet other than RBs?

They worry me if they go to a team we play against.

That's it, I'm outta here

Ole Miss has one NFL draft pick right now ... all this stuff goes beyond just talent.

I think it’s actually pretty incredible that we won 10 games with 1 pick in the first 3 rounds.

I agree. As a Cowboys fan, I learned early that they do not use logic to draft

Hopefully these future juniors drop the ego and quit thinking they are too good for a 4th year. BARRON: came back as senior and won Thorpe. Went first round. Muhammad: left after junior year. Didn’t do much as junior. Still undrafted as of 4th round.

Don’t understand the Devin Moore pick for the Cowboys when Manny was still on the board. Manny is a much better CB.

This draft has been beyond humbling.

manny and endries gonna get the cam williams, quinn slide. should have came back

Manny still sliding…

Cade Klubnik to the Jets in the fourth round. I honestly didn’t think five quarterbacks would be off the board by this point.

I’ll never understand not identifying an issue. It’s a sport that’s measured. It’s simple cause/effect and nothing to do with blame. Qb is the most important position and can’t be measured the same. If you remove the blame notion and stick to what behavior or action needs to improve, it’s pretty easy. Arch happens to be the qb. This position requires “x” to be successful regardless of the actual individual manning the position. It impacts games and seasons. It’s never only 1 person that loses a season. That wasn’t the narrative but I think it’s objectively fair to say a dull season of year end arch gets us into the playoffs. His play lifted everyone once he got going. Have a great day! 🤘🏽