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CFP Odds

TheRoJoShow
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TheRoJoShow Lifetime Longhorn

TheRoJoShow

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Posted (edited)

According to the All-State Playoff Predictor models, here are the exact percentage odds of Texas making the College Football Playoff depending on which game results in a third loss:

Loss at LSU (Beating Mizzou & A&M): 81% chance

Loss at Missouri (Beating LSU & A&M): 86% chance

Loss at Texas A&M (Beating Mizzou & LSU): 86% chance


we ain’t dead yet even with a loss 

Edited by TheRoJoShow
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Alex Butler Lifetime Longhorn

Alex Butler

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Good stuff!! One inch, one down, one play at a time and the rest will take care of itself. We have to string together multiple quality games in the gauntlet of our schedule. I believe!! 
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TheRoJoShow Lifetime Longhorn

TheRoJoShow

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Just now, Alex Butler said:

Good stuff!! One inch, one down, one play at a time and the rest will take care of itself. We have to string together multiple quality games in the gauntlet of our schedule. I believe!! 
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Yeah buddy!!! Jake Taylor for the win 

HookedOnTF First Round Pick

HookedOnTF

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With injuries, do not want to have to go to the CCG and face UGA. Best case if we win out is for Ole Miss to beat Georgia, which might give us a rematch that I'd be more confident in converting into a bye or 5 seed.

My biggest battered fan scenario is for A&M to be circling our game and pulling a Florida/OU level game with a backup QB not Reed.

 

Edited by HookedOnTF
LILP Redshirt

LILP

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12 minutes ago, HookedOnTF said:

With injuries, do not want to have to go to the CCG and face UGA. Best case if we win out is for Ole Miss to beat Georgia, which might give us a rematch that I'd be more confident in converting into a bye or 5 seed.

My biggest battered fan scenario is for A&M to be circling our game and pulling a Florida/OU level game with a backup QB not Reed.

 

I watched some of A&M game yesterday. Boy, Reed is not very good. They have actually been mediocre at best since losing to Texas last season.  

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TexasOnTop Junior

TexasOnTop

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Posted

I wouldn’t put much stock into this. Once the initial CFP rankings come out those percentages will change. I think a 3 loss Texas is probably in, but the committee could easily think the opposite. 

DanielOnorato Lifetime Longhorn

DanielOnorato

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5 minutes ago, TheRoJoShow said:

Pshh he couldn’t even throw it back to the pitcher lol

Taylor helped him overcome that problem with a little help from Hugh Heffners friends 😂 Rube beat out Jake and made Parkman expendable!

TheRoJoShow Lifetime Longhorn

TheRoJoShow

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13 minutes ago, charlie990 said:

Last year they had similar odds for us and obviously we weren’t close to the bubble 

Yeah but this year we have better wins and not a catastrophic loss. We’ve beat #2, #17, #12, lost to 4-3 OU and #18 on the final possession by a combined 6 points. Last year we beat 8, 13, 15, 21, got smoked by 4-8 florida, and lost by 25 to Georgia. 
 

Edited by TheRoJoShow

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