Moderators Gerry Hamilton Posted July 1, 2024 Moderators Share Posted July 1, 2024 Figure July 1 is the day to start this for all of us here at OTF ... 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Gerry Hamilton Posted July 1, 2024 Author Moderators Share Posted July 1, 2024 Beryl is about to make landfall in the Windward Islands as a 4+ ... a record landfall strength for the Windward Islands 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shane Posted July 1, 2024 Share Posted July 1, 2024 4 minutes ago, Gerry Hamilton said: Beryl is about to make landfall in the Windward Islands as a 4+ ... a record landfall strength for the Windward Islands Praying for everyone’s safety ! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Gerry Hamilton Posted July 1, 2024 Author Moderators Share Posted July 1, 2024 Wonder how much of Carriacou will remain ... that's a serious direct hit of a 4+ category cane 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Gerry Hamilton Posted July 1, 2024 Author Moderators Share Posted July 1, 2024 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Gerry Hamilton Posted July 1, 2024 Author Moderators Share Posted July 1, 2024 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Gerry Hamilton Posted July 1, 2024 Author Moderators Share Posted July 1, 2024 17 minutes ago, Gerry Hamilton said: Wonder how much of Carriacou will remain ... that's a serious direct hit of a 4+ category cane Oof Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Gerry Hamilton Posted July 1, 2024 Author Moderators Share Posted July 1, 2024 EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 BERYL MAKES LANDFALL ON CARRIACOU ISLAND... ...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS BERYL STRONGER... Satellite imagery and Barbados radar data indicate that the eye of Beryl has made landfall on Carriacou Island at 1110 AM AST (1510 UTC). Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Beryl's maximum sustained winds have increased to 150 mph (240 km/h). The latest minimum central pressure estimated from reconnaissance data is 950 mb (28.05 inches). SUMMARY OF 1110 AM AST...1510 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.5N 61.5W ABOUT 0 MI...0 KM S OF CARRIACOU ISLAND ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM NNE OF GRENADA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmk4pres Posted July 1, 2024 Share Posted July 1, 2024 And warmer water (fuel) on the way as it heads west. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jerry K Posted July 1, 2024 Share Posted July 1, 2024 (edited) Beryl is a concern for me and many others. Still very early but something to watch as the week progresses. And there’s another tropical system right behind it Edited July 1, 2024 by Jerry K Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Gerry Hamilton Posted July 1, 2024 Author Moderators Share Posted July 1, 2024 Getting closer to a cat 5 named storm ... but that will be over open water for next 18-24 hours prior to weakening THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS... Beryl continues to produce catastrophic winds and life-threatening storm surge to the Grenadine Islands, Carriacou Island, and Grenada. This is an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation. Residents should not leave their shelter and remain in place through the passage of these life-threatening conditions. A weather station at Grenada airport recently reported a sustained wind speed of 92 mph (148 km/h) and a gust of 121 mph (194 km/h). A weather station in St. Lucia recently reported a sustained wind speed of 52 mph (83 km/h) and a gust of 63 mph (102 km/h). This is the last hourly Tropical Cyclone Update on Beryl. The next intermediate advisory will be issued at 200 PM AST (1800 UTC). SUMMARY OF 100 PM AST...1700 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.6N 61.9W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM WNW OF CARRIACOU ISLAND ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM NNW OF GRENADA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...946 MB...27.94 INCHES $$ Forecaster Kelly/Cangialosi Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Longhornlove Posted July 1, 2024 Share Posted July 1, 2024 26 minutes ago, Gerry Hamilton said: Getting closer to a cat 5 named storm ... but that will be over open water for next 18-24 hours prior to weakening THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS... Beryl continues to produce catastrophic winds and life-threatening storm surge to the Grenadine Islands, Carriacou Island, and Grenada. This is an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation. Residents should not leave their shelter and remain in place through the passage of these life-threatening conditions. A weather station at Grenada airport recently reported a sustained wind speed of 92 mph (148 km/h) and a gust of 121 mph (194 km/h). A weather station in St. Lucia recently reported a sustained wind speed of 52 mph (83 km/h) and a gust of 63 mph (102 km/h). This is the last hourly Tropical Cyclone Update on Beryl. The next intermediate advisory will be issued at 200 PM AST (1800 UTC). SUMMARY OF 100 PM AST...1700 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.6N 61.9W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM WNW OF CARRIACOU ISLAND ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM NNW OF GRENADA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...946 MB...27.94 INCHES $$ Forecaster Kelly/Cangialosi This is the app I use on my phone. Sends notifications and info is derived from NHC. https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.jpltech.hurricanetracker&hl=en_US 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDI Posted July 1, 2024 Share Posted July 1, 2024 That projected path sure looks like Texas is going to get some action from Beryl. Maybe a direct hit on the Coast and a lot of rain inland. Be prepared. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SK Longhorn Posted July 1, 2024 Share Posted July 1, 2024 I thought this was a Kade Philips hint at first lol. Yes, rain please but no damaging winds!! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dread-headed Texan Posted July 1, 2024 Share Posted July 1, 2024 20 minutes ago, GDI said: That projected path sure looks like Texas is going to get some action from Beryl. Maybe a direct hit on the Coast and a lot of rain inland. Be prepared. This is why I left SETX and moved to the Austin area. If you've never had to board up and evacuate to only come back to destruction, believe me, you never want to. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zachery Nelson Posted July 1, 2024 Share Posted July 1, 2024 Man it’s scary world we live in , praying everyone in his path has god on their side . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Gerry Hamilton Posted July 1, 2024 Author Moderators Share Posted July 1, 2024 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Gerry Hamilton Posted July 1, 2024 Author Moderators Share Posted July 1, 2024 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDI Posted July 1, 2024 Share Posted July 1, 2024 7 minutes ago, Dread-headed Texan said: This is why I left SETX and moved to the Austin area. If you've never had to board up and evacuate to only come back to destruction, believe me, you never want to. I go back to Hurricane Carla, we were 90 miles inland and that got my attention at a young age. I respect what Mother Nature is capable of. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Gerry Hamilton Posted July 1, 2024 Author Moderators Share Posted July 1, 2024 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bierce Posted July 1, 2024 Share Posted July 1, 2024 Going to be a hellacious season with ocean temperatures the way they are and El Niño giving way to La Niña. The former tends to make a lot of Atlantic storms stay in the Atlantic. The latter invites most of them into the Caribbean and Gulf. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Horn95 Posted July 1, 2024 Share Posted July 1, 2024 Thanks for making this thread, Gerry! I’m a nerd about this stuff. So fascinating. Some great Twitter follows if you’re interested in this stuff are Mark Sudduth, Jack Sillin, and Ryan Hall. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jerry K Posted July 1, 2024 Share Posted July 1, 2024 I follow Tropical Tidbits on YouTube. That dude knows his stuff. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbro52 Posted July 1, 2024 Share Posted July 1, 2024 3 hours ago, Gerry Hamilton said: I hope it stay away from our neck of the woods gerry Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Gerry Hamilton Posted July 2, 2024 Author Moderators Share Posted July 2, 2024 2 hours ago, Jerry K said: I follow Tropical Tidbits on YouTube. That dude knows his stuff. I’m all up in this site … https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/07/category-4-beryl-rips-through-the-windward-islands/ 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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