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Sunday: Squaring Expectations

We’ve hit on this subject multiple times, but I find it hard to believe the following:

1. Texas will likely have no fewer than eight players picked in the 2024 NFL Draft.

2. Even with that level of attrition, most national media types are suggesting the Longhorns should have as good or better season in 2024.

Those things typically don’t square with one another.

Heavy attrition, the kind Texas faces going into this season, means the team - any team - will take a step back.

Yet folks don’t see it that way.

So why is that the case?

It’s about the offense more so than the defense.

On offense:

- Quinn Ewers returns for a third year starting.

- The RB room should be fine. Texas blew out two of its last three opponents without Jonathon Brooks already.

- Despite heavy losses at receiver and tight end, the Horns nabbed two starters from Alabama (Isaiah Bond and Amari Niblack), a starter and playmaker from Oregon State (Silas Bolden) and perhaps the country’s best kick returner from Houston (Matthew Golden).

- The OL returns its stellar left tackle, only loses one starter, and has multiple younger players pushing to get into the lineup.

But the defense…

- The Horns must replace the strength of the D up the middle. Not just T’Vondre Sweat and Byron Murphy but also Jaylan Ford.

- Yet the Horns should be better in both the secondary and at edge. And potential superstar linebacker Anthony Hill is a year older.

I don’t know exactly how I feel yet about Texas being ranked so highly this far away from the start of football season.

I want to see more from spring ball before I jump out there with Texas being a top 5 team in 2024.

Is it possible they are? Yes, absolutely.

But let’s see if they mix together like last year’s squad first.

“Culture” was a big word for 2023. In my opinion, it needs to be in 2024 as well.

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Recommended Comments

cmk4pres

Supporters

I agree with almost everything. 
 

I also think all the top projected teams have lost key players as well so it evens the playing field. 
 

UGA is in best shape but loses Bowers.  Two WRs and some OL. 
 

Michigan loses almost everything.

 

Ohio St in good shape with their additions I just don't trust Will Howard in a big game. Too many turnovers. 
 

so let's gooooo why not us. Plus I have QE to win the Heisman at +850

Burntcowboy

Supporters

I think it was Gerry who said we could actually be better than last year but have a worse record  and I agree. I’m thinking we should be good enough to get playoff invite and then make a run. Quinn’s play will be crucial in those games. Gotta hope the new DL and LB coach get the most out of their groups. 

As long as the culture progresses forward so too will the success of the team under sark. Quinn needs to take that next step as the overall leader of this team. This is his 3rd year and there shouldn’t be any questions as to who’s team this is. He needs to grab that by the throat and not let up from here on out. I liked hearing that ant hill has stepped into a leadership role on defense. Between him and jahdae Barron I think the defense will take a few games to get things to click, but as the season moves along the overall defense should be fine. I just hope they find it and find it fast. 
 

I thought 10 wins and a B12 title should’ve been the expectation last year and they did that and then some. I think 9-10 wins this year and finishing in the top 3 of the SEC and a playoff appearance is well attainable. We don’t live in a world anymore where 1-2 or even 3 losses will keep you from reaching your ultimate goal at the end of the season which of course is a national title 

John Moore

Members

Texas hasn't recruited and developed consistently well in a long time. Losing a good chunk of talent to the Draft and not missing a beat should feel weird at first but that's where Sark seemingly has us.

2 minutes ago, Bobby Burton said:

You’re right about other teams. Who else looks good in that regard?

Gotta throw ole miss in there. At least for the time being. Kiffin has killed it in the portal and while losing judkins hurts, they still should figure to be a 10 win team.

Ray Peters

Members
2 minutes ago, Bobby Burton said:

You’re right about other teams. Who else looks good in that regard?

I would assume Oregon is in good shape, especially with their 34 year old veteran QB.

cmk4pres

Supporters
3 minutes ago, Bobby Burton said:

You’re right about other teams. Who else looks good in that regard?

LSU loses Daniels and has to fix the defense.

ole Miss has a ton of quality additions just don't trust the continuity yet

 

oregon shoukd be better imo. 

Hermanator

Members

It's probably about 2 things. 

-3rd year starter 4th year Heisman candidate QB

-Everyone else except Georgia, Oregon, and Ole Miss look down. 

Just the playoff teams you have Alabama, Washington, and Michigan starting from scratch losing a ton of starters, the HC, and the QB. That's big. 

Plus many teams are able to win big and even win it all with solid but not top 3 round in the draft DTs. Especially if they are really good in the back end and at edge. 

Not a lot of great looking QBs coming back after this very deep and quality QB class in the 2024 draft. 

That's gotta be the main reason Ewers decided to stay another year. 

 

Lots of reasons Texas looks like a quality buy in 24.

Baron

Supporters

I'm expecting a run that mirrors the first decade this century. OL & QB should be better this year. WR is unexperienced but talentwise is equal to last year. At TE don't sell Helm short. Niblack is a great addition as well. DL and Mike is where the hit comes. You just don't replace three draft picks right in the middle of your defense in one year. Edge should be better. The return of Jahdae Barron is just as big as that of Ewers. Mukuba is definitely a step up. There are some young studs coming in on defense. Simmons, Black, Filsaime and Mack will all play next year. 

 

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