Well, the real challenge is tonight.
Texas goes to NC State in a game that Pomeroy gives Texas a 54% chance of winning, making it the most closely contested game. I've said before in other places that NC State profiles to force a lot of turnovers and make it hard to make threes, even though Purdue avoided the first and BYU made a bunch of the second in the two games in San Diego.
I like our chances here, even without Kent. NC State is poor at rebounding on both ends. It doesn't take a lot of threes or make a high percentage of them, and we have been the best in the country at opponents' 2pt%. We don't turn the ball over much. As a result, some of our strengths offset some of their strengths, and others meet with their weaknesses.
Auburn and Alabama are given a 43% chance of winning at Duke and at UNC respectively. Mississippi State has a 56% of beating Pitt, which had the only win over an SEC team (LSU) coming into this challenge. (My comment in the OP about Duke-Kentucky was in error). Vandy is slightly favored at Va Tech in a battle of cellar dwellers. Florida is expected to feast at home on Virginia.
Florida/Virginia and Alabama/UNC tip off at 6:15. Rest, including Texas, tip off at 8:15.