CFP Odds

[TheRoJoShow]

According to the All-State Playoff Predictor models, here are the exact percentage odds of Texas making the College Football Playoff depending on which game results in a third loss:

Loss at LSU (Beating Mizzou & A&M): 81% chance

Loss at Missouri (Beating LSU & A&M): 86% chance

Loss at Texas A&M (Beating Mizzou & LSU): 86% chance

we ain’t dead yet even with a loss 

Edited 7 hours ago by TheRoJoShow

[Alex Butler]

Good stuff!! One inch, one down, one play at a time and the rest will take care of itself. We have to string together multiple quality games in the gauntlet of our schedule. I believe!! 

[Hookem1012]

It’s a very weird year. It’s 2007 all over again.

[TheRoJoShow]

Just now, Alex Butler said:

Good stuff!! One inch, one down, one play at a time and the rest will take care of itself. We have to string together multiple quality games in the gauntlet of our schedule. I believe!! 

Yeah buddy!!! Jake Taylor for the win 

[MBHORNSFAN]

Definitely a crazy year

[HookedOnTF]

With injuries, do not want to have to go to the CCG and face UGA. Best case if we win out is for Ole Miss to beat Georgia, which might give us a rematch that I'd be more confident in converting into a bye or 5 seed.

My biggest battered fan scenario is for A&M to be circling our game and pulling a Florida/OU level game with a backup QB not Reed.

 

Edited 7 hours ago by HookedOnTF

[HookemFromOkc]

Can confirm...I just ran a simulation with Texas losing at LSU and winning other 4.....has us at a 9 seed and winning the natty!  😂

Edited 7 hours ago by HookemFromOkc

[HookedOnTF]

If Bama beats LSU and Georgia beats Ole Miss and we win out, UGA faces Bama in Atlanta and then All State hands us the big prize!

[HookemFromOkc]

The SIMULATOR really likes Texas...

 

This is if we beat everyone in regular season and then win the SEC title game...

 

 

[TheRoJoShow]

Doesn’t hurt that we’ve got finebaum lobbying for us already lol. That win yesterday was so huge. 

[LILP]

12 minutes ago, HookedOnTF said:

With injuries, do not want to have to go to the CCG and face UGA. Best case if we win out is for Ole Miss to beat Georgia, which might give us a rematch that I'd be more confident in converting into a bye or 5 seed.

My biggest battered fan scenario is for A&M to be circling our game and pulling a Florida/OU level game with a backup QB not Reed.

 

I watched some of A&M game yesterday. Boy, Reed is not very good. They have actually been mediocre at best since losing to Texas last season.  

[Alex Butler]

19 minutes ago, TheRoJoShow said:

Yeah buddy!!! Jake Taylor for the win 

You know it!! Greatest catcher in Indians history not named Sandy Alomar Jr. 

[DanielOnorato]

2 minutes ago, Alex Butler said:

You know it!! Greatest catcher in Indians history not named Sandy Alomar Jr. 

Aren't you forgetting someone? 😂 

[Alex Butler]

1 minute ago, DanielOnorato said:

Aren't you forgetting someone? 😂 

Made the Rooster 

[TexasOnTop]

I wouldn’t put much stock into this. Once the initial CFP rankings come out those percentages will change. I think a 3 loss Texas is probably in, but the committee could easily think the opposite. 

[TheRoJoShow]

6 minutes ago, DanielOnorato said:

Aren't you forgetting someone? 😂 

Pshh he couldn’t even throw it back to the pitcher lol

[charlie990]

Last year they had similar odds for us and obviously we weren’t close to the bubble 

[DanielOnorato]

5 minutes ago, TheRoJoShow said:

Pshh he couldn’t even throw it back to the pitcher lol

Taylor helped him overcome that problem with a little help from Hugh Heffners friends 😂 Rube beat out Jake and made Parkman expendable!

[HookemFromOkc]

I gotta stop doing this...this scenario we lose to LSU... 

 

Simulator really likes Texas 

 

 

[TheRoJoShow]

13 minutes ago, charlie990 said:

Last year they had similar odds for us and obviously we weren’t close to the bubble 

Yeah but this year we have better wins and not a catastrophic loss. We’ve beat #2, #17, #12, lost to 4-3 OU and #18 on the final possession by a combined 6 points. Last year we beat 8, 13, 15, 21, got smoked by 4-8 florida, and lost by 25 to Georgia. 
 

Edited 6 hours ago by TheRoJoShow

[charlie990]

5 hours ago, TheRoJoShow said:

Yeah but this year we have better wins and not a catastrophic loss. We’ve beat #2, #17, #12, lost to 4-3 OU and #18 on the final possession by a combined 6 points. Last year we beat 8, 13, 15, 21, got smoked by 4-8 florida, and lost by 25 to Georgia. 
 

Not a catastrophic loss? We lost to 2 unranked teams b2b

[Shmatt]

The more teams lose the better chance we got