OTF Premium Clear Trend to Watch for This Saturday | Sunday 11:05 p.m.

[CJ Vogel]

Trend to Watch for Saturday

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Back with another statistic that isn't too favorable for the Texas offense.

I know, I know. It's not very fun to talk about, and I am sure this is a point that is getting tiresome. But it quite literally could not have a larger discrepancy in conference rankings.

We are back talking about three-and-out rates on offense.

For a few weeks now, I have been tracking SEC offenses and their likeliness to punt after failing to gain ten yards and move the chains on their first three plays of a drive. It has been a true Achilles heel for the Texas offense so far this season, and the number has continued to rise over the last couple of weeks – How? Well, I don't want to get into that.

But, here is the key statistic.

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Texas has the highest 3-and-out rate in the SEC so far this season. In eight games, the Longhorns have a 31.25% rate of going 3-and-out on offensive drives.

On 96 drives, the Longhorns have punted after three plays on 30 so far this season. A sobering statistic. 

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On the flipside, Missouri is the very best in the country at moving the chains on a given drive.

Missouri has the lowest 3-and-out rate in the SEC so far at 12.12%. Only 12 of the Tigers' 99 offensive drives have gone 3-and-out.

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So when it comes to game flow, and when it comes to finding a way to play complementary football, there is no statistic that I have found so far in my early game prep that leads me to think the flow of the game will be more heavily dictated than one way or the other.

How can Texas help itself out?

No false starts, five men in the backfield penalties, or illegal shifts. The Longhorns had one of each against Mississippi State on Saturday in the 31–3 victory.

Playing on the road is difficult in the SEC, Texas doesn't need to make it tougher than it already is.

[CJ Vogel]

A full look at the conference 3-and-out rate.

Has not been a fun statistic to update each week.

[NothinButDaHorns34]

Inexcusable ineptness with an offensive minded head coach, an offense full of draft picks, one of the highest NIL budgets, in year 6, with a quarterback on campus for four years. 

Edited 7 hours ago by NothinButDaHorns34

[rgrhorn]

All gas, no brakes. 
 

[westx]

ugh!  on the bright side, Sark at least called some screens against MSU.  Now if he could also call some tight end slants to slow up the blitzing that we know is forthcoming.

[BurntOrangeHorn]

Interesting that Texas has beaten three of the four lowest 3 and out teams!  

Hmmmm ....

Perhaps turnover margins are more relevant?  Short punting certainly could become a problem.

🤘🏻🤘🏻🤘🤘🏽🤘🏾🤘🏿

Edited 4 hours ago by BurntOrangeHorn

[AusMOJO]

3 hours ago, rgrhorn said:

All gas, no brakes. 
 

Or....All brakes, no gas

 

[OedipusMaximus]

3 hours ago, BurntOrangeHorn said:

Interesting that Texas has beaten three of the four lowest 3 and out teams!  

Hmmmm ....

Perhaps turnover margins are more relevant?  Short punting certainly could become a problem.

🤘🏻🤘🏻🤘🤘🏽🤘🏾🤘🏿

soon to be four of four

[Tuco Ramirez]

Manning, Mateer, and Read leading the pack!

[Jim Douglas]

Sark is just Brent Venables with a better PR team