CFP Rankings Tomorrow, my best guess

[Neil Leininger]

1. Oregon

2. Georgia

3. Boise State

4. Arizona State/Clemson

5. Notre Dame/Texas

6. Texas/Notre Dame

7. Penn State

8. Ohio State

9. Tennessee

10. Arizona State/Clemson

11. Indiana

12. SMU

Edited December 8 by Neil Leininger

[Alex Butler]

I think they have ASU with a bye over a 3 loss Clemson and I think they make Texas a 6 seed bring on Indiana!!

[Hashtag]

2 hours ago, Neil Leininger said:

1. Oregon

2. Georgia

3. Boise State

4. Arizona State/Clemson

5. Notre Dame/Texas

6. Texas/Notre Dame

7. Penn State

8. Ohio State

9. Tennessee

10. Arizona State/Clemson

11. Indiana

12. SMU

Agree. 

[harveycmd]

3 hours ago, Alex Butler said:

I think they have ASU with a bye over a 3 loss Clemson and I think they make Texas a 6 seed bring on Indiana!!

I agree with this. Texas should be 5, but they'll probably give it to the NIU loser. 

[harveycmd]

I also wouldn't be surprised if they matched Texas with Clemson in the first round for TV ratings. 

[Austalgia]

I think they might put 3 loss Alabama in over SMU 

[mojado]

5 hours ago, Neil Leininger said:

1. Oregon

2. Georgia

3. Boise State

4. Arizona State/Clemson

5. Notre Dame/Texas

6. Texas/Notre Dame

7. Penn State

8. Ohio State

9. Tennessee

10. Arizona State/Clemson

11. Indiana

12. SMU

Oregon

georgia

az st

boise

texas

penn st

ND

osu

tenn

clemson

indiana

smu

 

i don’t see ND being above Texas and penn st, otherwise conf participants are being punished!

[harveycmd]

34 minutes ago, Austalgia said:

I think they might put 3 loss Alabama in over SMU 

I don't think they'll put Bama over SMU, but they might. Sankey has probably let the goobers on the committee know that if the SEC doesn't get as many as the Big 10, the SEC will take the ball and structure the playoff how they want after the current deal ends next season, which would basically kill the NCAA at that point. Definitely some intrigue here.

[harveycmd]

15 minutes ago, mojado said:

i don’t see ND being above Texas and penn st, otherwise conf participants are being punished!

Notre Dame will get preferential treatment. I'm not saying that will be to the detriment of Texas. They'll do their best to put Texas in a ratings busting first game, which at this point seems most likely to be Clemson. 

[John F.]

I think Az State gets the 4. I’d be surprised if they jump Clemson over Indiana because Indiana’s 9 and Clemson 17.  

10. Indiana

11. SMU (over Bama probably because it was so close but who knows)

12. Clemson

Agree we’re probably 5/6 which means either Clemson or SMU (or Bama). Sadly we don’t get to whip Indiana. 

Edited December 8 by John F.

[Blake Munroe]

Not sure about the entire order but I think Texas gets 5. SMU 12. Then I figure Texas plays No. 4 Arizona State. 

I do think Clemson gets 11 or 12 seed and SMU is interchangeable here. 

[Blake Munroe]

ESPN projections:

Oregon

UGA

Boise

Ariz St

Penn St

Texas

ND

tOSU

Tenn

Indiana

SMU

Clemson

[harveycmd]

Thinking more about the future (after next season there will be a new playoff system), I'm thinking the SEC and Big 10 will kill the "committee" business. I don't think they'll go to an automatic bid system (bad publicity), but rather to a computer poll system similar to the old BCS. That can save the conference championship money game while also taking the sentimental crap for the "others" out of the equation.

[Hashtag]

I initially had Indiana at 10 but I think the committee is going to want to avoid conference matchups in 1st round so my prediction bakes that in a little bit. I think ND will get 5 seed because it’s a 1 loss team and technically giving Penn St or Texas home games in opening round isn’t “penalizing” them for playing in CCG. 
 

 

Edited December 8 by Hashtag

[John F.]

2 minutes ago, Blake Munroe said:

ESPN projections:

Oregon

UGA

Boise

Ariz St

Penn St

Texas

ND

tOSU

Tenn

Indiana

SMU

Clemson

I think this is probably right except I don’t see why Penn St would jump us based on yesterday. They kept it closeish against Oregon and actually outgained them but they never led and never really looked like they could win. 

[John F.]

3 minutes ago, Hashtag said:

I initially had Indiana at 10 but I think the committee is going to want to avoid conference matchups in 1st round so my prediction bakes that in a little bit. I think ND will get 5 seed because it’s a 1 loss team and technically giving Penn St or Texas home games in opening round isn’t “penalizing” them for playing in CCG. 
 

 

One tricky thing about this is you have to remember that it’s not just seeding the bracket. It’s based on the rankings. In the last rankings, SMU was 8, Indiana 9, and Clemson 17 with three losses. I’m not sure how they’d finagle the rankings to move Clemson up or Indiana down that much. 

[Hashtag]

Just now, John F. said:

One tricky thing about this is you have to remember that it’s not just seeding the bracket. It’s based on the rankings. In the last rankings, SMU was 8, Indiana 9, and Clemson 17 with three losses. I’m not sure how they’d finagle the rankings to move Clemson up or Indiana down that much. 

Giving a conference champion a huge data point is justification enough over a team who did not participate in the conference championship and lost to the only ranked team they played. 

[Gerry Hamilton]

3 hours ago, Austalgia said:

I think they might put 3 loss Alabama in over SMU 

Would be criminal if Alabama gets in over South Carolina. I know Bama won the game in Tuscaloosa first half of the season. 

But Alabama lost road games at Vanderbilt and Oklahoma (god dog walked against OU). South Carolina smoked both of those teams on the road, and is playing better football now. 

[harveycmd]

They should put Georgia and Texas, along with Oregon and Ohio State, on opposite sides of the bracket. 

[Gerry Hamilton]

1 minute ago, harveycmd said:

They should put Georgia and Texas, along with Oregon and Ohio State, on opposite sides of the bracket. 

Agree, but replace Ohio State with Penn State ... since both just played in conference title game

If the committee does the right thing an goes 8 Tennessee hosting 9 Ohio State, the Vols will knock out the Buckeyes

[Blake Munroe]

I took a stab at it:

[harveycmd]

4 minutes ago, Gerry Hamilton said:

Agree, but replace Ohio State with Penn State ... since both just played in conference title game

If the committee does the right thing an goes 8 Tennessee hosting 9 Ohio State, the Vols will knock out the Buckeyes

I don't see them giving the Vols a home game against OSU, although I agree they probably should. My deal is based more on a power rankings. I'm pretty sure an objective power rankings would have Oregon, Georgia, Texas and OSU as the top four. Having said that, I don't think the committee gives a crap about being objective.

Edited December 8 by harveycmd

[Gerry Hamilton]

Just now, harveycmd said:

I don't see them giving the Vols a home game against OSU, although I agree they probably should. My deal is based more on a power rankings. I pretty sure an objective power rankings would have Oregon, Georgia, Texas and OSU as the top four. Having said that, I don't think the committee gives a crap about being objective.

Will be interesting. Tennessee both losses on the road. Ohio State losing to 7-5 Michigan at home and looking like a steaming pile doing it should knock them below the Vols in seeding. 

[John F.]

9 minutes ago, Hashtag said:

Giving a conference champion a huge data point is justification enough over a team who did not participate in the conference championship and lost to the only ranked team they played. 

They’d have to jump Az State and the South  Carolina team that just beat them. I don’t see it

[Hashtag]

1 minute ago, John F. said:

They’d have to jump Az State and the South  Carolina team that just beat them. I don’t see it

Arizona St is the 4 seed. I said in the other thread these rankings today will reflect seeding, not rankings imo. The South Carolina team didn’t play or win a conference championship