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Where's The Beef? Texas Run Game to Explode (Friday AM)

CJ Vogel

By CJ Vogel
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CJ Vogel Lifetime Longhorn

CJ Vogel

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The Black Eyed Peas made a song back when I was about six years old that just kept saying "And Runnin' Runnin', and runnin' runnin'" on and on and on.

It was catchy as hell and one of the biggest songs of whatever year it was. Maybe 2004, I couldn't quite tell you off the top of my head.

When I look at this Texas-Arizona State matchup, for whatever reason, that song comes to my brain. Because, well, that is exactly what Texas should do against the Sun Devils. It comes together even more full circle when the name of that song above is "Let's Get it Started" and then it all makes sense.

Texas has figured out its running game against anyone not named Georgia. The Longhorns have hit the 240-yard rushing mark in three of its last four ballgames and the other included a 7-minute drive with 12 of the 14 plays on the drive being run plays.

Even with some nicks and bruises suffered by the #BigHumans in round one of the College Football Playoff, there should not be much dropoff, if any, at all moving forward.

I went through the Arizona State Sun Devils depth chart when doing some research for this game. What I found is a defensive line that, though is scrappy, is going to be completely outmanned when facing the Longhorn OL.

The five leading snap-getters for the Sun Devil interior defensive line have an average weight of 289 pounds.

  • Zac Swanson 6’4” & 290
  • CJ Fite 6’1” & 295
  • Jeff Clark 6’1” & 285
  • Jacob Kongaika 6’2” & 290
  • Blazen Lono-Wong 6’4” & 285

For those keeping track at home, Jake Majors weighs 315, Hayden Conner weighs 320 and DJ Campbell is listed at 330. Do the math there and it comes out to a 30-pound average difference in favor of the Longhorn interior. Even when you add in Cole Hutson, that average sits just south of 320-pound average amongst the four.

Texas will be able to run the ball all over the Sun Devils in Atlanta on Wednesday. The mass is just too significant to ignore and the momentum this bunch is playing with will carry over as well.

To Arizona State's credit, the Sun Devil rushing defense comes in at 23rd in the country, allowing 117.8 yards per game and 33rd in the country at 3.8 yards per attempt. But I reckon they have not played an offensive line with the size of this Texas unit in 2024.

With all of the talk about the quarterback being the one who will take Texas to the promised land or begin the winter conditioning sessions early, I think Texas will be just fine with Ewers being a passenger for this round of the playoffs. 

The magic number over the last month has been 240 rushing yards. It is a lot, I will admit that. However, knowing the success this unit has had recently and the opponent they are set to face in Round 2 of the CFP, I like their chances to hit the mark.

 

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CJ Vogel Lifetime Longhorn

CJ Vogel

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1 minute ago, Stuey22 said:

CJ, you have me curious.  What is the win percentage and margin of victory for teams that rush for 250 in a game this season?  240 is massive number but a good goal for this unit.  Reach your goal and guaranteed a victory? 

If Texas runs for 240, I would put their win probability at 98%.

Realistically, a good run goal against this team should be around 175 or so.

I don't have CFB numbers, but NFL win % for teams that rush for 200 sits around 60% and jumps to 77% if you rush for 250.

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CJ Vogel Lifetime Longhorn

CJ Vogel

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17 minutes ago, Tuco Ramirez said:

Damn, that’s a small DL. How is their rushing defense ranked so high? Are they selling out to stop the run or have they just played against small OLs? 

The spill everything to their LBs and Safeties have incredible quick triggers to run the alley. Xavion Alford is their leading tackler.

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TexasFanatic Sophomore

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5 minutes ago, CJ Vogel said:

The spill everything to their LBs and Safeties have incredible quick triggers to run the alley. Xavion Alford is their leading tackler.

Seems like a game where Blue will have opportunities in space if he can make one guy miss. I would not be shocked if he has a few big runs. Can Texas have another game with two backs getting over 100 yards?? I think maybe 

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Red Five Senior

Red Five

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35 minutes ago, CJ Vogel said:

The Black Eyed Peas made a song back when I was about six years old that just kept saying "And Runnin' Runnin', and runnin' runnin'" on and on and on.

It was catchy as hell and one of the biggest songs of whatever year it was. Maybe 2004, I couldn't quite tell you off the top of my head.

You just made everyone here feel extremely old.

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Raistlin Redshirt

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55 minutes ago, CJ Vogel said:

The Black Eyed Peas made a song back when I was about six years old that just kept saying "And Runnin' Runnin', and runnin' runnin'" on and on and on.

It was catchy as hell and one of the biggest songs of whatever year it was. Maybe 2004, I couldn't quite tell you off the top of my head.

When I look at this Texas-Arizona State matchup, for whatever reason, that song comes to my brain. Because, well, that is exactly what Texas should do against the Sun Devils. It comes together even more full circle when the name of that song above is "Let's Get it Started" and then it all makes sense.

Texas has figured out its running game against anyone not named Georgia. The Longhorns have hit the 240-yard rushing mark in three of its last four ballgames and the other included a 7-minute drive with 12 of the 14 plays on the drive being run plays.

Even with some nicks and bruises suffered by the #BigHumans in round one of the College Football Playoff, there should not be much dropoff, if any, at all moving forward.

I went through the Arizona State Sun Devils depth chart when doing some research for this game. What I found is a defensive line that, though is scrappy, is going to be completely outmanned when facing the Longhorn OL.

The five leading snap-getters for the Sun Devil interior defensive line have an average weight of 289 pounds.

  • Zac Swanson 6’4” & 290
  • CJ Fite 6’1” & 295
  • Jeff Clark 6’1” & 285
  • Jacob Kongaika 6’2” & 290
  • Blazen Lono-Wong 6’4” & 285

For those keeping track at home, Jake Majors weighs 315, Hayden Conner weighs 320 and DJ Campbell is listed at 330. Do the math there and it comes out to a 30-pound average difference in favor of the Longhorn interior. Even when you add in Cole Hutson, that average sits just south of 320-pound average amongst the four.

Texas will be able to run the ball all over the Sun Devils in Atlanta on Wednesday. The mass is just too significant to ignore and the momentum this bunch is playing with will carry over as well.

To Arizona State's credit, the Sun Devil rushing defense comes in at 23rd in the country, allowing 117.8 yards per game and 33rd in the country at 3.8 yards per attempt. But I reckon they have not played an offensive line with the size of this Texas unit in 2024.

With all of the talk about the quarterback being the one who will take Texas to the promised land or begin the winter conditioning sessions early, I think Texas will be just fine with Ewers being a passenger for this round of the playoffs. 

The magic number over the last month has been 240 rushing yards. It is a lot, I will admit that. However, knowing the success this unit has had recently and the opponent they are set to face in Round 2 of the CFP, I like their chances to hit the mark.


 

 

To make matters worse, their LBs and Safeties are not oversized either.  Iowa State and TCU got away with undersized DLs by playing 240 lbs LBs and 210 lbs Safeties who majored in run support.  I’m not seeing that with Arizona State.

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Joe Naural Sophomore

Joe Naural

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Ewers n our Recievers ……are gonna …… go Booooooooooooooooom!  
 

stack the box ….. booooooooom!

Texas will put on a clinic…. 
 

it will be like a warning shot for future teams ….!

expect big plays from Wr…. Bigtime !  
 

they cant play us straight up….like Georgia….as soon as they stack the box …… boooom! Ewer audibles! 
 

i predict Gibson will have 20 carries! 
Niblack 50 yds plus recieving

Boldon for 70 yd plus 2 touchdowns

Sarks utilizing this game to:

get key talent reps

rest our veterans

Make def coor. Cover everthing …. Yet nothing!

Edited by Joe Naural
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AusMOJO Sophomore

AusMOJO

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Run the ball, until they can stop it. Someone go tell Sark to not get cute. I bet they won't be able to stop it, at all. Just let our big boys get downhill on them and Gibson, Blue and Wisner run all over them. 

Shouldn't need to pass much, so another game where Ewers just needs to game manage. 

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