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After reading CJ Vogel’s examination of time of possession as a statistic that must change for Texas to reach its ceiling in 2026, my focus shifted to play differential. It’s not that one statistic is better than the other. I prefer to lean on a team’s play differential (the positive or negative difference between the number of plays a team runs on offense and the number of plays their defense faces) because it’s a more precise measurement of game control. If an opponent leans on an up-tempo offense and runs a lot of plays with a premium on getting more possessions, or if an opponent wants to take the air out of the football and make the game shorter, play differential can paint a more accurate picture than time of possession. No matter how you slice it, when it comes to what the Longhorns did last season, play differential (like time of possession) must improve to maximize the team’s potential. Texas finished the 2025 season with a minus-47 overall play differential (minus-3.6 per game), which ranked 15th in the SEC. Against SEC competition, the Longhorns had the worst total play differential (minus-79) in the conference and ranked last in the SEC in per-game play differential (minus-9.9). In short, Texas’ conference opponents ran roughly 10 more plays per game than the Longhorns. That might not sound like much, but when considering that SEC foes averaged 1.5 scoring drives of 10 or more plays per game against Texas (12 double-digit play scoring drives by SEC opponents in eight conference games), it's a problem that must be fixed. The highest priority to get the issue resolved is the Longhorns running the football better than they did last season, especially in conference play. Only Alabama’s 89.9 rushing yards per game against SEC opponents kept Texas from being the worst rushing offense in the conference, with an average of 93.1 yards per game on the ground in eight conference games. Texas also must do a better job of getting off the field on third and fourth down, which includes being a better defense on first and second down. Pete Kwiatkowski's defense faced an average of 14.7 third downs per game against SEC opponents in 2025, a mark topped only by Oklahoma’s 14.9 for the most in the conference. Even when the Longhorns got third-down stops (a 39.8-percent conversion rate by SEC opponents ranked 10th in the conference, which was well above the defense’s season average of 33.5 percent), only Ole Miss defended more fourth-down conversion attempts (34 in 15 games) than the 31 times the Texas defense was on the field on fourth down. The Longhorns finished fourth in the conference and tied for 30th nationally in fourth-down defense (45.2-percent conversion rate allowed), but only Alabama and Auburn (15 each) allowed more teams to convert on fourth down than the 14 times it happened to the Longhorns. Texas allowed opponents to convert eight of the combined 16 fourth-down attempts it faced against SEC opponents. Without question, coming off a year in which the Longhorns were one of five SEC offenses that failed to run at least 500 plays against conference opponents (499, which tied with Florida for the third fewest in the league), the running game must improve. At the same time, Steve Sarkisian brought Will Muschamp back to the Forty Acres to call the defense so that his aggressive style can create more negative plays to get opponents behind the chains and promote more turnover-forcing opportunities, which must happen for Texas to shrink the wide gap in play differential from last season. View full news story
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After reading CJ Vogel’s examination of time of possession as a statistic that must change for Texas to reach its ceiling in 2026, my focus shifted to play differential. It’s not that one statistic is better than the other. I prefer to lean on a team’s play differential (the positive or negative difference between the number of plays a team runs on offense and the number of plays their defense faces) because it’s a more precise measurement of game control. If an opponent leans on an up-tempo offense and runs a lot of plays with a premium on getting more possessions, or if an opponent wants to take the air out of the football and make the game shorter, play differential can paint a more accurate picture than time of possession. No matter how you slice it, when it comes to what the Longhorns did last season, play differential (like time of possession) must improve to maximize the team’s potential. Texas finished the 2025 season with a minus-47 overall play differential (minus-3.6 per game), which ranked 15th in the SEC. Against SEC competition, the Longhorns had the worst total play differential (minus-79) in the conference and ranked last in the SEC in per-game play differential (minus-9.9). In short, Texas’ conference opponents ran roughly 10 more plays per game than the Longhorns. That might not sound like much, but when considering that SEC foes averaged 1.5 scoring drives of 10 or more plays per game against Texas (12 double-digit play scoring drives by SEC opponents in eight conference games), it's a problem that must be fixed. The highest priority to get the issue resolved is the Longhorns running the football better than they did last season, especially in conference play. Only Alabama’s 89.9 rushing yards per game against SEC opponents kept Texas from being the worst rushing offense in the conference, with an average of 93.1 yards per game on the ground in eight conference games. Texas also must do a better job of getting off the field on third and fourth down, which includes being a better defense on first and second down. Pete Kwiatkowski's defense faced an average of 14.7 third downs per game against SEC opponents in 2025, a mark topped only by Oklahoma’s 14.9 for the most in the conference. Even when the Longhorns got third-down stops (a 39.8-percent conversion rate by SEC opponents ranked 10th in the conference, which was well above the defense’s season average of 33.5 percent), only Ole Miss defended more fourth-down conversion attempts (34 in 15 games) than the 31 times the Texas defense was on the field on fourth down. The Longhorns finished fourth in the conference and tied for 30th nationally in fourth-down defense (45.2-percent conversion rate allowed), but only Alabama and Auburn (15 each) allowed more teams to convert on fourth down than the 14 times it happened to the Longhorns. Texas allowed opponents to convert eight of the combined 16 fourth-down attempts it faced against SEC opponents. Without question, coming off a year in which the Longhorns were one of five SEC offenses that failed to run at least 500 plays against conference opponents (499, which tied with Florida for the third fewest in the league), the running game must improve. At the same time, Steve Sarkisian brought Will Muschamp back to the Forty Acres to call the defense so that his aggressive style can create more negative plays to get opponents behind the chains and promote more turnover-forcing opportunities, which must happen for Texas to shrink the wide gap in play differential from last season.
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OTF Premium Some Monshun Sales nuggets | Thursday 4:25 p.m.
Tres Comas replied to Hank South's topic in On Texas Football Forum
I’d obviously sell the WR progression, pro style offense and They had a 1st and 4th rounder. I dont disagree, per se, but I’d focus on the QB in that discussion with any prospect. -
OTF Premium Some Monshun Sales nuggets | Thursday 4:25 p.m.
G3rberger replied to Hank South's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Yep Sales is a Longhorn 🤘🏼 -
OTF Premium Some Monshun Sales nuggets | Thursday 4:25 p.m.
Hank South replied to Hank South's topic in On Texas Football Forum
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OTF Premium Some Monshun Sales nuggets | Thursday 4:25 p.m.
Joe Zura replied to Hank South's topic in On Texas Football Forum
You got some ball stealing my meme buddy -
Our CJ? Seems odd and unprovoked if so.
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OTF Premium Some Monshun Sales nuggets | Thursday 4:25 p.m.
Alex Butler replied to Hank South's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Indiana<<Texas for WR development -
OTF Premium Some Monshun Sales nuggets | Thursday 4:25 p.m.
Bunk Moreland replied to Hank South's topic in On Texas Football Forum
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OTF Premium Some Monshun Sales nuggets | Thursday 4:25 p.m.
CJ Vogel replied to Hank South's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Awesome stuff here Hank! -
OTF Premium Some Monshun Sales nuggets | Thursday 4:25 p.m.
Hank South replied to Hank South's topic in On Texas Football Forum
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I spoke with five-star WR Monshun Sales' mom this afternoon for a little bit. First off, awesome lady. Looking forward to meeting her in person when they come down in June. Here's some nuggets gathered: -- She was not on the April visit to Austin, so when they OV campus next month that will be her first time at Texas -- "I'm excited. I'm actually excited. I'm a southern girl. Either way, coming back south, to me, is everything anyway. He told me I would love it. He knows his momma. I'm trusting the process, and I'm actually excited to come see you all." -- The family moved to Indiana from Alabama in 2020. Obviously his mom is a big Bama fan coming from Birmingham, but Sales is going to make his own decision. -- Sales' mom isn't too familiar with Texas yet but she says she's going to study up on the program before traveling to Austin. -- She reiterated how highly Sales has talked about Texas. "He did tell me (Texas) had a great program. He said I want to go to Texas. I want to go down there and give them a shot and see what they've got to say." -- Sales' mom noted that they're may be some OV schedule shuffling. She mentioned possibly the Alabama date, currently set for May 29-31, being moved. Texas is likely to switch to June 19-21 (originally set for June 5-7) as we've been saying is possible with Miami fading in his recruitment. Stay tuned for some more finality to OV plans. -- I asked her about the Indiana projection today. She laughed. She says she has to keep herself from commenting on every single development. But Indiana is absolutely a threat here, as we've noted.
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Jamieson joined the community
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Bro had some smoke and some vapes... smh. Amerikkka is so lame. You'll allow somebody to get drunk.. because you can control the sale and distribution. No one has ever passed away due to Marijuana. These kids gotta make better choices. Go to Oregon or USC or somewhere where you can consume legally, especially if you're young, black, and wanna drive a nice car in the south. Sorry guys, there are more angles to these types of issues than ya'll care to discuss.. and I get that.
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Declan Duru signs with new program
CJ Vogel replied to Hank South's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Wish him well, there’s talent there. It was fun to see his ballhandling at the open practice prior to the season. Got some potential. -
Declan Duru signs with new program
Califashorn75 replied to Hank South's topic in On Texas Football Forum
With the portal, guys like him are becoming more obsolete. -
Including two deaths.
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Declan Duru signs with new program
Gerry Hamilton replied to Hank South's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Got a lot of talent for sure Has to take coaching to court -
If he stays healthy, there should be no issue cracking the top five, imo, schedule and all.
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Another UGa driving issue
Texas fan in Georgia replied to Bobby Burton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
30 to be exact since 2023. -
Thanks
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When they lose. Thats all they care about.