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No. 5 Texas vs. No. 4 Arizona State Discussion


Gerry Hamilton

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1 minute ago, HenryJames said:

ASU’s starting NT and DT are 6’1” 285 and 6’1” 295. Their Mike is 6’0” 220.

Yep. The DT from Tatum High (Texas) Fite is a very good player ... but they are small. And their LB's and EDGE don't close angles on the perimeter fast enough either

Texas is going to stomp a mudhole 

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14 minutes ago, HenryJames said:

ASU’s leading receiver Jordyn Tyson is out for the game. He had 75 catches for 1,101 yards and 10 tds.

All the other receivers and tight ends on the ASU roster have combined for 79 catches for 1,107 yards and 10 tds.

Tyson is a huge loss for them ... NFL guy. 

Second leading WR has 19 receptions 

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I'm no expert on ASU but I've checked em out. ASU 6-2 200# dual-threat Leavitt QB (63% completions for 2,663 passing 24 TDs 5 INTs and 383 rushing 5 TDs) is having a good year leading the team and avoiding turnovers. ASU 5-11 215# Cam Scattebo RB is the man for ASU at 6 yds per carry (1,568 yds rushing and 506 yds recieving). BUT KST held Scattebo to 2.7 ypc!  WY, TXSt, TT, Cincinnati, UCF and KSt held Scattebo to UNDER 75 yds rushing! So Scattebo is not Superman although he has had heroic games. Brown the backup RB is 5ypc (340 rushing yds). ASU OL has played well and averages 318# but untested vs top Dline talent. The best ASU WR Tyson (Allen, TX) and most productive by far (1,101 yds) is out due to injury. The 2 WR starters vs TX will be 5-10 185# Stovall (shifty, quicker than fast with 39" vertical, 17 for 253yds) and 6-2 200# Guillory (good speed, 19 for 320 yds). Nothing we haven't seen before at WR. ASU also has a rarely used tall, physical WR McClain for 50/50 balls. Might see Jake Smith or Troy Omierre. Have a well rounded 6-4 255# TE Metayer (29 for 290 yds) but we have faced better TE weapons downfield. Have a 6-5 275# TE used mainly for blocking.

I haven't seen their D in action much.  ASU is undersized on the DL by SEC standards. DTs under 300. 6-2 240 Prince Dorbah at edge and opposite another about the same size. ASU also rotates a bigger DE, has started at times. Can get pressure but the ASU sack percentage wasn't good this season. Solid athleticism along the DL. Statistically, ASU is a bit better at stopping the run than the pass. The core LBs are competitive, active and effective but not special and wildly disruptive like UGA LBs.  Their good starting NB Simmons (Sr) was flagged for targeting and will be OUT for the first half vs TX. If not Simmons, Alford S is maybe their best DB. CBs are sophomores 5-11 175# Robinson and 5-11 185# Abney. Don't know much about these two. New NB may be targeted in the first half.

ASU FG Kicker isn't good, 58% FG, 3-7 beyond 30 yards, long of 47. Punter Floyd is a freshman with a average of 40.8 yds, long of 56. Stovall PR is good at 11.9 yds. ASU blocked a punt and returned it for a long TD this year.

ASU doesn't commit many turnovers, 5 INTs. Scattebo has never fumbled in college per ESPN stats.

Expect Dillingham to go for it on 4th down much of the time. Need to be on alert for trick plays on offense and special teams. Dillingham is a good, aggressive offensive minded HC. Took ASU from 3-9 to 11-2 this season.

On paper, Texas has numerous advantages. I expect our D will be focused and ready to limit  the rushing of Scattebo and the dual threat QB. Scattebo RB is also their leading recieving target with Tyson WR out. Our D will need to cover and tackle him well. Expect Manny CB to bounce back.  Our coverage should limit ASU WRs and TEs with the help of our pass rushers. On offense, Texas should be able to run and pass well enough to sustain drives and get explosives. Ewers should have adequate time to operate. Need to avoid turnovers, penalties and missed assignments. 

I'm at Texas 45-17 if we are healthy minus Bond again.

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