The problem with the all in on Arch mindset

[DanielOnorato]

3 minutes ago, tenneseehorn08 said:

We're all lifetime longhorns. No one is saying we don't want to win after Arch. But until the NCAA takes away eligibility rules and tom Brady can go back to Michigan to try to win a natty as a graduate student, there will always be cycles to some degree at programs. Most important player in sports is QB, so if you can re-align resources to these two years to maximize, you do it. Take for example the transfers Texas brought in this year. It is not a coincidence that Emmet Mosley, Watson, Endries, and Spence all have two years of eligibility or time before the NFL is a possibility. If you need to move some of your 2027 resources to 2026 to ensure you get the right guys in the portal next year (or to keep Colin Simmons), you do it. No question. 

And then you do the same thing with KJ Lacey and Dia Bell's prime years (or Trey Owens, if he mans up and wins the job). 

If Texas gets 50 year old Brady in the portal I'm betting the farm on Texas 😂

[CHorn427]

18 minutes ago, Born Burnt Orange said:

Georgia didn’t suffer in recruiting the years they didn’t win the championship. Neither did Ohio state, Oregon, Michigan, Alabama or even freaking Saggies. Between the NIL and the SEC we will be good. 

A new coach has about 2-3 years to start having solid seasons (10+ wins) and about 5 years to start winning titles (conference or national).

Georgia won the SEC in Kirby’s second year and made the national title game. That gave Kirby some leeway for a few years before crossing the finish line.

Ohio State has been on a trajectory of one national title every ten years since 2002. Their fans and program want more frequent championships, but one every 10 years is a better rate than 90%+ of programs. On top of that, they’re perennially in the mix for conference titles and have finished national runner up several other times. That is enough to sustain recruiting.

Oregon has been consistently in the mix for conference titles since Chip Kelly and has made the national title game- that plus daddy warbucks is enough to sustain recruiting.

Michigan’s recruiting wasn’t ever stellar- they just recruited good enough, developed and retained so that they had good enough talent and exceptional experience, plus they didn’t have to play a very tough schedule (except for tOSU). Plus Connor Stallions. 

Alabama won a national title in Saban’s 3rd year and 3 in his first 6 years. A fairly incomparable situation, wouldn’t you say?

The Aggies are actually exactly the modern program/recruiting nightmare that can happen when the recruiting blank checks run out before you capitalize on quality recruiting classes with conference or national titles. 
 

IMO, we need to at least make the title game with Arch. Preferably this year. 

[FAFO]

3 hours ago, Born Burnt Orange said:

Don’t get me wrong. I am excited for our boys and Arch to take the field.  I also think we will have another successful year that could be so good that we take it all.  Maybe we fall short again.  
   My problem is I have seen the idea from some of the mods and many members of OTF that we have to go all in because Arch is our QB.  I am not a fan of that mindset because I expect Texas to be a major player even after Arch leaves for the NFL.  We have QBs lined up waiting for their chance who could be even better than Arch.  This is not our last opportunity to win a title.  Sark has built a F’ing monster and we will be a force for many years to come.  You don’t believe that then go eat a corn dog with mayo.  Believe, don’t doubt. 

i haven’t seen a single article that states we’re doomed after Arch… i have seen some that says we need to capitalize & go all in with arch.  as in take advantage of having a name to the pedigree of a “manning” 

 

their not saying any other QB coming can’t be as good as him. but their names aren’t gonna hold as much weight as the one “manning” does.     that’s what their saying… 

[Tim Longoria]

4 hours ago, Born Burnt Orange said:

Don’t get me wrong. I am excited for our boys and Arch to take the field.  I also think we will have another successful year that could be so good that we take it all.  Maybe we fall short again.  
   My problem is I have seen the idea from some of the mods and many members of OTF that we have to go all in because Arch is our QB.  I am not a fan of that mindset because I expect Texas to be a major player even after Arch leaves for the NFL.  We have QBs lined up waiting for their chance who could be even better than Arch.  This is not our last opportunity to win a title.  Sark has built a F’ing monster and we will be a force for many years to come.  You don’t believe that then go eat a corn dog with mayo.  Believe, don’t doubt. 

Probably beating a dead horse here, but I don't know where the phrase "all in" = these next two years is all we got. It was said in reference to Arch having 2 years left, and trying to maximize those 2 years. If Sark/Texas was planning on phoning it in after he's gone, I dont think they would be recruiting the players/prospects that they have been.