Blake Munroe

Join us for Coffee and Football starting around 8:15 AM!

And I’m not muted. beat everyone to it!

It’s not bait. 8:15 on the dot.

We start at 8:15 this morning, so come join us us as we talk the Horns and answer your questions.

I didn't even notice that. lol I fixed it for Grok.

They did. AI just didn't reflect that change.

This morning we were discussing the betting lines for the Horns opponents in 2025. Not many early lines are out, so I had the bright idea to get AI involved. Here is the result: Creating betting lines for the Texas Longhorns' 2025 football schedule involves analyzing available data, including team performance, returning players, coaching trends, opponent strength, and early sentiment from sources like sportsbooks, news articles, and fan predictions. Below, I’ll outline the process, provide context for the Longhorns’ 2025 outlook, and generate hypothetical betting lines (spreads and over/under totals) for each game based on the schedule and available insights. Since specific 2025 game-by-game betting lines are not fully available in the provided data, these lines are informed projections based on historical performance, roster changes, and early analyst predictions. Context for Texas Longhorns in 2025 2024 Performance: Texas finished 12-2, won the SEC Championship, and reached the College Football Playoff semifinals, losing to Ohio State in the Cotton Bowl. They were a top-four team nationally, showcasing a potent offense and stout defense. Key Players: Arch Manning, a highly touted quarterback, takes over as QB1 following Quinn Ewers’ departure to the NFL. Manning is a +200 favorite to be the No. 1 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft and a top Heisman contender. The offensive line, bolstered by the “pancake-themed” NIL movement, returns significant talent to protect Manning, though some key linemen and pass-catchers are gone. Defensively, players like EDGE Trey Moore and others return, maintaining strength. Recruiting: Texas boasts the No. 1-rated 2025 recruiting class, adding depth and talent across positions. Coaching: Steve Sarkisian has revitalized the program, with back-to-back 12-2 seasons and a reputation for explosive offenses. His system is expected to mesh well with Manning’s mobility and decision-making. Schedule Overview: The 2025 schedule includes a marquee opener at Ohio State, rivalry games against Oklahoma and Texas A&M, and a tough road trip to Georgia. However, only two of eight SEC opponents had winning SEC records in 2024, suggesting a relatively manageable conference slate. Betting Sentiment: Texas is a co-favorite with Ohio State and Oregon to win the 2025-26 National Championship at +650 odds, reflecting high expectations. Analysts predict an 11-1 record and a potential national title. Methodology for Betting Lines Spread: The point spread reflects the expected margin of victory, based on Texas’ talent, opponent strength, home/away dynamics, and historical performance against similar teams. I’ll use 2024 results, opponent projections, and confidence levels from sources like Longhorns Wire. Over/Under (O/U): The total points line is based on Texas’ 2024 offensive output (explosive but with red-zone issues at 63.8% touchdown rate), defensive strength, and opponent tendencies. I’ll assume Texas’ offense improves with Manning’s mobility but faces challenges replacing departed receivers. Data Sources: I’ll draw from the provided web results (e.g., 2024 performance, schedule analysis, recruiting rankings), X posts (fan predictions, early spreads), and general trends in college football betting. Where data is sparse (e.g., opponent 2025 rosters), I’ll use 2024 performance and coaching stability as proxies. Assumptions: Neutral-site games (e.g., Oklahoma) are treated as balanced venues. Home-field advantage is worth ~3 points. Texas’ talent and coaching give them an edge in most matchups, but tough road games (Ohio State, Georgia) temper expectations. 2025 Texas Longhorns Schedule and Betting Lines Below is the schedule, as confirmed by sources, with hypothetical betting lines for each game. Week 1: Aug. 30 – at Ohio State Buckeyes Context: A rematch of the 2024 CFP semifinal, where Ohio State won. The Buckeyes are defending champions but lose key players, while Texas starts the Manning era. Ohio State’s home advantage and title pedigree make this a toss-up. Early fan predictions favor Texas 20-17. Spread: Ohio State -2.5 (Texas +2.5) Over/Under: 51.5 Rationale: Ohio State’s home edge and defensive depth justify a slight favorite status, but Texas’ talent keeps it close. The O/U reflects a defensive battle, as both teams adjust to new personnel. Week 2: Sept. 6 – vs. San Jose State Spartans Context: San Jose State is a Group of Five team, far outmatched by Texas’ talent. Texas dominated similar non-conference foes in 2024 (e.g., 56-7 vs. UTSA). Fans predict a 56-0 rout. Spread: Texas -35.5 Over/Under: 59.5 Rationale: Texas is expected to dominate at home, with a massive talent gap. The high spread reflects blowout potential, and the O/U accounts for Texas piling up points. Week 3: Sept. 13 – vs. UTEP Miners Context: UTEP is another overmatched opponent, with Texas projected to win big (fan prediction: 45-3). Texas’ depth allows them to rest starters early. Spread: Texas -38.5 Over/Under: 57.5 Rationale: Similar to the San Jose State game, Texas should cruise. The slightly lower O/U reflects UTEP’s likely conservative offense. Week 4: Sept. 20 – BYE No game. Week 5: Sept. 27 – vs. Sam Houston State Bearkats Context: Another Group of Five opponent, Sam Houston State is outclassed. Fans predict a 66-0 blowout, reflecting Texas’ dominance in non-conference home games. Spread: Texas -40.5 Over/Under: 61.5 Rationale: Texas’ explosive offense and depth lead to a lopsided score. The high spread and O/U reflect a potential shutout. Week 6: Oct. 4 – at Florida Gators Context: Florida struggled in 2024, and Texas is favored to win comfortably (fan prediction: 35-17). Florida’s home crowd adds some challenge, but Texas’ talent should prevail. Spread: Texas -13.5 Over/Under: 54.5 Rationale: Texas’ superior roster justifies a double-digit spread, but Florida’s home advantage keeps it from being a blowout. The O/U reflects a moderate-scoring game. Week 7: Oct. 11 – vs. Oklahoma Sooners (in Dallas, Neutral Site) Context: The Red River Rivalry saw Texas dominate Oklahoma 34-3 in 2024. Oklahoma has a new QB (John Mateer), but Texas remains favored (fan prediction: 42-10). Early 2024 spreads had Texas -8.5. Spread: Texas -9.5 Over/Under: 52.5 Rationale: Texas’ talent gap and 2024 dominance support a near-double-digit spread. The O/U reflects Texas’ offense overpowering Oklahoma’s rebuilding defense. Week 8: Oct. 18 – at Kentucky Wildcats Context: Kentucky had a down 2024 season, and Texas is expected to win easily (fan prediction: 28-13). The road environment adds some difficulty, but Texas’ depth prevails. Spread: Texas -14.5 Over/Under: 50.5 Rationale: Texas’ talent makes them a clear favorite, but Kentucky’s physicality keeps the spread moderate. The O/U reflects a controlled game. Week 9: Oct. 25 – at Mississippi State Bulldogs Context: Mississippi State was among the SEC’s weakest teams in 2024, and Texas won comfortably last year. Fans predict a 42-0 rout, reflecting the talent disparity. Spread: Texas -21.5 Over/Under: 55.5 Rationale: Texas should dominate on the road, with a large spread reflecting Mississippi State’s struggles. The O/U assumes Texas scores heavily. Week 10: Nov. 1 – vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Context: Vanderbilt was competitive in 2024 but upset-prone. Texas escaped with a 27-24 win last year and is favored at home (fan prediction: 24-17; confidence level: 89%). Spread: Texas -12.5 Over/Under: 53.5 Rationale: Texas’ home advantage and talent edge justify a double-digit spread, but Vanderbilt’s grit keeps it closer. The O/U reflects a balanced game. Week 11: Nov. 8 – BYE No game. Week 12: Nov. 15 – at Georgia Bulldogs Context: Georgia beat Texas twice in 2024, but Texas is projected to win a close road game (fan prediction: 17-16). Georgia remains a top team, making this a marquee matchup. Early 2024 spreads had Texas +1.5. Spread: Georgia -3.5 (Texas +3.5) Over/Under: 49.5 Rationale: Georgia’s home advantage and 2024 success make them slight favorites, but Texas’ growth keeps it tight. The low O/U reflects a defensive struggle. Week 13: Nov. 22 – vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Context: Arkansas is a mid-tier SEC team, and Texas is favored at home (fan prediction: 34-21). Texas’ talent and home crowd should lead to a comfortable win. Early 2024 spreads had Texas -16.5. Spread: Texas -15.5 Over/Under: 56.5 Rationale: Texas’ offensive firepower justifies a large spread, with Arkansas capable of scoring. The O/U reflects a higher-scoring game. Week 14: Nov. 29 – vs. Texas A&M Aggies Context: The rivalry game is a season-definer. Texas dominated Texas A&M in 2024, and fans predict a 21-0 shutout. Texas’ home advantage and talent edge are significant. Early 2024 spreads had Texas -4. Spread: Texas -10.5 Over/Under: 51.5 Rationale: Texas’ 2024 dominance and home field support a double-digit spread. The O/U assumes Texas controls the game but A&M scores late. Summary Table of Betting Lines Week Opponent Spread Over/Under 1 at Ohio State Texas +2.5 51.5 2 vs. San Jose State Texas -35.5 59.5 3 vs. UTEP Texas -38.5 57.5 5 vs. Sam Houston State Texas -40.5 61.5 6 at Florida Texas -13.5 54.5 7 vs. Oklahoma (Neutral) Texas -9.5 52.5 8 at Kentucky Texas -14.5 50.5 9 at Mississippi State Texas -21.5 55.5 10 vs. Vanderbilt Texas -12.5 53.5 12 at Georgia Texas +3.5 49.5 13 vs. Arkansas Texas -15.5 56.5 14 vs. Texas A&M Texas -10.5 51.5 Additional Notes Season Win Total: Early sentiment suggests Texas could win over 10.5 regular-season games, with analysts projecting 11-1. The schedule’s lighter SEC portion (only Georgia and Texas A&M are major threats) supports this. Key Games: The Ohio State and Georgia games are likely to draw heavy betting interest due to their CFP implications. Texas’ performance in these could shift national championship odds. Data Gaps: Specific 2025 opponent rosters and coaching changes are not fully detailed, so lines for games like Florida and Kentucky assume moderate improvement. If new data emerges (e.g., transfer portal moves), lines could shift. Betting Trends: Texas’ 2024 red-zone struggles (54th nationally) could impact close games, but Manning’s mobility may improve efficiency. Defensively, Texas should remain elite, keeping O/U totals lower against strong opponents.

Join us this morning for Coffee and Football starting around 8:15 AM. We will talk the Longhorns latest news and notes, plus take your questions.

She shot 27.7% from the 3 last season.

Pure clickbait, but hey... it's the offseason!

Mayyyybbbeeeee.

Join us at 8:15ish AM, as we recap the latest Texas news and take your questions. No better way to start your week!

We are all tied up as we head to T4. Mendoza with the dinger.

Another sword. ⚔️

Game should be on ESPN2.

At the end of 1, Texas trails 1-0.

That was a sword on Flores. Bauer approved.