What is more likely: 7-5 or CFP?

[AustinsTruth]

Currently sitting at 4-2 with wins over Ohio State and Tennessee, with losses to 3-3 OU and 5-2 Florida. Remaining games: 

vs Ole Miss ---Bad defense, gonna have to score some points most likely

vs Miss. St. ---If Kamario Taylor is out, this game becomes exponentially easier. 

@ Mizzou ---Hard to predict if the team that smoked Florida and A&M shows up or the team that got smoked by Ole Miss/lost to Miss. St. shows up

@ LSU ---Not confident at all

vs Arkansas ---Only 99%+ confidence game

@ A&M ---Like OU, will we be the only game they look competent in?

Generally, feel like we should have a very good chance against Miss. State, especially if Kamario Taylor is out. Arkansas is a win, otherwise there will be no coaches left. Those are the only two remaining games on the schedule that seem like there is a 80%+ of winning. If the team plays well on Saturday, I like their chances of at least 8-4. If they play poorly again on Saturday, we could be staring 7-5 or 6-6 directly in the face. 

[SB21]

Sad this topic is even a conversation right now…

[AJJ_Sports]

#ALLIN26

[AustinsTruth]

14 minutes ago, SB21 said:

Sad this topic is even a conversation right now…

Agree, but it seems like reality at the moment. 

[jcash02]

Even if we won out, we'd still be a fringe CFP team. Having 2 losses to unranked teams is gonna be used against us. 

[Joe Z]

All brakes 26 

[John F.]

Going 5-1 would be a feat, and it still may not be enough to get in the playoff, especially with the possibility of 3 big 12 teams getting in. 7-5 would mean losing to Ole Miss, LSU, and Missouri, which is very plausible. I lean 7-5 is more likely. 

[Deej]

14 minutes ago, jcash02 said:

Even if we won out, we'd still be a fringe CFP team. Having 2 losses to unranked teams is gonna be used against us. 

If we win out we are in. We have the hardest schedule in the country and Florida is ranked 

[AustinsTruth]

24 minutes ago, jcash02 said:

Even if we won out, we'd still be a fringe CFP team. Having 2 losses to unranked teams is gonna be used against us. 

You beat Ohio State before their QB got hurt and Tennessee before they beat Alabama. The teams we would beat the rest of the season would make our resume untouchable with the quality of wins. Zero chance they leave Texas out with a 10-2 record having wins over those teams. 

[AustinsTruth]

17 minutes ago, John F. said:

Going 5-1 would be a feat, and it still may not be enough to get in the playoff, especially with the possibility of 3 big 12 teams getting in. 7-5 would mean losing to Ole Miss, LSU, and Missouri, which is very plausible. I lean 7-5 is more likely. 

With the Big 12 schedule, it seems very unlikely they don't get at least 2 teams in. Same for the Big 10, they will have teams that face 1-2 good teams all year. It is not a good season for a 9-3 team to get in. We would have quite an argument with quality of wins, good news is that losses early in the season mean much less than at the end of the season. 

[Red Five]

7-5, in a big way.

[MBHORNSFAN]

2 minutes ago, Red Five said:

7-5, in a big way.

 

Fire everyone 

[Shmatt]

Unfortunately were potentially facing a 7-5 season which would cause some major shifts in Texas football