Bubble watch

[bierce]

2 minutes ago, Glass Joe said:

Yeah, I think with Boise State beating UNM, we may now be the last team out.  To make matters worse, if Colorado State beats Utah State (they are up 9 pts early)  that will set up a situation where the winner of Boise vs Colorado State automatically gets into the tournament.  Both of these teams were behind Texas starting play today (according to Lunardi), so this may be the bid steal that dooms Texas.

Assuming the above, I think the final Play-In spot is now between UNC and Texas.  The fact that UNC made it a competitive game against Duke in the second half may change committee perceptions (from the dreadful first half for UNC).

Aside from this Boise vs Colorado St scenario, Texas needs to be aware of North Texas upsetting Memphis in the AAC tourney, which would also be a bid steal that may doom Texas.

Or VCU losing in the A10, or Uc San Diego losing in the Big West, or several other things.

I can't think of another team that missed the tournament with 7 Q1 wins, but we very well may become the first if there are no precedents.

[Glass Joe]

35 minutes ago, bierce said:

Or VCU losing in the A10, or Uc San Diego losing in the Big West, or several other things.

I can't think of another team that missed the tournament with 7 Q1 wins, but we very well may become the first if there are no precedents.

Yeah, when I compare our resume to Xavier, I’m lost as to how they are considered to be ahead of us.  They are 2-9 in Quad 1 games, and their top 4 non-conference opponents are nearly identically ranked as our top 4 non-conference opponents based on NET rankings.

The only difference is the overall records.  Texas is 8-10 spots higher than Xavier in NET, and above them in WAB.