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Everything posted by Glass Joe
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OTF Premium 4-star++ Jalen Lott update (3:05 CST)
Glass Joe replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
I hope you’re wrong. I’d prefer Bishop get all the reps possible at WR, and let Lott to elsewhere. -
OTF Premium Damari Simeon (6:11 pm CST)
Glass Joe replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
@Gerry Hamilton did we get outbid here, or is this Texas choosing to allocate the funds to another position (instead of paying up for a 5th DT in the class)? -
Do we think this will impact Texas’ on-field success as much as missing on Denver Harris or Zach Evans?
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Missouri Tabs $31 Million in NIL Spending
Glass Joe replied to CJ Vogel's topic in On Texas Football Forum
That’s the revenue sharing component, not the total compensation. I’m not sure a P4 school is going to be competitive on the field if they choose to not payout the $20.5M allowable to athletes under the revenue sharing component. So, the $20.5m revenue share acts as a “floor” for the total compensation athletes at a P4 school can receive. But the $20.5M revenue share is not the total compensation for athletes, and doesn’t act as a compensation “cap” for athletes. Legit NIL layered on top of the $20.5M revenue share is the total athletes compensation per school, and I don’t believe there can be any “cap” on this (legally). So, the $31M for Missouri in total compensation to athletes under NIL makes sense in this context. I also think this is where the “Texas spends $35M” rumor got started a few weeks back. -
Missouri Tabs $31 Million in NIL Spending
Glass Joe replied to CJ Vogel's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Is the $20.5M really a compensation cap, or is it a floor? My understanding is the $20.5m is the revenue sharing amount based off the $2.8B settlement spread across P4 schools athletic departments over some number of years. It is the amount required to be provided to (“shared”) athletes as NIL / marketing compensation, but it does not limit athletes at any school’s athletes from earning amounts above the $20.5M baseline through legitimate NIL / sponsorship deals (which the schools are allowed to facilitate for the athletes). Of course, the scope here are NIL based deals, not pay for play deals. So, the $20.5m is a NIL compensation floor at a P4 school, not a compensation cap / ceiling. Disclosure of NIL deals by athletes of P4 schools goes through the new CSC process and organization. So, in theory, Mizzou can disclose they spent $31m in athlete NIL compensation by simply combining the $20.5M revenue sharing figure with the additional CSC-approved NIL deals (say, $10.5m in total). -
4-star+ RB KJ Edwards commits to Texas A&M
Glass Joe replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
And Tech will make a final run at Ojo with a mega offer. This is what made the Roseborough situation so perplexing to me. Texas shouldn’t let that guy walk with the larger aggy offer UNLESS they are very confident in landing Ojo, Krempin, and Turntine in the class. A bird in hand. Instead, we will sweat bullets as OL who prefer Texas may choose aggy or Tech because they’re getting bigger NIL offers there. At this point, I’m assuming aggy will buy two of Roseborough, Turntine, and Krempin, leaving Texas with one at most. And that leaves us at the whims of Ojo and Cody Campbell. -
OTF Premium June 13-15 Weekend Official Visit Thread
Glass Joe replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Read: budgetary decisions. We can’t pay both Roseborough’s BIG offer from aggy and Ojo’s massive offer from Tech (and likely a big offer from Ohio St). Decisions, decisions… And that’s before even considering Turntine’s payday. -
OTF Premium June 13-15 Weekend Official Visit Thread
Glass Joe replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Me thinks this has been the “Texas has decisions to make” reference you’ve alluded to a few times this week. I’ve assumed aggy would try to money whip at least 1-2 recruits this cycle that would otherwise choose Texas, and aggy having Roseborough and Krempin on OVs the week prior to their Texas OVs was no coincidence. It’ll be interesting to see how Sark plays this one…match the aggy offer for Roseborough here?? Or make a monetary decision to let an otherwise prized OL go elsewhere so that we have money to give other OL? I would also guess the same conversation and decision is taking place with Ojo and his huge Tech money offer. Do you let Ojo go to Tech or Ohio State, if you are confident you can land Roseborough, Turntine, and Krempin to fill the OL class? I have thought all along that we would only get two of Ojo, Turntine, and Roseborough, so this is playing out exactly as I anticipated. We will lose one of Ojo or Roseborough to Tech or aggy (but not both). -
OTF Premium June 13-15 Weekend Official Visit Thread
Glass Joe replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Tre Wisner - 2 years eligibility left CJ Baxter - 3 years eligibility left J.Gibson - 3 years eligibility left C.Clark, J.Simon, R.Stewart - 4 years left KJ Edwards - soon to have 4 years left No, we are not worried about RB recruiting -
OTF Premium June 13-15 Weekend Official Visit Thread
Glass Joe replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
It’s interesting that you’ve not mentioned aggy making a BIG play at Turntine (who was also on an aggy OV last weekend). Perhaps Aggy figured out which OL they have a shot to win with a BIG offer, and which OL just isn’t interested in any offer. -
History of blood clot issues and the high altitude of Boulder…a perfect rationale to leave CU.
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This is where the new “legitimate” NIL will have its focus and impact. Paying the $20.5M in revenue sharing per the House settlement is pretty straightforward for all schools. In the case of Tech, the other $34M is largely just pay-for-play under the guise of bogus NIL deals. I’m confident in saying there aren’t businesses in Lubbock (or the entire West Texas region) willing to spend $34m annually to have Tech athletes sponsor / represent their products…which is the definition of legitimate NIL. If we assume the $55M figure is accurate, it means that the $34M is largely just a big donor or two paying athletes to play for Tech. That is pay-for-play (not NIL). It doesn’t take too much of a leap to guess the rubber will meet the road when the newly created CSC (College Sports Committee) assesses the legitimacy of these $34m deals…and the Tech boosters will be required to defend the deals. A wild guess here is you’ll see lawsuits from Tech challenging the ability of the CSC to disallow payments to their athletes based “pay for play” standard as opposed to “name/image/likeness” standard.
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“Hippy” = Z. Krempin Gerry throwing out next level clues 😂
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Michael Early Confirmed to be returning next season for A&M.
Glass Joe replied to Bevo92's topic in On Texas Football Forum
1. Alberts didn’t want to pay $3m to make his own mistake (hiring Earley) look even worse 2. Alberts knew he wouldn’t be able to hire a decent HC before the baseball portal opens on Monday, because all the good HCs are still playing right now. 3. Aggy believes keeping Earley will prevent a mass exodus of players to the portal on Monday. Just like last season when tons of aggy players entered the summer portal until to return thanks to NIL raises and Earley being hired. Aggy baseball is like a never-ending spiral of stupidity. -
NIL isn’t about telling a kid what they’re worth to play football. NIL is a marketing deal whereby Company X pays a kid to represent or sponsor their product for money. Company X records a marketing expenditure on their books and taxes. There’s also the silly collective charitable functions to funnel money to players, but all now agree that’ll be going away. NIL is not the school paying a fee to play football. As with many commercial marketing agreement, a fair value criteria must be maintained - whether NIL to an athlete or paying an actor to do a commercial or pitch a product. If FMV is violated, the agreement is not valid. And, most importantly, Company X loses the tax deductibility of the marketing expense paid to the player or actor. PWC is being hired to validate the FMV of player NIL deals going forward. Just as PWC values other commercial marketing agreements for their corporate clients every day. PWC is not enforcing anything. They are expressing their professional opinion on the FMV on the agreement. PWC will the report their opinion to NCAA or SEC enforcement for THEM to determine any next steps or penalties for violations. This is what will be called in the post-House settlement landscape of college football as “legitimate NIL”. Such as Quinn Ewers with Dr.Pepper, Caleb Williams with Dr.Pepper, or Arch Manning / Livy Dunne with Vuori. Again, the reason USC is offering 3-year guaranteed contracts if agreed to before House is to avoid exactly the NIL validation process described above by grandfathering these currently INVALID (non-FMV) agreements with athletes. Nobody is denying any athlete the ability to earn as much money as possible legitimately through marketing their Name, Image, and Likeness to corporate sponsors. This is about regulating the pay-for-play schemes that are already running amok at certain schools - USC, Miami, aggy.
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Pretty hilarious that Texas and OU would have the top 2 DLs in the SEC after only one season in the conference. SEC old timers must be cringing at the notion that two former Big 12 schools can come in and take over the SEC’s primary calling card (DL play). ”SEC ready”?? Apparently so.
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If the SEC (or NCAA) implements a legit enforcement process - such as the proposed NIL deal valuation validation by PWC - than Texas will be just fine in the post-House settlement world. And bogus NIL deals like the garbage we’re seeing now by USC, Miami, and Aggy won’t be allowed in the future. Let’s see how the House settlement is implemented.
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He’ll get a 50% payment on June 30th, and as a California resident, he can accept the payment as a high schooler (he’s still 16, IIRC). USC wanted to get this deal done before the House settlement to avoid the NIL deal review process by PWC. This deal is signed and done, there won’t be any de-commitment because the kids dad isn’t paying back millions in December. There’s a difference in USC being able to keep a recruit from California (where the kid can accept the NIL cash immediately), and US. being able to keep a recruit from Georgia (Justice Terry, E.Griffin, Xavier Griffin, etc). Texas and UGA were very smart not to pay this kid $8m-$10m as no college TE is worth that amount, and particularly one who’ll be limited by USC’s QB (J.Maiava for the next 2 years….LOL!). Bowman was a kid shopped nationally to high schools by his father (IMG, SLC, Mater Dei) so this end game is absolutely no surprise.
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The timing suggests Landon Barnes.
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The key here is the word roster…as in the talent across the entire 85-man roster. LSU may have the highest scoring offense in college football this year, but their defense is well below LSU standards. Similarly, Clemson has some elite guys at key positions across the starting line-up, but what is behind any of those guys, and can the top end guys cover for the less-than-elite other starters? Oregon historically is a very barbelled roster, with some elite talent at various positions, but replacement level at other position groups. I tend to think with the NIL era beginning a few years ago, they now have more talent across their entire roster (even in the two-deep) than they’ve ever had before. That said, we saw what Ohio State’s talent did to Oregon in the Rose Bowl, so there’s still a gap there. I think for 2025, you can put Texas, Penn State, UGA, Ohio State, and Bama 85-man rosters at the top of the list, with LSU, Clemson, and Oregon having enough key talented players (if not depth of talent) to win an NC if the chips fall right for them. Notre Dame and Florida need 1-2 more recruiting classes at the level they’re currently recruiting to make this list.
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Two Longhorns headed to Royse City
Glass Joe replied to Jeff Howe's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Trey Metoyer is a rather notorious alum.