Thank for sharing. This chart summarizes all the discussion points in the posts above very succinctly. And there are some profound implications:
* today, there are 65 teams across the P4 conferences (inc ND). If only 18 teams generate half the media revenue of the entire D1 (140 schools), that implies that 47 schools in P4 conferences are being somewhat subsidized by the big 18 revenue schools. If you prefer softer language, 47 schools currently in P4 are receiving outsized media revenue relative to their own individual media revenue value.
* it also implies that more than half of the current P2 schools (SEC and Big Ten collectively are 34 schools today) are below average contributors to their own conferences media revenue. Note; there are 15 current P2 schools on the list of 18 schools above. In other words, even within the P2 conferences, 15 schools pull more than half the revenue weight of the other 18 schools. This is what I mean when I state the next great battle in college sports may be WITHIN the P2 conferences. Think Vandy, Rutgers, Minnesota, or Northwestern being a part of the final 40-48 schools of major college football. Hmm…
* Once the largest ACC schools (Clemson, FSU, UNC) are added to the mix, it’s doubtful that any other ACC or Big 12 schools will be above mean (average) contributors to the media revenue generation of the major college football league. NONE! This is why the biggest 18-20 schools will be very reluctant to expand the P2 conferences beyond the 40-48 schools mentioned above.
* To bring things full circle, you now should understand why Cody Campbell is worried about the future of Texas Tech. Keep in mind, Campbell is now the Chairman of the Board of Trustees at Tech, not just some football booster. His school’s future is predicated on being part of the finalized major college football league in 2031, and he realizes he’ll be part of the “subsidized” group of schools, NOT the group of outsized revenue generators. And that’s going to be a tough sell for a Lubbock, TX school.