Playoff Chances??

[OTFBrandon]

(This is all eye test based, no mathematics are involved lol) Okay obviously Texas will most likely not get into the playoffs this season after the chaos didn't go our way, but we still just maybe might have a sliver of hope to get in after conference championship week. I know this is a shot in the dark, but say Alabama and BYU both lose next week, that virtually opens up one more at large bid assuming Virginia can beat 7-5 Duke to become ACC champions and get a bid for the playoffs. Also if Ohio State beats Indiana it would only boost our chances to be in. So, this in my opinion would be the seeding after next week, 1. OSU 2. Georgia 3. Indiana 4. Texas Tech 5. Oregon 6. A&M 7. Ole Miss 8. Oklahoma 9. Norte Dame 10. Texas 11. Virginia 12. North Texas. Some articles say even if Alabama (10-3) loses they most likely get the last nod over BYU (11-2), Miami (10-2), Vanderbilt (10-2), and Texas (9-3). In a way I can see how the committee has every right not to put us in after finishing 9-3, but like coach Sark said it would be a disservice to the sport. It would virtually mean wins and losses are the most important aspect when it comes to the playoff. Texas in my honest opinion would dog walk every team competing for the final spot. But, because they have more losses the committee and the CFB world doesn't seem to believe so. Anyways like I said it's a shot in the dark, probably wont happen. Just glad we finished the regular season on a good note and hopefully smother whoever we get scheduled to play in our bowl game. Hook'Em.

[Longhornmd]

If Georgia beats Alabama and Tech beats BYU only one spot would be open.  Who does the committee like: Vanderbilt, Utah, BYU, Miami or Texas.  Each team has had a win over a playoff team in contention.  If BYU loses to Tech they only have Utah and Utah would only have BYU(doubt Cincinnati would be ranked).  Vanderbilt and Miami are the two teams likely to knock Texas out.  Vanderbilt would only have Tennessee and maybe Mizzou if they are ranked and Miami would only have ND.  However, Vanderbilt is getting much love with Pavia and is possible heisman winner.  With the way Vanderbilt is playing and Pavia in the heisman talk I would not doubt Vanderbilt gets the last spot even though Texas beat them.  Just like 2008 with OU playing in Big 12 Championship even though Texas beat them.

[whereiend]

I think the only chance is if committee ranks us ahead of OU and ND, which they ought to do given our superior wins and head to head domination of OU.

If that doesn't happen this week then we won't be in the playoff, and CDC needs to immediately cancel all difficult OOC games on future schedules.

Edited 5 hours ago by whereiend

[SchoolColors]

[Longhornmd]

I think ND should be forced to join a conference.  Otherwise they are no different than a non power 4 schedule wise that gets in just because they won their conference or beat 1 playoff contender.
It should be setup that the top 12 or 16 in the future get in.  No conference champion gets in that is not ranked in top 12 or 16. 
If you don’t fix that no team will play a marque matchup in the preseason. I think they should do away with conference championship all together.

[LonghornLegends]

3 minutes ago, SchoolColors said:

1000% just go all in for next year 

[SueVide]

Nobody cares but here's my biased rankings:

1. Ohio State (11-0)

2. Georgia (10-1)

3. Indiana (11-0)

4. Oregon (10-1)

5. Ole Miss (10-1)

6. Texas Tech (10-1)

7. Notre Dame (10-2)

8. Texas A&M (11-1)

9. Texas (9-3)

10. Oklahoma (10-2)

11. Alabama (10-2)

12. BYU (10-1) 

 

Edited 5 hours ago by SueVide

[SB21]

I just don’t understand how you look at Vandy next to us and ignore the head to head result…. They beat #22 Tennessee to end the year and we beat the #3 team if you are using recency views. Can’t tell me them beating Tenn was more impressive than us beating AnM, Oklahoma and Vandy lol but whatever. Nothing we can do now

[SueVide]

36 minutes ago, SB21 said:

I just don’t understand how you look at Vandy next to us and ignore the head to head result…. They beat #22 Tennessee to end the year and we beat the #3 team if you are using recency views. Can’t tell me them beating Tenn was more impressive than us beating AnM, Oklahoma and Vandy lol but whatever. Nothing we can do now

And they lost to Alabama by 16! Alabama lost to a Florida State team by 14. The Florida State team who just got smoked by Florida. 

[SB21]

Yeah. There just isn’t a way I see any playoff committee looking at Vandy and us and then taking them over us even though we beat them “because they only lost 2 games” and we lost 3…… when 2 of the 3 are arguably the two best teams in the nation. 

[whereiend]

Vandy won't make the field, but most do believe OU will, which I think is even more ridiculous.

[Red Five]

The only reason to include OU and not Texas is "Because they went 10-2 and Texas went 9-3". Because if you're basing it on who is the better team, well, I think that was settled fairly conclusively.

So if the criteria is simply wins and losses regardless of anything else, the committee should admit to that. 

[Kevin C]

38 minutes ago, Red Five said:

The only reason to include OU and not Texas is "Because they went 10-2 and Texas went 9-3". Because if you're basing it on who is the better team, well, I think that was settled fairly conclusively.

So if the criteria is simply wins and losses regardless of anything else, the committee should admit to that. 

We didn't just beat OU, we dominated them.  Then we dominated A&M in the final 30 mins 24-7, a team that many were arguing is #1 going into the game.  I never thought A&M was better than #3 but the reality is we beat 3 teams who were all ranked top 10 at the time we played them.  No-one has won 3 top 10 games in past 5 years.  Committee putting way too much emphasis on 2 losses to teams ranked #1 and #3 in country.  At most, those both should count as .5 compared to losses by Miami (2 unranked teams).  Need to put much more emphasis on great wins.