CFP Rankings Tomorrow, my best guess

[harveycmd]

1 minute ago, Gerry Hamilton said:

Will be interesting. Tennessee both losses on the road. Ohio State losing to 7-5 Michigan at home and looking like a steaming pile doing it should knock them below the Vols in seeding. 

True, but they'll claim OSU's wins over Penn State and Indiana as two playoff teams outweighs Tennessee's best win over Alabama. 

[John F.]

Seeding are going to be based on rankings though. Rank first, then seed. 

Edited December 8, 2024 by John F.

[Thorn007]

Horns vs  Clem or smu. Next round boise or Zona st.  Me likey yo

[Hashtag]

Just now, John F. said:

Seeding are going to be based on rankings though. 

That’s not necessarily true with how they have the tie ins for byes. If it was truly based on rankings then Arizona st and Boise state wouldn’t be 3/4. I think they’ll present the bracket in a way that seeds similar to cbb selections then will do like a first 4 out kind of thing. 

[John F.]

14 minutes ago, Gerry Hamilton said:

Agree, but replace Ohio State with Penn State ... since both just played in conference title game

If the committee does the right thing an goes 8 Tennessee hosting 9 Ohio State, the Vols will knock out the Buckeyes

Gerry hasn’t the committee said they’re not shuffling teams that didn’t play yesterday relative to each other? If so, Ohio St is locked in over Tennessee. 

[John F.]

3 minutes ago, Hashtag said:

That’s not necessarily true with how they have the tie ins for byes. If it was truly based on rankings then Arizona st and Boise state wouldn’t be 3/4. I think they’ll present the bracket in a way that seeds similar to cbb selections then will do like a first 4 out kind of thing. 

The four highest ranked conference championships get the top four seeds. The fifth highest ranked gets a bid but no guaranteed seed. It’s solely based on rankings. 

[Hashtag]

4 minutes ago, John F. said:

The four highest ranked conference championships get the top four seeds. The fifth highest ranked gets a bid but no guaranteed seed. It’s solely based on rankings. 

Everything leading up to today is rankings for a tv show and to get engagement. Today is about seeding for a playoff. Don’t conflate those two things. 

[Gerry Hamilton]

12 minutes ago, Thorn007 said:

Horns vs  Clem or smu. Next round boise or Zona st.  Me likey yo

Very much so if that scenario plays out

[John F.]

3 minutes ago, Hashtag said:

Everything leading up to today is rankings for a tv show and to get engagement. Today is about seeding for a playoff. Don’t conflate those two things. 

I'm not. I'm reading the rules.

https://www.ncaa.com/news/football/article/2024-11-27/how-college-football-playoff-works

Edited December 8, 2024 by John F.

[Gerry Hamilton]

9 minutes ago, John F. said:

Gerry hasn’t the committee said they’re not shuffling teams that didn’t play yesterday relative to each other? If so, Ohio St is locked in over Tennessee. 

You are probably correct. 

It shouldn't be that way in terms of the rankings. They are just wrong. Ohio State lost at home to Michigan, scored 0 in the second half. Total BS. 

And I do believe it matters big time for who hosts (home crowd, potential weather, etc.)

But it is what it is. 

[Austalgia]

33 minutes ago, Gerry Hamilton said:

Would be criminal if Alabama gets in over South Carolina. I know Bama won the game in Tuscaloosa first half of the season. 

But Alabama lost road games at Vanderbilt and Oklahoma (god dog walked against OU). South Carolina smoked both of those teams on the road, and is playing better football now. 

I totally agree, but Alabama being in the previous ranking and being idle, not sure South Carolina  (playing better and trending up) will jump them.  Best to just have a deserving SMU there at 11/12.  But what should be done and is done might be 2 different things.  And this 12 team playoff was suppose to remedy controversy. 

Edited December 8, 2024 by Austalgia

[Bobby Burton]

My best guess is ACC is 11 and 12.

Texas-SMU, Penn State-Clemson and Notre Dame-Indiana.

5 v 12, 6 v 11, and 7 v 10.

There is precedent for still ranking a team like SMU that lost to Clemson higher than who they lost to.

 

[Bobby Burton]

Texas really wants to be 5 or 6. 

[harveycmd]

Truth is, if we're seeded five or six, the loss to Georgia in the SEC title game won't really hurt us. Fifth would probably be better, but either of those draws should set us up to make the semifinal against Georgia or Oregon.

[Alex Butler]

4 hours ago, harveycmd said:

I agree with this. Texas should be 5, but they'll probably give it to the NIU loser. 

Lolol!

[Joe Naural]

46 minutes ago, Gerry Hamilton said:

Would be criminal if Alabama gets in over South Carolina. I know Bama won the game in Tuscaloosa first half of the season. 

But Alabama lost road games at Vanderbilt and Oklahoma (god dog walked against OU). South Carolina smoked both of those teams on the road, and is playing better football now. 

South Carolina would best Asu , Smu, indiana…boise…… tossup Nd , osu, penn state, tenneseee…and Texas

Sellers and that south carolina team no one wants to play! 

[Gerry Hamilton]

1 minute ago, Joe Naural said:

South Carolina would best Asu , Smu, indiana…boise…… tossup Nd , osu, penn state, tenneseee…and Texas

Sellers and that south carolina team no one wants to play! 

100% agree

[harveycmd]

2 minutes ago, Joe Naural said:

South Carolina would best Asu , Smu, indiana…boise…… tossup Nd , osu, penn state, tenneseee…and Texas

Sellers and that south carolina team no one wants to play! 

I'd rather play South Carolina than Tennessee. 

[Thailand T Sip]

1 hour ago, Gerry Hamilton said:

Agree, but replace Ohio State with Penn State ... since both just played in conference title game

If the committee does the right thing an goes 8 Tennessee hosting 9 Ohio State, the Vols will knock out the Buckeyes

I refer back to your comments on the OTF rapid reaction regarding the committee's makeup. The committee won't do the right thing!

[Austalgia]

38 minutes ago, Joe Naural said:

South Carolina would best Asu , Smu, indiana…boise…… tossup Nd , osu, penn state, tenneseee…and Texas

Sellers and that south carolina team no one wants to play! 

I agree with this caveat, Texas beats SC.  Full disclosure of bias, I still have cool aid left and I’m a homer, but we are good against running QBs when we prepare for them, and though they have a pass rush, it’s not complemented with the linebackers Georgia has.  Don’t get me wrong, their linebackers are good, but not elite with the instincts and speed of Georgia. Think we could score.  

[Austalgia]

We will see if TV sets and money play a part in the decisions pretty quick.  SMU draws Dallas and Texas market, but not the national viewership Alabama does.  Again, I don’t care, my pony is Texas, but what should happen and what might happen could be different. 

[harveycmd]

54 minutes ago, Joe Naural said:

South Carolina would best Asu , Smu, indiana…boise…… tossup Nd , osu, penn state, tenneseee…and Texas

Sellers and that south carolina team no one wants to play! 

I'm not on the Sellers bandwagon. I'll bet he suffers the proverbial sophomore slump next season.

[Neil Leininger]

1 hour ago, Bobby Burton said:

Texas really wants to be 5 or 6. 

Texas really wants the 6th because the semifinal is in Dallas at the Cotton Bowl.

[82horn]

Texas a 5 seed, really like the draw for first 2 games