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Monday's Key to the Game | Monday 4:30 p.m.

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Key to the game?

Converting 1st and 2nd downs into positive gains to set up third and short is the biggest point of emphasis in my eyes going into this weekend's contest against Oklahoma.

 

A look at every 3rd down Texas faced against OU in 2025:

  • 3rd & 23
  • 3rd & 12
  • 3rd & 30
  • 3rd & 10 ... converted
  • 3rd & 1 ... converted
  • 3rd & 3 (goal line)
  • 3rd & 1 ... converted
  • 3rd & 8 ...converted
  • 3rd & 8 ... converted (touchdown)
  • 3rd & 7 ... converted
  • 3rd & 7 ... converted
  • 3rd & 2 ... converted
  • 3rd & 19 
  • 3rd & 7
  • 3rd & 2 ... converted
  • 3rd & 12

Pretty easy trend to decipher here.

  • 0–3 on 3rd & 15+
  • 1–6 on 3rd & 10+
  • 5–11 on 3rd & 7+
  • 4–5 conversion rate on 3rd & 5 or less

 

Texas has not been great in these exact situations. Against Tennessee, the Longhorns average distance to go on 3rd downs was 9.0.

On 3rd and short, Texas was 2–2. On 3rd & long (9+), the Longhorns were 0–4.

Oklahoma has a superb front seven with the interior defensive line leading the way. The edge rushers of Taylor Wein and PJ Adebawore being two incredibly toolsy edge rushers as well.

Not allowing that group to pin their ears back and rush the passer will be key in my eyes.

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15 minutes ago, NothinButDaHorns34 said:

Run the ball, stop the run, stay in third & manageable on offense and weather the storm because crazy things are bound to happen in this game. 

Crazy things indeed. With Mateer we may see someone never done before in the sport  

16 minutes ago, CJ Vogel said:

Crazy things indeed. With Mateer we may see someone never done before in the sport  

????  🤷‍♀️🤷🏼‍♂️🤷🏿‍♂️🤷🏼

Good observation, @CJ Vogel. This team seems to make the simple things difficult. On paper this one should be a runaway, but those are the ones that seem to become problems in this series.

Sooners have an excellent Defense. Arch better be on his game

geo stats vs. ou

1st Downs    12

3rd down efficiency    3-12

Total offense     306

2 hours ago, CJ Vogel said:

Key to the game?

Converting 1st and 2nd downs into positive gains to set up third and short is the biggest point of emphasis in my eyes going into this weekend's contest against Oklahoma.

 

A look at every 3rd down Texas faced against OU in 2025:

  • 3rd & 23
  • 3rd & 12
  • 3rd & 30
  • 3rd & 10 ... converted
  • 3rd & 1 ... converted
  • 3rd & 3 (goal line)
  • 3rd & 1 ... converted
  • 3rd & 8 ...converted
  • 3rd & 8 ... converted (touchdown)
  • 3rd & 7 ... converted
  • 3rd & 7 ... converted
  • 3rd & 2 ... converted
  • 3rd & 19 
  • 3rd & 7
  • 3rd & 2 ... converted
  • 3rd & 12

Pretty easy trend to decipher here.

  • 0–3 on 3rd & 15+
  • 1–6 on 3rd & 10+
  • 5–11 on 3rd & 7+
  • 4–5 conversion rate on 3rd & 5 or less

 

Texas has not been great in these exact situations. Against Tennessee, the Longhorns average distance to go on 3rd downs was 9.0.

On 3rd and short, Texas was 2–2. On 3rd & long (9+), the Longhorns were 0–4.

Oklahoma has a superb front seven with the interior defensive line leading the way. The edge rushers of Taylor Wein and PJ Adebawore being two incredibly toolsy edge rushers as well.

Not allowing that group to pin their ears back and rush the passer will be key in my eyes.

 

The biggest mismatch is our front 7 against their OL. 

18 minutes ago, Joe Z said:

@CJ Vogel I know this is a hard game for you on Saturday just know I am here for you bud 

He’s trying to do the reverse jinks on Mateer.

13 minutes ago, thatdude2 said:

He’s trying to do the reverse jinks on Mateer.

Jinx 🤣🤣🖕🏼🖕🏼🖕🏼🖕🏼

Get takeaways, dominate the lines of scrimmage, special teams not a liability (neutral), 150 yards rushing, pressure on Mateer.

Special Teams can not set you back.  Penalties..defense has to force turnovera for short field opportunities for the offence

7 hours ago, NothinButDaHorns34 said:

Run the ball, stop the run, stay in third & manageable on offense and weather the storm because crazy things are bound to happen in this game. 

if by "weather the storm" translates for Sark to be patient, I agree 100%.  Nothing wrong with punting and playing the field position game.  Don't put the offense in a position for turnovers, especially early on.  Texas has all of the advantages if they just don't beat themselves with penalties and turnovers

Need to not kill ourselves with penalties. Execute better on O, don't need to score on every drive but let's put some drives together at least. Stop putting yourself behind the chains. 

I can't wait to see this DL smother OU's run game and QB. Special teams cannot continue to be a burden.  Spetic seems to be the lone exception there. 

Edited by AusMOJO

10 hours ago, Thorn007 said:

Sooners have an excellent Defense. Arch better be on his game

geo stats vs. ou

1st Downs    12

3rd down efficiency    3-12

Total offense     306

I think their D is a bit overrated. Georgia got up big and basically coasted to victory in that game. 

The absence pf Nick Townsend and Hollywood Smothers against Tennessee turned Texas into a predictable, pass-heavy offense that invited immediate pressure. Having both playmakers healthy for the Cotton Bowl allows Texas to dictate the tempo, stay out of third-and-long traps, and keep Oklahoma’s elite edge rushers off balance

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