Important Week for Polls

[Paul Jespersen]

With the first CFP seedings coming out this week, it feels like the polls this week are going to be very interesting and I don't think Texas is going to like what happens...

There is going to be a logjam of 2 loss teams, including Texas, and now also Ohio State, Ole Miss, and TN, all wins for Texas, but who all have arguably better losses. Through in LSU, Alabama, and USC...

It feels like pollsters might lose Texas in the middle of all those. I predict both OSU and Alabama and possibly Ole Miss are ranked higher than Texas despite the head to heads. Normally, I might not worry about it at this point in season, and it feels like we still have some things to prove to earn it, but with such a logjam of teams between about 8 and 15, and w/ Boise and ND reserved spots, it feels unusually important to have the right pecking order set now even before we have to go on road and take care of business. If we do that I'm pretty sure we are in.

I still think things sort out over time, just that it is maybe more important than usual to get this initial ranking right to avoid someone else making the decision down the road - especially if we are also thinking there is any chance for a 3 loss invite...

🤘

Edited 2 hours ago by Paul Jespersen

[LonghornFan4Ever]

The solution is to win out and finish the regular season 10-2 and take it out of the committee's hands.  If Texas doesn't make it at 9-3, so be it.  Can't use the playing Ohio State in non-con excuse this season because you beat them.  Stop losing to average to below average football teams.

[GoHorns1]

Texas will ranked between 6-9. Teams ahead of Texas in no particular order, Miami, Georgia, ND, Utah, BYU, UCLA.

Texas will be ahead of OSU, Ole Miss

[Paul Jespersen]

1 minute ago, GoHorns1 said:

Texas will ranked between 6-9. Teams ahead of Texas in no particular order, Miami, Georgia, ND, Utah, BYU, UCLA.

Texas will be ahead of OSU, Ole Miss

Should be - not so sure will be. I think we'll be behind Alabama, OSU, and possibly Ole Miss.

🤘

[HawkDriver]

9 minutes ago, LonghornFan4Ever said:

The solution is to win out and finish the regular season 10-2 and take it out of the committee's hands.  If Texas doesn't make it at 9-3, so be it.  Can't use the playing Ohio State in non-con excuse this season because you beat them.  Stop losing to average to below average football teams.

Exactly, I get the OU loss I guess, but you can’t lose to a bad UF team at home.  Especially the way you lost those games, by letting up.

[Sanka Decaf]

it seems like we'll be 9th behind Alabama but just ahead of OSU and Ole Miss.  based on results, that seems the most obvious place for Texas.  Alabama's win over MSU was much more impressive and they were ranked ahead of us last week (and had a bye).  will be interesting to see whether Indiana drops back a place or two.  

it looks like there could be 5 new ranked teams this week given losses at the bottom of the rankings.  Not impactful, but interesting/fun to see some new teams ranked.  Iowa for sure.  New Mexico?  Oregon State?  USC again (probably).

[pskjace]

Historically the committee values head to head wins above quality or strength of losses. 

[CHorn427]

46 minutes ago, Paul Jespersen said:

Should be - not so sure will be. I think we'll be behind Alabama, OSU, and possibly Ole Miss.

🤘

There is absolutely no chance we will be behind Ole Miss or Ohio State.

[HonkEm]

Head-to-head still has to mean something. If Texas gets ranked behind Ohio State, Ole Miss, or Tennessee after beating them, then why did we bother playing the games? Win the next few and this whole debate takes care of itself. 🤘🏻

[HonkEm]

58 minutes ago, Paul Jespersen said:

Should be - not so sure will be. I think we'll be behind Alabama, OSU, and possibly Ole Miss.

🤘

Based on what? Alabama lost to teams Texas would be mocked for losing to. Ohio State literally lost to Texas head-to-head. Ole Miss lost to Texas head-to-head. If all three get ranked ahead of Texas, then apparently the games themselves are just a suggestion.

I can understand debating Alabama because pollsters love Alabama. I can even understand a disagreement on resumes.... But ranking Ohio State and Ole Miss ahead of the team that beat them on the field feels like admitting head-to-head doesn't matter.

Head-to-head isn't the only thing that matters, but it has to matter more than nothing. Otherwise we're rewarding hypothetical football over actual football. 🤘🏻

 

[John F.]

Heather Dinich, who’s usually pretty plugged in, has Texas at 9. If that’s the case, winning out gets you in. Lose one and it’s possible but need some luck
 

https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/50321732/projecting-2026-playoff-top-12-week-9-cfp

[Paul Jespersen]

1 hour ago, HonkEm said:

Based on what? Alabama lost to teams Texas would be mocked for losing to. Ohio State literally lost to Texas head-to-head. Ole Miss lost to Texas head-to-head. If all three get ranked ahead of Texas, then apparently the games themselves are just a suggestion.

I can understand debating Alabama because pollsters love Alabama. I can even understand a disagreement on resumes.... But ranking Ohio State and Ole Miss ahead of the team that beat them on the field feels like admitting head-to-head doesn't matter.

Head-to-head isn't the only thing that matters, but it has to matter more than nothing. Otherwise we're rewarding hypothetical football over actual football. 🤘🏻

 

I didn't say I agreed with it - I don't. I'm just predicting it.

🤘

[Paul Jespersen]

Coaches Poll just released - Texas at #11 behind Alabama AND Ohio State and ahead of Ole Miss, LSU, Tenn, and USC... let's see what AP does...

Missouri up to #19 ahead of our game.

🤘

 

Edited 37 minutes ago by Paul Jespersen

[Paul Jespersen]

1 hour ago, CHorn427 said:

There is absolutely no chance we will be behind Ole Miss or Ohio State.

Check the poll - as predicted, we are behind OSU...

🤘

[CHorn427]

20 minutes ago, Paul Jespersen said:

Check the poll - as predicted, we are behind OSU...

🤘

I was talking about the CFP poll, but sure. I doubt Ohio State will be above Texas in the CFP poll. I’d be willing to bet this is inverted in the CFP poll.

[CHorn427]

22 minutes ago, Paul Jespersen said:

Check the poll - as predicted, we are behind OSU...

🤘

The head to head results have always mattered more in the CFP poll than AP.

[Paul Jespersen]

Let’s hope. We’ll see. 
 

I was talking about the weekly polls setting the table for what the cfp does. 
 

at end of day, we win we are in. Still a lot of carnage left over the next few weeks in cfb!

 

🤘