25-26 Director's Cup Thread

[GoHorns1]

7 hours ago, DirectorsCupUpdates said:

That 1V8 race at the NCAAs is going to be very exciting to watch. 3 boats going at it, all with a chance to win a natty most likely!

Stanford beat the Tennessee, Texas beat Stanford, Tennessee beat Texas in earlier races.

[HookemTexas]

12 minutes ago, GoHorns1 said:

Stanford beat the Tennessee, Texas beat Stanford, Tennessee beat Texas in earlier races.

Going to come down to who's got it on race day.

[nozatx]

Women's golf regionals finished up today, mostly going chalk in terms of which schools qualify for NCAAs (UT women won by 11 strokes in regional at UNC, Stanford won by 38 at home), with one significant DC-relevant exception.  In the Tallahassee regional, a Kentucky golfer holed out for eagle on the 18th hole which caused Kentucky to jump over 15th-ranked UCLA by one shot for the 5th and final qualifying spot there. UCLA drops 19.5 points from their projection in women's golf with no potential to improve.

Final 30 includes 10 SEC schools - OU, Vandy, MsSt failed to advance.

[DirectorsCupUpdates]

30 minutes ago, nozatx said:

Women's golf regionals finished up today, mostly going chalk in terms of which schools qualify for NCAAs (UT women won by 11 strokes in regional at UNC, Stanford won by 38 at home), with one significant DC-relevant exception.  In the Tallahassee regional, a Kentucky golfer holed out for eagle on the 18th hole which caused Kentucky to jump over 15th-ranked UCLA by one shot for the 5th and final qualifying spot there. UCLA drops 19.5 points from their projection in women's golf with no potential to improve.

Final 30 includes 10 SEC schools - OU, Vandy, MsSt failed to advance.

Teams ranked 8, 12, 13, 14, 15, 23 and 28 failed to advance. Texas has their sites on a top 5 finish so these teams don't exactly make that much easier - but it does slightly decrease the overall competition to advance to match play.

[DirectorsCupUpdates]

 

[DirectorsCupUpdates]

UCLA and Florida are basically out of it at this point. UNC is more of a threat for 3rd place than Florida at this point.

Stanford will most likely score within 25 points in either direction of their current ranking - 1225-1275.

Texas has a much broader range, anywhere from 1215 to 1375. 

A lot of dominoes would have to fall in Stanford's favor for things to get interesting, but we of course must wait for the on the field action to play out.

[HookemTexas]

Texas' highly ranked teams need to at least hold serve - Softball being #2 rank is a lot of estimated points, same with baseball at #6.

[f1revo]

Baseball won't score what they're slotted to, id be shocked. 

Softball will have a competitive super regional for sure too

[Califashorn75]

Our rowing team is really starting to "pass" me off. 

Edited 15 hours ago by Califashorn75

[DirectorsCupUpdates]

8 hours ago, HookemTexas said:

Texas' highly ranked teams need to at least hold serve - Softball being #2 rank is a lot of estimated points, same with baseball at #6.

As long as everyone stays relatively close to their projection, we’ve got some wiggle room. Would be great to not use all that leeway though - just win the whole thing by 100 points. 

[nozatx]

9 hours ago, DirectorsCupUpdates said:

As long as everyone stays relatively close to their projection, we’ve got some wiggle room. Would be great to not use all that leeway though - just win the whole thing by 100 points. 

Most everybody following along here understands the potential to lose points from the highly ranked sports still in play, but no matter what happens there, track and field is such a huge wildcard (127.5 projected points at my last checkpoint) that it's going to be hard to be comfortable..  Even though the men are ranked 14th at USTFCCA, they only have 3 individuals (and no relays) with season bests in the top 8.  The women have 4 with a couple of relays just outside the top 8. The teams really didn't do all that much after the Texas Relays, and maybe that was by design??  fwiw, FloTrack provides a ranking system which scores season bests like the NCAAs.  

[nozatx]

Men's tennis takes care of Baylor 4-1 to reach final four (Saturday), so that narrows the range from projection to -7 to +10.