
Jerky
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Everything posted by Jerky
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Most recruiting cycles don't have a DT-QB like VY or Cam Newton. More importantly, DT-QBs don't win the National Championship very often. The last DT-QB to win the NC was 2010 Cam Newton. That is a looooong time ago. There is more than 1 way to win it all and it usually takes more than the best DT-QB. An aside, our biggest flaw in the CFP was arguably the secondary. If we had the 2005 starting TX secondary with 5 NFL players we could have defended the pass better in the CFP and likely beaten Washington. Could have given Michigan a better game than WA in the NC. Sark has won the NC with his system at Bama without a dual threat QB. If it ain't broke, don't fix it. Sark brought us to the CFP in yr 3 with a passer that hasn't fully developed. Our team was flawed in other areas. Let's keep chopping wood and see what we accomplish. Believe Sark has transitioned to finding passers with the ability to buy time, escape or make plays with their legs if necessary. Sark often recruits 5-star QBs that can move well. 5* Ewers is fairly fast, see his long KS TD run. Ewers had 5 TD runs last year. Ewers ran 8 times for 54 yds and a 6.8 ypr in the CFP. 6.8 ypr is damn good. His legs weren't the problem in the CFP. Manning is bigger, stronger and can move fairly well. Dia is a passer first but he has been listed as a dual threat QB. We have a few future NFL QBs in my opinion. Our QB room and two QB commits are the envy of most teams. Agree DJ Lagway is a fantastic DT-QB prospect. But let's see how Ewers in yr 3 and Arch do before we storm Bellmont Hall. PS No, Kyler did not win the ship, aka National Championship. Kyler ran for over a 1,000 and won the Heisman but OU finished just outside the top 5 after losing to Texas in Oct and later Bama. Lawrence was listed as a pro style QB. He passed for 347 yds and ran for only 27 yds in the NC.
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Fall camp starting. Let's talk football. The Texas rush defense improved tremendously over the past 3 seasons. Believe our rush D improving each year helped us go from 5-7 to 8-5 to 12-2. Ewers/OL/WRs improvements in yr 3 was also necessary to help us go from 8-5 to 12-2. TX RUSHING DEFENSE PAST 3 SEASONS W-L, Rushing Yards Per Game Allowed (Ranking), Yards Per Rush Allowed (Ranking) 5-7, 202.8 rushing yds/g (#111), 5.2 yds/r (#113 tied with 3 teams) 8-5, 125.7 rushing yds/g (#30), 3.5 yds/r (#18 tied with 6 teams) 12-2, 82.6 rushing yds/g (#3), 2.9 yds/r (#5) ?-?, ? rushing yds/g (#?), ? yds/r (#?) Only Penn St and UCLA had slightly better rush D stats than TX last season. Michigan was right behind us at 90.1 yds/g and 3 yds/r. The best rush Ds I saw last year were TX, Penn St, Michigan, GA and Bama. Don't believe Texas will be in the top 3-5 again. How good do we need to be to accomplish our goals? On D, Texas lost 4 starters to the NFL - Sweat, Murphy, Ford and Watts. We also lost some defensive contributors including 2 more starters. How well do we replace these 6 starters? We certainly will miss Murphy and Sweat vs the run. It is rare to have a Sweat (2nd rd NFL) or Murphy (1st rd NFL). Rarer still to have both at their college peak and lose both in the same year. Ford, Watts and Brooks may not be replaced as well as we hope vs the run. The SEC will be a tougher challenge than the Big 12. Top 6 SEC Rush Ds: 3.3 yds/r KY, TN and A&M (tied with 5 teams for #12), 3.7 yds/r GA and Bama (tied with 7 teams for #27) and 3.9 yds/r MSSt (tied with 8 teams for #38) Top 6 SEC Rush Ds: 110.3 yds/g A&M (#13), 112.2 yds/g GA (#16), 114.8 yds/g KY (#19), 116.6 yds/g TN (#20), 124.8 yds/g Bama (#31) and 129.1 yds/g MO (#34) 2023 FEI Ratings for CFP Michigan was #5 OFEI, #1 DFEI and #31 SFEI. Washington was #4 OFEI, #25 DFEI and #10 SFEI. Texas was #19 OFEI, #6 DFEI and #3 SFEI. Bama was #20 OFEI, #8 DFEI and #2 SFEI. Washington 4.7 yds/r (tied for #92) and 148.3 yds/g (#49). Only a weak PAC12 and incredible offense allowed WA squeek by in close games to go undefeated and make the CFP with lackluster D. Would not happen in the SEC in most years. 2023 FEI Ratings 2023 Team Ratings :: FEI :: OFEI :: DFEI :: SFEI :: PVE :: PPD :: AYP :: YPP :: DSR :: FPV Opponent-Adjusted Efficiency Strength of Schedule Strength of Record Rk Team Rec FBS FEI OFEI Rk DFEI Rk SFEI Rk ELS Rk GLS Rk ALS Rk EWD Rk GWD Rk AWD Rk 1 Oregon 12-2 11-2 1.69 1.13 1 .56 11 .00 69 1.56 27 4.78 11 8.79 5 -.44 11 2.78 8 6.79 7 2 Michigan 15-0 15-0 1.55 .65 5 .89 1 .05 31 1.87 18 4.69 15 8.80 4 1.87 2 4.69 2 8.80 2 3 Georgia 13-1 12-1 1.44 .85 3 .52 13 .10 8 1.48 31 4.71 14 8.53 13 .48 4 3.71 4 7.53 3 4 Ohio State 11-2 10-2 1.21 .37 14 .83 2 .04 38 2.01 9 4.52 21 7.77 27 .01 7 2.52 10 5.77 10 5 Washington 14-1 14-1 1.09 .65 4 .39 25 .09 10 3.64 1 7.00 1 10.52 1 2.64 1 6.00 1 9.52 1 6 Notre Dame 10-3 9-3 1.07 .31 17 .67 5 .12 4 1.33 39 3.96 40 7.27 51 -1.67 15 .96 15 4.27 18 7 Texas 12-2 12-2 1.07 .30 19 .66 6 .12 3 1.77 22 5.12 5 9.44 2 -.23 10 3.12 6 7.44 4 8 Penn State 10-3 9-3 1.04 .31 18 .64 7 .08 12 1.66 24 4.03 37 7.36 46 -1.34 12 1.03 13 4.36 17 9 Alabama 12-2 11-2 1.04 .29 20 .63 8 .13 2 2.77 2 6.03 2 9.39 3 .77 3 4.03 3 7.39 5 10 Kansas State 9-4 8-4 .97 .47 10 .46 16 .03 49 1.20 46 4.32 26 8.59 11 -2.80 28 .32 18 4.59 16 11 Missouri 11-2 10-2 .94 .34 16 .52 14 .06 27 2.10 7 4.96 9 8.31 16 .10 6 2.96 7 6.31 8 12 LSU 10-3 9-3 .93 1.09 2 -.14 101 .00 75 1.42 35 4.38 24 8.08 20 -1.58 13 1.38 11 5.08 12 Ewers made a big improvement from year 1 to year 2. W-L, QBR, completion % 8-5, 132.6, 58% 12-2, 158.6, 69% ?-?, ? QBR, ??% My too early predictions for this season... What is our rushing yards per game allowed? Where might that rank? Optimistically guessing around 135 yds/g (around #40). What is our yards per rush allowed? Where might that rank? Optimistically guessing around 3.8 yds/r (around #35) What will our ranking be in OFEI, DFEI and SFEI? Optimistically guessing around #9 OFEI, #16 DFEI and #6 SFEI. What is Ewers QBR and completion %? Guessing around 172 QBR and 73% completions. Hopefully a 5 to 1 or greater TD to INT ratio. Expect he will be better in 2 min offense with the headset. Need better redzone offense collectively. Believe Ewers will do his part in the redzone. If so, that would all add up to elite and give us a good chance to overcome most in game challenges if our D struggled. What is our W-L regular season record? If we are a top 12 team as expected, Texas should win comfortably vs CO ST, UTSA, ULM, MS ST and @Vandy. That would be 5 wins. Our next 3 toughest games on paper are likely FL, @Piggy and KY. Won't be easy but we should be 3-0 here. Piggy isn't expected to be that good but it isa rival on the road so it could be tougher than the stats suggest. We have two weeks to prepare before hosting talented Florida and they play GA the week before, ouch. I'm more concerned with a scrappy KY having an off week and a cream puff before they play us while we play them in between our two old SWC rivals. Could be 2-1 here but I'm guessing 3-0 because KY was beaten badly by the better SEC teams last year, Georgia, Bama and MO. Our 4 toughest games on paper seem to be @Michigan, OUsux, UGA and @Gomers. Guessing we go 2-2 here but it could just as easily be 1-3 or 3-1. I predict Texas is 10-2 in the regular season. 9-3 or 11-1 seems equally plausible if things don't go our way in 3 games or we play consistently well throughout the season. 8-4 and 12-0 are mathmatically possible but both seem less likely with our talent and based on our difficult schedule including UGA, OU and 2 road games vs Michigan and Ags. If we struggle with our D more than I predict, we likely go 9-3 unless our offense is almost unstoppable which is not out of the question. We should be a stronger team by the end of the year so I am predicting at least 1 playoff win. Does TX make a SEC-CG Appearance? TX wins the SEC-CG? Guessing we miss SEC-CG (GA v Ole Miss - They have a more manageable schedule to get to 11-1). Believe UGA wins the SEC-CG. CFP? Top 8? Top 4? NC? SEC teams may need to go 10-2 to get in the 12 team CFP this season. Guessing Texas ends up around Top 4-8 depending on the CFP matchups. Before predicting anything above a top 4 finish, I want to see the expected improvement in Ewers from year 2 to 3 and better than expected effectiveness of rush D and secondary coverage. I believe I know what we have at OL, RB, WR, TE, pass rush and special teams. I also want to see at least half a dozen potential CFP teams play at least 1 quality opponent. I don't know our competition as well as I know Texas. I pencil in UGA, OH St and Oregon ahead of us but Oregon isn't a clear cut #3. OH St may not be good enough at QB. OH St and Oregon play each other which should drop one out of the top 3 at least temporarily. I have GA as the clear #1. Several teams could rise up to the top 2-8. Great year to have a 12 team CFP. My 12 CFP teams? What are yours? My CFP teams in no particular order GA, Ole Miss, TX, Bama, MO, OH St, Penn St, Michigan, Oregon, Utah, ND and FSU. I see maybe another 8 teams that could end up in the CFP discussion. MY GENERAL TX THOUGHTS? TLDR - We're really good but I don't know if we are good enough to be the best or even the top 4. Ewers makes another big jump in QBR. Expecting the OL to get better push after another year of physical development. If not, we did something wrong this summer. While I 100% get Conner starting at LG because of his experience and proven pass protection, I am not sure if Conner will be one of our best 5 OL by year end unless he is noticeably better in run blocking than last year. We have some BIG HUMANS that could be coming on in our OL room. Expecting more explosive plays on offense because of Ewers improvement, even better OL pass protection, right side run blocking, speed at all 3 WR positions along with a rotation to keep 'em fresh and competing, better speed at TE with Niblack and another year of RB development from our trio of Blue, Baxter and Wisner. Expecting more edge rushers, fresher edge rushers including a duo of twitchy edge rushers, more QB pressures, more QB hits, more sacks and more tipped balls by IDL as QBs are forced to step up. Edge is likely our best position room on D. But it wont be easy vs SEC. Expecting difficulty stopping the better running teams with a good dual threat QB because our edges must stay home and our IDL is questionable to some degree. We even struggled last year with dual threat QBs. We stay fresher at IDL and have more competition so our run D isn't as bad as many feared after the NFL draft but we still have a statistical drop in run D effectiveness. LB overall will be improved because of another year of development from Hill, Gbenda, Blackwell, Lefau and Gullette while adding Moore in situations. If we don't, TX will struggle more at stopping the run than I expect. Expecting Holmes and Cole to struggle with physicality vs Michigan and the better SEC teams. Not expecting Roberson or Black to start at CB in game 1 but they might get a chance to play more snaps at some point. Need Muhammad, Barron and Guilbeau to stay healthy in case Barron needs to play some CB. Expecting better safety play than last year with development from Williams and the addition of Mukuba. Taaffe providing savvy S depth and helping McDonald and/or Filsaime. Pass D struggled at critical moments too often last year. Total passing yards per game were bad. But it wasn't as bad as some believe when you consider our D ranked #41 in average QB passer rating and #47 passing efficiency defense. I believe we still struggle but not as much and not for 255 yards per game. I like our deep roster and special teams talent. Believe Feris Jr or Kern Fr can be a good punter but I'm not expecting us to punt often. Burt Auburn is on pace to break records. We have multiple possible return guys (Bolden, Golden, Blue, Bond, Cook, Moore, Wisner, etc), excited to see how we do with Bolden at PR and Golden and maybe Blue or a WR at KR. Our coverage units should be fast and physical. Gunners are more of an unknown but we have several candidates including Wisner, Roberson and D Moore. I really like our standouts, starters and quality depth. Looking forward to this season. Hopefully Texas enjoys a SEC-C and CFP appearance that ends better than last year. Some early season matchups. Week 0 College Football Classic: Georgia Tech vs. Florida St (Aviva Stadium in Dublin, Ireland) | Saturday, Aug. 24 | 11 a.m. | ESPN Week 1 Aflac Kickoff Game: Clemson vs. Georgia (Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia) | Saturday, Aug. 31 | 11 a.m. | ABC Penn State at West Virginia | Saturday, Aug. 31 | 11 a.m. | FOX Colorado St at Texas 2:30 p.m. | ESPN Miami (Fla.) at Florida | Saturday, Aug. 31 | 2:30 p.m. | ABC Notre Dame at Texas A&M | Saturday, Aug. 31 | 6:30 p.m. | ABC Vegas Kickoff Classic: LSU vs. Southern California (Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada) | Sunday, Sept. 1 | 6:30 p.m. | ABC Week 2 Texas at Michigan | Saturday, Sept. 7 | 11 a.m. | FOX Arkansas at Oklahoma State | Saturday, Sept. 7 | 11 a.m. | ABC Duke's Mayo Classic: NC State vs Tennessee (Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina) | Saturday, Sept. 7 | 6:30 p.m. | ABC Boise State at Oregon | Saturday, Sept. 7 | 9 p.m. | Peacock Week 3 Alabama at Wisconsin | Saturday, Sept. 14 | 11 a.m. | FOX Oregon at Oregon State | Saturday, Sept. 14 | 2:30 p.m. | FOX Texas A&M at Florida | Saturday, Sept. 14 | 2:30 p.m. | ABC UTSA at Texas 6 p.m. | ESPN Week 4 TN at OU | Saturday, Sept. 21 | TBD USC at Michigan | Saturday, Sept. 21 | 2:30 p.m. | CBS ULM at Texas | Saturday, Sept. 21 | 7 p.m. | SECN+ ESPN+ SEC NON-CONFERENCE - Weakest to Strongest by Athlon 16. Missouri Tigers Aug. 29 — vs. Murray State (FCS) Sept. 7 — vs. Buffalo Sept. 14 — vs. Boston College Oct. 12 — at UMass 15. Auburn Tigers Aug. 31 — vs. Alabama A&M (FCS) Sept. 7 — vs. Cal Sept. 14 — vs. New Mexico Nov. 16 — vs. Louisiana-Monroe 14. Arkansas Razorbacks Aug. 29 — vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff (FCS, in Little Rock) Sept. 7 — at Oklahoma State Sept. 14 — vs. UAB Nov. 23 — vs. Louisiana Tech 13. Oklahoma Sooners Aug. 30 — vs. Temple Sept. 7 — vs. Houston Sept. 14 — vs. Tulane Nov. 2 — vs. Maine (FCS) 12. Vanderbilt Commodores Aug. 31 — vs. Virginia Tech Sept. 7 — vs. Alcorn State (FCS) Sept. 14 — at Georgia State Oct. 19 — vs. Ball State 11. Tennessee Volunteers Aug. 31 — vs. Chattanooga (FCS) Sept. 7 — vs. NC State (in Charlotte) Sept. 14 — vs. Kent State Nov. 23 — vs. UTEP 10. Ole Miss Rebels Aug. 31 — vs. Furman (FCS) Sept. 7 — vs. Middle Tennessee Sept. 14 — at Wake Forest Sept. 21 — vs. Georgia Southern 9. Mississippi State Bulldogs Aug. 31 — vs. Eastern Kentucky (FCS) Sept. 7 — at Arizona State Sept. 14 — vs. Toledo Nov. 2 — vs. UMass 8. South Carolina Gamecocks Aug. 31 — vs. Old Dominion Sept. 21 — vs. Akron Nov. 23 — vs. Wofford (FCS) Nov. 30 — at Clemson 7. Kentucky Wildcats Aug. 31 — vs. Southern Miss Sept. 21 — vs. Ohio Nov. 16 — vs. Murray State (FCS) Nov. 30 — vs. Louisville 6. Texas A&M Aggies Aug. 31 — vs. Notre Dame Sept. 7 — vs. McNeese (FCS) Sept. 21 — vs. Bowling Green Nov. 16 — vs. New Mexico State 5. Georgia Bulldogs Aug. 31 — vs. Clemson (in Atlanta) Sept. 7 — vs. Tennessee Tech (FCS) Nov. 23 — vs. UMass Nov. 30 – vs. Georgia Tech 4. Alabama Crimson Tide Aug. 31 — vs. Western Kentucky Sept. 7 — vs. USF Sept. 14 — at Wisconsin Nov. 16 — vs. Mercer (FCS) 3. LSU Tigers Sept. 1 — vs. USC (in Las Vegas) Sept. 7 — vs. Nicholls (FCS) Sept. 21 — vs. UCLA Sept. 28 — vs. South Alabama 2. Texas Longhorns Aug. 31 — vs. Colorado State Sept. 7 — at Michigan Sept. 14 — vs. UTSA Sept. 21 — vs. Louisiana-Monroe 1. Florida Gators Aug. 31 — vs. Miami (Fla.) Sept. 7 — vs. Samford (FCS) Oct. 5 — vs. UCF Nov. 30 — at Florida State I took my shots. Take your shots. Or tell me about my bad takes. Or tell us what's on your mind regarding this college football season.
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OTF Premium Note on Jaime Ffrench (Tuesday 12:48 pm CST)
Jerky replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Thank you for all the Ffrench recruiting coverage Gerry! Ffrench has been the most intriguing and most likely OOS WR recruit for TX in this cycle imo. After many FSU visits, they seem out of it based on the lack of Ffrench recruiting coverage and their 3 WR commits. Hasn't been to Bama since last year. OHST has a loaded WR room and 3 WR commits. TN also has 3 WR commits. LSU already has 2 WR commits including a 5-star. I was expecting at least 1 FL school to emerge as a top 2-5 for the Mandarin HS FL prospect. Miami has 1 WR commit and 1 Mandarin HS teammate ATH/S commit. TX v UM TEXAS 12-2, Big 12 Champs & CFP > Miami 7-6, loss in Bad Boy Mowers Bowl to Rutgers SEC > ACC, SARK TX OFFENSE # 7 OFEI > Mario UM offense #34 OFEI, TX MANNING 5* QB & OWENS 4* QB > UM Williams 3* QB & Poffenbarger 3* QB, TX with 1st RD, 2nd RD & 6th RD NFL WRs > UM with zero WRs drafted under Cristobal/Beard, JACKSON WR-C has NFL experience as a player & coach > Beard UM WR-C has none, JACKSON WR 1,004 catches for 13,355 yds > Beard WR 10 catches for 87 yds (Arena League) TX early playing time probability < Miami early playing time probability, TX NIL #1 > Miami NIL #16 (Estimated NIL Rankings by on3 in 2023), TX DKR Memorial 101,625 > UM Hard Rock 49,714 ('23 average attendance) UT #19 & #32 > UM #53 & #67 (National Universities rankings by Top Universities & US News) Austin TX to Jacksonville, FL is a 4-5 hr flight < Miami to Jacksonville is a 4.5 hour drive. Etc Ruiz (NIL) of Miami could up the price. His HS teammate at Miami means something but it usually isn't a deciding factor. Proximity can often be a deciding factor in a close call. But Miami doesn't make as much sense in the big picture as Texas unless Ffrench must stay closer to home and he doesn't care as much about WR development, QB play, offensive performance, competing vs the best, championships, maybe NIL, maybe education and ultimately getting drafted by the NFL vs early playing time probability, playing with his teammate and possibly a slim increase in NIL. Don't believe it would be a huge difference in NIL either way. A difference in early playing time probability doesn't matter as much as it once did because of the frequent option to portal. If Ffrench is outstanding early like Worthy or Wingo then Ffrench plays early at TX, if not he gets his shot as a rfr or soph. Believe FSU, Bama, OHSt and TN are unlikely options. LSU may be in it to some degree. But I agree with Gerry, Miami appears to be our main competition. French has visited Miami more frequently than LSU and TX, his HS teammate is committed to Miami and Miami has the proximity to home advantage vs LSU and TX. Won't be surprised if it is Miami or Texas or even LSU. But I believe Ffrench should ultimately pick Texas for many important reasons including OTF recruiting coverage. 🤘🤘🤞 We'll see. -
Appreciate Sark and Milwee bringing in 3 excellent QBs. Ewers, Manning and Owens combine to give TX the best QB room I can recall. While Arch is eligible to come back in 2027, I expect Arch to be off to the NFL. If Arch is gone and Owens is here in 2027, I believe Trey Owens will start. If Owens isn't the starter for whatever reason, I believe Dia Bell will be the starter over KJ Lacey. I 100% supported the TX offers for the Saraland, Alabama duo of KJ Lacey QB and Ryan Williams WR. But once speedy Williams reclassified and committed to his home state school and Lacey took visits I thought we should have offered Keelon Russell QB. Believe Sark was close to doing so but Lacey and Sark/Milwee had discussions and renewed their commitment. Sark seems trustworthy and loyal. I admire and appreciate those honorable qualities. Might have helped in some small ways to land Dia Bell. I personally doubt Lacey starts over Owens or Dia Bell. I like Lacey and his potential to develop at Texas but I believe the 1 yr development of Bell and his elite upside make him a favorite to win the job vs Lacey. Underrated Owens has a head start on Lacey so I doubt Lacey jumps Owens if he stays loyal and waits for his opportunity as a rJr. But injuries, portal and the unexpected happen so we could have Lacey QB leading TX at some point. Would be wild and unprecedented to have a run of 5 TX QBs off to the NFL....Ewers in 2025, Arch in 2026 or 2027, Owens in 2027 or 2028, Lacey in 2028 or 2029 and Bell in 2029 or 2030. More likely one of the 3 QBs (Owens, Lacey or Bell) transfers like Malik Murphy did in order to start his college playing career. No matter how it all works out, I'm feel confident TX will have a good starting QB over the next 5 seasons.
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College football will now be 105 scholarships
Jerky replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
The rich get richer. I expect Texas and the better teams to offer more recruits earlier and increase their roster size by taking a combo of more recruits and transfer portals. The teams that develop well will have an advantage. The portal desperation should be lessened to some degree since fewer teams should have gaping holes. The difference makers as recruits and transfers will still command a premium. Some history on scholarship limits....In the 60s, the better teams like Texas were able to stockpile recruits because there were no scholarship limits. Texas had a junior varsity team when freshmen couldn't play varsity. Believe that changed in 1972 allowing freshmen to play varsity. In 1973, the first scholarship limits were imposed, capping them at 105, largely to meet the demands of the new Title IX law. In 1978, limits were cut again, from 105 to 95. From 1992 to 1994, they were cut once more from 95 to the present day limit of 85 scholarships. -
Javien Taviano in the news … and it’s not good
Jerky replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Bullet dodged is right. He has a camera and video recorder on his phone and iPAD for consented photos and recordings. A bedside clock with hidden camera suggests premeditated and illegal bedside recordings. Sounds like they will get the recorded evidence on his iPAD and clock/camera. The victim may have a civil case against him as well. -
Saban is maybe exaggerating a bit or forecasting but he will likely be proven correct. Brooks (6.1 ypr and over 1,100 yds) was the best RB last year before his injury and the 1st RB in the NFL draft. Impressive run of NFL drafted TX running backs, Bijan (1st RB drafted in '23), Roschon, Keilan and Brooks (1st RB drafted in '24). Baxter and Blue are next in line at Texas. Baxter battled and didn't appear elite early on but he did show significant improvement. Early in the year, true freshman Baxter only ran for 2.8 ypr and 31 total yds vs Bama. In the CFP, Baxter went 9 for 64 (impressive 7.1 avg) with 1 TD. 16 yds longest run. Baxter ran for 4.8 ypr for the season. Baxter showed better vision at the end of the year and looked stronger in the spring game. Like most freshman RBs, Baxter needed to be developed and have the game slow down for him. With another year of development, Baxter should show overall improvement. Baxter won't be going down as often on first contact. Baxter should have higher yards per rush this season. Expecting Baxter to have a breakout season like Saban suggests. Blue should also get recognized since he is documented as the fastest (over 23mph) returning RB in college. On limited carries, Blue had an impressive 6.1 average last season. In the CFP, Blue went 9 for 59 (impressive 6.6 avg) with 1 TD. 16 yds longest run. Blue is superb in space. Blue has good hands. Blue will be bigger and stronger. Blue went from 191 to 200 on the TX roster. Blue should also have a breakout season if he gets enough touches. Wisner on even fewer carries and in mop up duty also had an impressive 6.1 ypr. Wisner went from 185 to around 200 based on the TX roster weights. Wisner can make plays in the Keilan role. Last season, Texas ran 527 times for 2,638 yds (15th) for a 5.0 avg (tied for 19th) along with 29 TDs. Hoping Texas rushes for over 2,800 yds and averages over 5.3 ypr this season while having 2 RBs go over 1,000 yards. If we stay healthy, TX should be a great rushing team behind our developed OL with a trio of improved RBs - Baxter, Blue and Wisner.
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Comparing Michael Terry to Lil' Jordan Humphrey
Jerky replied to Bevo92's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Michael Terry is a combo between Cordarelle Patterson RB, LJH WR, JT Sanders TE and a Superhero. 90 rushes for 806yds - 9ypr 31 catches for 436 yds and 7 TDs - 14ypc and almost 4-1 catch to TD ratio 2 KR TDs MT may play at 6-3 225-245. He is capable of playing offense or defense. Let him play offense if he wants. Just get him to Texas. It should work out fine. 🏈 🤘 -
Comparing Michael Terry to Lil' Jordan Humphrey
Jerky replied to Bevo92's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Thank you for this info. MT is not as tall as LJH but bigger and faster than HS LJH (LJH 210 college predraft weight and ran 4.75 40). LJH is now listed at 6-4 225 with the Denver Broncos. -
Comparing Michael Terry to Lil' Jordan Humphrey
Jerky replied to Bevo92's topic in On Texas Football Forum
I never saw 6-5. Listed at 6-4. In actuality, LJH was officially 6-3 5/8 pre-draft. -
Thanks for the highlights. Norton was listed at 6-6 300 so he is a tall guy with sufficient size. His fundamentals and techniques can still be improved upon. Hope he has continued to physically develop his lower body this off-season. Norton should be playing lower and more explosive with more lower body development. While Norton didn't get any sacks, Norton used his length to affect the passing lanes and tipped 3 passes last season. I like to see that Norton caused 2 FFs. Last season was his most disruptive season. Glad we have his length and another experienced IDL player (Jr yr - 32 TKLS, 2.5 TFL, 0 SACKS, 3 PD, and 2 FF, Career 45 TKLS, 6 TFL, 0 SACKS, 3 PD, and 2 FF). Hoping he develops this season under Baker. 6-4 293 Tiaoalii Savea is another helpful IDL addition (Career 36 TKLS, 7.5 TFL, 1.5 SACKS, 1 PD, and 0 FF). The IDL transfer I find most intriguing and potentially important is 6-2 305 Jermayne Lole. He was impressive before his serious injuries (Soph yr - 72 TKLS, 10 TFL and 6.5 SACKS; Career 142 TKLS, 25 TFL, 12.5 SACKS, 10 PD, and 3 FF ). Lole is active, quick for a big and disruptive.
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Arch Manning and Eli EA Sports 25
Jerky replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
That is awesome! Fools were questioning and criticizing the Arch/Manning family business decision to not take the opening standard EA Sports offer. Arch and the Mannings had other ideas. In the end, both sides won. That is how you do business. 🤑 PS Like Eli said, TX could just run 4 verts. 🏈🤘🤘 Sark you listening? 😜 -
Appreciate OTF getting our recruits on for an insightful interview. Pleased to learn Smith Orogbo is young for the class. He already has great length. When he gets to his preferred weight of maybe 250-260 he will have NFL Edge measureables. Great junior season highlights. Fantastic commit for TX! HOOK EM Smith Orogbo! 🏈
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Ok, I will ask him what he wants for the pair and get back to you tomorrow or soon after.
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My group has a pair in section 7 row 5 that are available because they guy that has them long term has some family medical issues and needs to sell this season. Not sure what he is asking. He can't get TX/OU, just the 7 home games. Message me if interested.
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Just give us the commit announcements for the good guys. We've got some here with PTSD. If we tune in to it all, we may all get PTSD before August is over.
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Who hasn't sensed for some time these two are headed east of us? TX must get DJ Sanders and keep recruiting. Hopefully a good prospect surfaces from a late evaluation. After signing day, TX will know how many DTs and NTs to get in the portal to plug the gaps. Believe 2026 is the litmus test for Baker's recruiting. Will likely need 3-4 IDL in our 2026 class. No excuses for TX 2026 IDL recruiting! 🤘 🤘 TX 🏈
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4-star LB Riley Pettijohn to announce decision July 6
Jerky replied to Gerry Hamilton's topic in On Texas Football Forum
Early Pettijohn predictions were at least 8 and all for TX. Top 3 Cali LBs likely leaving the state, ND?, A&M and O. USC only got a tweener S/LB so far. USC is LB desperate. New USC DC Lynn has made Riley a top priority. Now some USC reports and rumors. So far, I've only seen 1 switch from TX to USC, Brandon Holland of Rivals on 7/1. I'm now concerned USC made a move up. TX over USC in the end? USC HC Riley is known for having subpar defenses. USC didn't have a good D last season. USC fired their DC. USC hasn't had a LB drafted since 2019. Riskier for LBs to got to Riley and USC compared to TX. We had a better D than USC last year and should have a better D going forward. We are developing LBs well. TX had multiple LBs drafted recently, DeMo and Ford. More to come. We soon lose Gbenda, Blackwell and Hill if he leaves early for the NFL. We only took 1 developmental LB last year so early playing time is a good possibility at TX for Barnes and Pettijohn or Faraimo. TX is the better choice for LBs. I've seen multiple Faraimo to ND predictions after his ND OV without any predictions for TX. Hope we get in state Pettijohn July 6 because I surmise Faraimo OOS will be harder to sway. TX needs to add either Pettijohn or Faraimo along with rock solid Barnes to have an elite LB class. I've seen highlights of all 3 LBs. While the 3 have their differences, I would be thrilled with 2 of those 3 LBs. Johnny Nansen is capable of winning out in the end. 🤘 Haven't read or heard the latest. Need to catch up. Will be interested in learning any updates from Gerry and CJ on our LB recruiting. -
Troy Tulowitzki Re-Joins Texas Staff
Jerky replied to Blake Munroe's topic in On Texas Football Forum
NICE! Was hoping for this news. Schloss is working fast to counter Aggie. Core coaching looks fantastic with Schlossnagle, Weiner, Cain, Tulo and Bishop. Now time to keep the right players, bring in the portal transfers and get the right recruits. 🤘 🤘 ⚾ -
Same here, no LHN on Spectrum starting at noon. What are we to do without the entertainment of repeating commercials?
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Since Ags couldn't find an existing HC to say yes and they stole our Assistant Earley to be their HC, do we bring back Tulo to fill the void?
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Horns are now the best combo for football, baseball, potential championships in both sports, school, city, NIL and life after sports. Hopefully that combo moves the needle for Marco Jones. CDC and Texas savagely gutted the Ag baseball program when we took their coaches. Numerous Ag players hit the portal. It's bad for them. If Ag was the decision because of baseball, a smart move would be to reconsider.