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Posted

I know we’re a long way from this scenario with much left to prove. 

If Texas was to win out, what would the scenario be to get us into the championship game assuming Alabama and Ole Miss win out, which is very possible since they have a fairly easy rest of the year.

Posted (edited)

Assuming both teams win out I think we’d have the tiebreaker over Ole Miss. Common opponent would be Georgia who is ranked higher than Florida. 
Alabama would have 0 conference losses so they’d get in outright.

Edited by hookem1014
Posted

According to SEC Mike, Texas would need to win out and have Ole Miss drop a game. 

I actually prefer the route of Texas winning out and missing the SEC championship. Likely results in hosting a playoff game and gives the team a week to rest instead of playing in the SEC championship and sustaining injuries.

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Posted
15 minutes ago, hookem1014 said:

Assuming both teams win out I think we’d have the tiebreaker over Ole Miss. Common opponent would be Georgia who is ranked higher than Florida. 
Alabama would have 0 conference losses so they’d get in outright.

Depends on A&M as well. If A&M also only has one loss, then it is a three way tie. In that case, Florida is a common opponent and Georgia is not, which makes us be eliminated.

Posted
2 minutes ago, whereiend said:

Depends on A&M as well. If A&M also only has one loss, then it is a three way tie. In that case, Florida is a common opponent and Georgia is not, which makes us be eliminated.

If we win out that means we’d have the tiebreaker over A&M with head to head

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Posted
4 minutes ago, hookem1014 said:

If we win out that means we’d have the tiebreaker over A&M with head to head

Head to head only matters if it's between just two teams that played each other during the season.  If Mississippi, Texas, and A&M all finish 7-1, Mississippi would win that tiebreaker

Posted (edited)
5 minutes ago, alrightalrightalright said:

If Ole Miss, A&M, and Texas all have 1 loss, then it becomes a 3-way tie and the tiebreaker is common conference opponents, of which we'd lose to both due to our loss to Florida, even if we beat A&M.

Maybe I’m interpreting this wrong, but based on condition B we’d be tied with Ole Miss (1-1 record vs Georgia and Florida)

Condition C would kick in and give us the advantage for beating the higher ranked common opponent (Georgia). 

Condition A, which is prioritized, would give us the nod over A&M?

This screenshot is from 2024 so not sure if they changed the rules. 

IMG_9423.jpeg

Edited by hookem1014
Posted (edited)

This webpage has the extended version of tie breaking rules: https://www.secsports.com/fbtiebreaker

Scroll down to the Three-Team Tie breaking scenarios. Unless the tied teams have all played a complete or incomplete round robin amongst each other, the procedure moves to record versus common conference opponents.

For a three-way tie between Ole Miss, Texas A&M, and Texas with 7-1 records, those common opponents are Mississippi State, Arkansas, and Florida.

Edited by alrightalrightalright
URL
Posted
13 minutes ago, alrightalrightalright said:

This webpage has the extended version of tie breaking rules: https://www.secsports.com/fbtiebreaker

Scroll down to the Three-Team Tie breaking scenarios. Unless the tied teams have all played a complete or incomplete round robin amongst each other, the procedure moves to record versus common conference opponents.

For a three-way tie between Ole Miss, Texas A&M, and Texas with 7-1 records, those common opponents are Mississippi State, Arkansas, and Florida.

Ah gotcha I wasn’t taking the round robin rule into account. Let my Ole Miss hate watch commence lol

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Posted
1 minute ago, alrightalrightalright said:

Just need Lane & Co to slip-up against Florida again

I actually think they’re more likely to lose the Egg Bowl to Jeff Lebby.  It’s on the road and Kiffin might have a new job by then and be so distracted by that he doesn’t have his team ready for that game.

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Posted
2 minutes ago, LonghornFan4Ever said:

I actually think they’re more likely to lose the Egg Bowl to Jeff Lebby.  It’s on the road and Kiffin might have a new job by then and be so distracted by that he doesn’t have his team ready for that game.

Great point, this is a heavy possibility

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