SEC Championship

[OTFBrandon]

I know we’re a long way from this scenario with much left to prove. 

If Texas was to win out, what would the scenario be to get us into the championship game assuming Alabama and Ole Miss win out, which is very possible since they have a fairly easy rest of the year.

[hookem1014]

Assuming both teams win out I think we’d have the tiebreaker over Ole Miss. Common opponent would be Georgia who is ranked higher than Florida. 
Alabama would have 0 conference losses so they’d get in outright.

Edited 18 hours ago by hookem1014

[cdibbs]

According to SEC Mike, Texas would need to win out and have Ole Miss drop a game. 

I actually prefer the route of Texas winning out and missing the SEC championship. Likely results in hosting a playoff game and gives the team a week to rest instead of playing in the SEC championship and sustaining injuries.

[LonghornFan4Ever]

https://bball.notnothing.net/sec.php?sport=fb

[alrightalrightalright]

8 minutes ago, LonghornFan4Ever said:

https://bball.notnothing.net/sec.php?sport=fb

This tool is 100% accurate from what I can tell

[whereiend]

15 minutes ago, hookem1014 said:

Assuming both teams win out I think we’d have the tiebreaker over Ole Miss. Common opponent would be Georgia who is ranked higher than Florida. 
Alabama would have 0 conference losses so they’d get in outright.

Depends on A&M as well. If A&M also only has one loss, then it is a three way tie. In that case, Florida is a common opponent and Georgia is not, which makes us be eliminated.

[hookem1014]

2 minutes ago, whereiend said:

Depends on A&M as well. If A&M also only has one loss, then it is a three way tie. In that case, Florida is a common opponent and Georgia is not, which makes us be eliminated.

If we win out that means we’d have the tiebreaker over A&M with head to head

[LonghornFan4Ever]

4 minutes ago, hookem1014 said:

If we win out that means we’d have the tiebreaker over A&M with head to head

Head to head only matters if it's between just two teams that played each other during the season.  If Mississippi, Texas, and A&M all finish 7-1, Mississippi would win that tiebreaker

[alrightalrightalright]

If Ole Miss, A&M, and Texas all have 1 loss, then it becomes a 3-way tie and the tiebreaker is common conference opponents, of which we'd lose to both due to our loss to Florida, even if we beat A&M.

[hookem1014]

5 minutes ago, alrightalrightalright said:

If Ole Miss, A&M, and Texas all have 1 loss, then it becomes a 3-way tie and the tiebreaker is common conference opponents, of which we'd lose to both due to our loss to Florida, even if we beat A&M.

Maybe I’m interpreting this wrong, but based on condition B we’d be tied with Ole Miss (1-1 record vs Georgia and Florida)

Condition C would kick in and give us the advantage for beating the higher ranked common opponent (Georgia). 

Condition A, which is prioritized, would give us the nod over A&M?

This screenshot is from 2024 so not sure if they changed the rules. 

Edited 18 hours ago by hookem1014

[alrightalrightalright]

This webpage has the extended version of tie breaking rules: https://www.secsports.com/fbtiebreaker

Scroll down to the Three-Team Tie breaking scenarios. Unless the tied teams have all played a complete or incomplete round robin amongst each other, the procedure moves to record versus common conference opponents.

For a three-way tie between Ole Miss, Texas A&M, and Texas with 7-1 records, those common opponents are Mississippi State, Arkansas, and Florida.

Edited 18 hours ago by alrightalrightalright
URL

[alrightalrightalright]

In the event of a 4-way tie between Alabama, Texas A&M, Ole Miss, and Texas at 7-1...

Alabama losing to Oklahoma would propel us to 1st place.

If Alabama loses to LSU or Auburn as their 1 loss, we actually sit all the way down in 4th.

 

[hookem1014]

13 minutes ago, alrightalrightalright said:

This webpage has the extended version of tie breaking rules: https://www.secsports.com/fbtiebreaker

Scroll down to the Three-Team Tie breaking scenarios. Unless the tied teams have all played a complete or incomplete round robin amongst each other, the procedure moves to record versus common conference opponents.

For a three-way tie between Ole Miss, Texas A&M, and Texas with 7-1 records, those common opponents are Mississippi State, Arkansas, and Florida.

Ah gotcha I wasn’t taking the round robin rule into account. Let my Ole Miss hate watch commence lol

[alrightalrightalright]

Just need Lane & Co to slip-up against Florida again

[LonghornFan4Ever]

1 minute ago, alrightalrightalright said:

Just need Lane & Co to slip-up against Florida again

I actually think they’re more likely to lose the Egg Bowl to Jeff Lebby.  It’s on the road and Kiffin might have a new job by then and be so distracted by that he doesn’t have his team ready for that game.

[alrightalrightalright]

2 minutes ago, LonghornFan4Ever said:

I actually think they’re more likely to lose the Egg Bowl to Jeff Lebby.  It’s on the road and Kiffin might have a new job by then and be so distracted by that he doesn’t have his team ready for that game.

Great point, this is a heavy possibility

[MBHORNSFAN]

8 hours ago, alrightalrightalright said:

Just need Lane & Co to slip-up against Florida again

 

According to the above tool we win out it won't matter. We have common opponent. We beat Georgia. They did not. That is the first deciding factor. 

[alrightalrightalright]

39 minutes ago, MBHORNSFAN said:

 

According to the above tool we win out it won't matter. We have common opponent. We beat Georgia. They did not. That is the first deciding factor. 

Needing Ole Miss to lose was about keeping us out of a three way tie with Ole Miss and A&M in the discussion above

[MBHORNSFAN]

2 minutes ago, alrightalrightalright said:

Needing Ole Miss to lose was about keeping us out of a three way tie with Ole Miss and A&M in the discussion above

 

I am not worried about it. Win out and everything else will take care of itself.   

[alrightalrightalright]

3 minutes ago, MBHORNSFAN said:

 

I am not worried about it. Win out and everything else will take care of itself.   

Agreed. At 10-2, we’re playoff bound

[MBHORNSFAN]

1 minute ago, alrightalrightalright said:

Agreed. At 10-2, we’re playoff bound

 

Which seems unreal considering how we looked in some games but I will take it.. I think we could still get in at 9-3 if it falls right...

[alrightalrightalright]

1 minute ago, MBHORNSFAN said:

 

Which seems unreal considering how we looked in some games but I will take it.. I think we could still get in at 9-3 if it falls right...

A little chaos goes a long way for us. It’s been a wild ride but being alive in November is a lot of fun, let’s keep it going

[HookemTexas]

Texas looks to be getting it together at the right moment.  Like Ohio st last year, get hot going into the playoffs and ride that all the way to a ship!

[Sanka Decaf]

Looks like, if we win out, we may not make the champ game, but would be in the CFP.  If we lose another game, we're likely 4th or 5th team in SEC which likely means on CFP.  While it's possible - with chaos - that we're better than 4th, chaos would mean that the SEC risks only getting 3 teams in too.  I like winning out.  If we can beat Georgia and A&M (and Ark), then we should feel confident about our ability to win it all.  

[TTown]

I'd take 10-2 and # 5 seed and no SECCG . Host #12. But for sure would be nice to win the SEC and a bye of course.