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Posted
2 hours ago, whereiend said:

Using stats that aren't adjusted for the opponent is some caveman stuff. The opponent adjusted stats show that we have a slightly better defense and significantly better offense. 

That said, it still profiles as a low scoring game and such a game could be swung by a single fluke play, eg. We're in the Red zone and Arch throws a pick 6. That's what worries me.

I agree at looking at opponent stats also, but to some degree the stats with 4 to 5 games in where some teams faced 2-3 non-power conf schools it makes it a big challenging to draw conclusions.   I looked at their opposition rankings when I looked up their stats.  Their offense has faced two rated defenses in Georgia (ranked 7) and Michigan (ranked 6).  New Mexico is also a much better defense than they've historically been (ranked 14), and a much better program than they've historically been.  We've faced 1 top ranked defense (Ohio St 17).  Tenn is ranked 29th.  We've faced better offenses teams than they have.  They have NFL players all over their defense, but we have much better depth in our D-line, which could be a big factor in a game where the temp is expected to be in the 90's.  We have much better players on offense based upon NFL projections, but we haven't executed very well on offense.   I think when everything is said and one this comes down to what Bobby said earlier in the week - who wins the turnover and rushing battle.   

Posted
8 hours ago, David Latiolais said:

How many times OU was ranked in the top five and a unranked Texas team beat them.

3 times in the entirety of the rivalry. 

Posted
6 hours ago, Nate C said:

After watching Charlie Strong and Heard beat OU, anything is possible. Gimme the horns but this isn’t an easy one

That's just nonsense, a one off game like that doesn't mean it's the norm or anything can happen. Not sure why people have to make things up try and justify worrying about a game. We're going to beat their ass. It's that simple. 

Posted
1 hour ago, Lnghrn said:

I agree at looking at opponent stats also, but to some degree the stats with 4 to 5 games in where some teams faced 2-3 non-power conf schools it makes it a big challenging to draw conclusions.   I looked at their opposition rankings when I looked up their stats.  Their offense has faced two rated defenses in Georgia (ranked 7) and Michigan (ranked 6).  New Mexico is also a much better defense than they've historically been (ranked 14), and a much better program than they've historically been.  We've faced 1 top ranked defense (Ohio St 17).  Tenn is ranked 29th.  We've faced better offenses teams than they have.  They have NFL players all over their defense, but we have much better depth in our D-line, which could be a big factor in a game where the temp is expected to be in the 90's.  We have much better players on offense based upon NFL projections, but we haven't executed very well on offense.   I think when everything is said and one this comes down to what Bobby said earlier in the week - who wins the turnover and rushing battle.   

We're still ranked much higher in things like FEI, SP+, FPI, etc.

E.g. https://bcftoys.com/2026-ofei

Now that is a ridiculously mediocre result given the talent on this offense, but still, it's markedly better than OU.

Posted

I gotcha here Bobby.  Sooners have a lot of issues...Texas has some major issues as well.  This is the #1x2 qb Sark has got recruiting.  Would anyone say that hes maximized QE or Arch.  If this part of the development doesnt improve I dont think that train will continue coming to Texas.

Posted
5 hours ago, mmdaytontexas said:

I think a lot of people have PTSD from OU of the 2000-2020. Given that, and Sark's struggles to put an explosive and consistent offense on the field, this game against a top 10 defense makes many people really nervous.

🙋‍♂️. If a bad UT team led by charlie can beat a decent ou team any team can beat any team in this rivalry. 

Posted
18 hours ago, ClubWhatever said:

The set up to this game might be the biggest troll job ever attempted in this series.  Coach has hang dog PC, releases terrible injury report, leaks to media that they don’t feel good about game.  Meanwhile in their locker room they are saying g the exact opposite to their team and believing they are going to win.  OU never thinks they are losing to us.  It’s all bs.

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